Discussion about this post

User's avatar
Nakayama's avatar

In Chinese war history since the time before China was ever unified to the end of the Civil War 1945-1949, there were various examples where the winning sides decided to take a breather or the defenders were slow in setting up defense works to cause decisive battle outcomes and forced the settlement of political confrontations. I can see the West has promised many things and how Russian people are tired of war, but a Minsk III in form will be a bad deal unless it is significantly different from Minsk II AND enforced. Negotiating and signing agreements are relatively easy compared to enforcement.

Expand full comment
Saul Badman's avatar

How convenient! Just as every US and EU politician slithers out of their holes to say in unison “the ball is now in Russia’s court,” this mysterious document appears suggesting that Russia is using negotiations to drive a wedge between the US, EU, and China.

Obviously Russia will put its interests first and this can sometimes involve trade-offs for other powers, but this seems tailor-made for the West to blame Russia for peace talks stalling.

What’s the next move? Brandishing “sanctions enforcement” as a way to incentivize India or China to pressure Russia into making concessions?

Expand full comment
23 more comments...

No posts