There is no way out of the problems the world faces without a candid, exhaustive, public review of the ACTUAL facts by a President of the United States.
I would invite Xi, Putin and Modi, as well as a single representative of each of ASEAN, the African Union, the EU, and the Arab League.
Sit down with live cameras and come clean on everything. The whole lot. History going back to at least the end of WWII. Further, indeed. Come to terms with things which still linger in the minds of other peoples, things like the Opium Wars and century of humiliation do for the Chinese.
Detail how the US created the crisis in Ukraine in meticulous detail. Bring receipts. Do the same for the Middle East. Do the same for South Asia.
Earnestly make clear that this is the start of a new beginning, a new century of cooperation. No bullshit. Savagely drag the neocons through the mud to such an extent that they never get anywhere near power ever again. Go right back to George Kennan's memo on political warfare and start from there.
I'd also create a related reading list and encourage people of all nations to read it. Encourage them to get their children to read it. Perhaps get related intellectuals to create a video series and have it translated into all languages.
Renew the spirit of the Treaty of Westphalia. Make it clear that from now on, we don't care what you do in your own nations. We only care about the crime of aggression.
Other nations have similar factions to the neocons in the US. Encourage other nations to do the same with their hardliners and warmongers. Make it abundantly clear that these savages are in all nations, and that the rest of us have a lot more in common with each other than we do with these factions in our governments.
I am highly skeptical that he would do anything like it, but it would basically be a more considered version of his 2016 GOP nomination debate, where he absolutely shredded the neocons right in their faces.
Problems:
1. It's increasingly clear that Trump didn't believe that when he said it.
2. I doubt he has the knowledge needed to do so on an expanded basis. He would be trapped and herded by malevolent actors who do.
3. He ain't getting any younger, and his mind is starting to visibly skip a beat.
Someone basically needs to lie their way into the position, then suddenly just do it.
What we are talking here is a bloodless and peaceful correction to settle major geopolitical issues all over the planet. Many nations have various historical grievances, accounts that they were unable to settle, plus we have internal political problems in the West that cry out for tectonic shifts sized adjustments. Some of these issues were delayed because of the US/Soviet world hegemony earlier and the development of nuclear technology. Today, the threat of nuclear destruction is also used by governments for domestic control to a degree. What I am getting to is that a major wave of populist revolts – already on the horizon – are needed in order to normalize, adjust the planet to present realities. We had this experience during the Revolutions of 1848 when events swept across Europe and reached even South America, from Brazil to Mexico. One major issue today is that governments engage in diplomacy while often waving nuclear weapons in one hand. In the West they are also into self-destructive social engineering. This is an absurd, upside down situation where Orange Man is already on the wrong side. He is trying to own Greenland and Canada for one major reason: To fight out a possible nuclear war over their heads. The childish dreams of Iron and Golden Domes were just tested in Israel during the last week with major failures. Soon we will see missiles mass-produced that will be able to circumnavigate the planet and arrive from any direction with supersonic speed. Sanity has to take over and rule and in this case sanity is measured in worldwide populist rule.
I like JC’s idea, and I’d like nothing so much as mass declassification and a truth and reconciliation commission to reveal true history over the last 100 years particularly. But to believe humans are capable of permanently living in the truth is naive. Humans are flawed, fallen beings who by and large cannot resist sin, therefore Utopia is impossible. I’d like the neocons to get dragged through the mud, but most of humanity has zero attention span and is gullible and would think you are cruel to do that! Moreover there would be a new set of psychos at the top in short order, particularly in decadent and weak western countries. They’d trick the masses into new absurdities within another generation.
“A new era” indeed. It sounds like the transition from the Fourth Turning to the new First Turning. You’re also right that it will not be Donald Trump to bring about this transition. I’m looking to Ron DeSantis, whose time was not yet ripe in 2024 but may be in 2028 or 2032. Probably 2032. I foresee Trump’s economic catastrophe, a.k.a. his Global Trade War, ushering the last Democrat administration in history, which will then pave the way to a DeSantis presidency and the First Turning.
Thank You Andrew for placing Trump into the light of reality. Relatively few people on this board realize that Trump II after the first five months is already an utter failure. He was unwilling to put the brakes on his comedian after contributing to unleash him against the Western World. Trump’s performance on the critical illegal alien issue was degraded to a low speed sideline operation. He will decide in two weeks time how he will get America into the next war for Israel while he is admittedly planning a war against China. His administration is even shy to introduce the true numbers of illegal aliens in America. It seems like he is doing his best to throw the midterm elections, allow back the dems into a majority status in both houses and sit there for the rest of his term working hard to make sure that Neta will not send him more golden pagers. His presidency is degenerating into the usual lies and deceptions we had seen from just about all US presidents after Reagan. The American public has to give up the false security they gain from over-immunization and start thinking about a post-Trump solution. They need a leader with a solid record, 60 or younger, who was never touched by the swamp of the deep state or corrupted by the oligarchic class.
"His presidency is degenerating into the usual lies and deceptions "
That's what happened in 2017 or thereabouts. This time around, his lies and deceptions were apparent from the start of his campaign, at least to anyone with at least one eye open.
I had Trump figured out a few weeks into his first term. Otherwise, it's just his cult, offering up excuse after pathetic excuse.
Admittedly, eight years of watching the Obama Cult do the same was good practice. In the case of Obama, as soon as he appointed Tim Geithner at Treasury that "hope and change" was never going to amount to anything other than a marketing slogan.
Trump is not perfect but you seem to expect him to be. But if you cannot see that Trump is better than Obama and Biden there’s no hope for you. Biden is the one who tried to take away bodily autonomy with vaccine ‘’mandates.’ Trump is unpolished and appears to vacillate at times, but he has attempted to shut the border when Biden let in record numbers of illegals and put them on social security using dead people’s social security numbers to create a fifth column in America with the help of shadowy NGOs in Panama and Colombia. Not a single politician is without bias or influence (in Trump’s case, the Israel lobby). But better that than the big pharma lobby… been there, done that.
If you recall, Biden did nothing to stop the massacre of Palestinians. Iran hasn’t fallen, and Trump has hesitated to join that war. At least Trump was trying to stop the pointless deaths of Ukrainian and Russian men. Biden started a war that probably killed a million or so Ukrainian men and thousands of Russians as well. It’s all relative.
Good one, Alexander! "Trump’s point is all over the place, being sensible, incomplete, and disingenuous all in one." Isn't this the case with just about everything that comes out of his mouth? Never seen such a boldface liar in my life. He doesn't even try to hide it. He's priceless to watch, if it were not for the fact that he is sooooo dangerous. He's got humanity hanging by a thread.
Trump does have his merits, but boasting is a critical fault. This trait is very similar to that of the average person in China after the Cultural Revolution. The SMO would have happened even if Trump had won the 2020 election because the Euromaidan had happened in 2014. All the forces causing that color revolution were still in place at the end of 2020. Given the wisdom Trump displays in his second term so far, Trump would have made similar mistakes even if he won in 2020, and probably worse. The reason is that Trump 2.0 happens after 4 extra years of learning about the bad people and policies in his first term. Alas! Those 4 extra years had bought us a "better" Trump lasting approximately 100 days.
I disagree about the SMO. Trump 2017-2021 did not lead to the Ukraine war. Biden got in again and reappointed Toria Nuland back to the State Department and sent Lloyd Austin to Ukraine in the autumn of 2021 to talk about Ukraine joining NATO, which was jointly announced. This was after they started European military exercises to prep in spring/summer of 2021. It was so obvious to me what Biden was doing to start a war (which I predicted about 7 months ahead of time) in discussions with others (who later asked me how I knew). And it was obvious because Biden’s handlers deliberately stepped over Russia’s red lines.
I think you are right. I stand corrected. I have forgotten Nuland the whale was not in her position during the Trump 1.0 years. Had Trump stayed for another 4 years, it was unlikely that the whale could get back to the State Department during the second term.
That’s right. And her husband Robert Kagan is also an arch neocon of the Project for a new American Century fame. They are the arch war fomenters but not the kind Trump associates with. Maybe Pompeo was the biggest Russia hawk in Trump 1.0, but he mostly concentrated on China.
Fully agree, although perhaps what was most significant about this remark is not the "could've" or "would've" historical counterfactuals but rather what it implies about the future. Trump's "vision" for a world that is safe to do business in is basically sound, but it remains unclear how to get from where we are now to where such a thing would be possible. Everything hinges really on whether China opens a third front in what is now looking uncomfortably like what future historians (if there are any) are likely to call WWIII. If Trump can drive a wedge between Russia and China, then he stands a chance at being recognised as the leader that pulled it off. If he can't, which seems much more likely, then I can see no reason why China would not open such a third front but only after its western rivals have fought themselves to a standstill in the Middle East. The longer it keeps its powder dry, the more likely it is to emerge victorious. And honestly who wouldn't welcome a Chinese-led new world order at the present time?
Trump doesn't need to "drive a wedge between Russia and China"! He just needs to overcome the pro-war hawks embedded in his administration and open a one to one dialogue with Putin on how to end this futile war. His positive resolve in this matter must be free of any input from NATO - they do not portray a cogent unified attitude to any form of negotiated settlement that eliminates the primary cause of this conflict; ie NATO's insistence for spreading NATO's former boundaries eastward. Consider this: NATO would not tolerate Russia moving back into former Eastern bloc nations so why wouldn't Russia react to this provocation?
Are you Chinese? I’ve spent about five weeks in Communist China, enough to know they believe they are racially superior to everyone else. If you aren’t Chinese, you can’t become Chinese, and you don’t want to live under the Chinese. The best thing about China is that they counter the worst tendencies on the west, not that they are better than the west. Try going to a Chinese market. They haggle, and still they cheat you, as you find out the item is counterfeit, toxic paint, or worse. It’s tragic that the western leftists, who rightly criticise the Anglo-American empire for its own evils, then put China on a pedestal. But about China’s evils they are silent. China has an extraordinary civilization, but don’t look at it through rose-tinted glasses. Likewise, I greatly admire Russian civilisation (art, music, literature and food) however I’ve been there twice and in the early 2000s, their people tried to hustle me for money given the hyperinflation of the late 1990s…I still appreciate that Putin may have slowed western elites from tightening their ‘matrix’ system but you can’t idealise so much. Even if I have nothing against Russia personally, and I don’t blame them for this war, I’m still British and American (and love both countries) so they likely might see me as an potential enemy anyway. I personally believe the elites are wrong and that peace with Russia is in my national interest- moreover in the interest of global humanity in terms of preventing nuclear war.
There is no way out of the problems the world faces without a candid, exhaustive, public review of the ACTUAL facts by a President of the United States.
I would invite Xi, Putin and Modi, as well as a single representative of each of ASEAN, the African Union, the EU, and the Arab League.
Sit down with live cameras and come clean on everything. The whole lot. History going back to at least the end of WWII. Further, indeed. Come to terms with things which still linger in the minds of other peoples, things like the Opium Wars and century of humiliation do for the Chinese.
Detail how the US created the crisis in Ukraine in meticulous detail. Bring receipts. Do the same for the Middle East. Do the same for South Asia.
Earnestly make clear that this is the start of a new beginning, a new century of cooperation. No bullshit. Savagely drag the neocons through the mud to such an extent that they never get anywhere near power ever again. Go right back to George Kennan's memo on political warfare and start from there.
I'd also create a related reading list and encourage people of all nations to read it. Encourage them to get their children to read it. Perhaps get related intellectuals to create a video series and have it translated into all languages.
Renew the spirit of the Treaty of Westphalia. Make it clear that from now on, we don't care what you do in your own nations. We only care about the crime of aggression.
Other nations have similar factions to the neocons in the US. Encourage other nations to do the same with their hardliners and warmongers. Make it abundantly clear that these savages are in all nations, and that the rest of us have a lot more in common with each other than we do with these factions in our governments.
A new era.
This is the only way it can happen.
I second your motion. However, Trump will never do this work. We need a new Man.
I am highly skeptical that he would do anything like it, but it would basically be a more considered version of his 2016 GOP nomination debate, where he absolutely shredded the neocons right in their faces.
Problems:
1. It's increasingly clear that Trump didn't believe that when he said it.
2. I doubt he has the knowledge needed to do so on an expanded basis. He would be trapped and herded by malevolent actors who do.
3. He ain't getting any younger, and his mind is starting to visibly skip a beat.
Someone basically needs to lie their way into the position, then suddenly just do it.
What we are talking here is a bloodless and peaceful correction to settle major geopolitical issues all over the planet. Many nations have various historical grievances, accounts that they were unable to settle, plus we have internal political problems in the West that cry out for tectonic shifts sized adjustments. Some of these issues were delayed because of the US/Soviet world hegemony earlier and the development of nuclear technology. Today, the threat of nuclear destruction is also used by governments for domestic control to a degree. What I am getting to is that a major wave of populist revolts – already on the horizon – are needed in order to normalize, adjust the planet to present realities. We had this experience during the Revolutions of 1848 when events swept across Europe and reached even South America, from Brazil to Mexico. One major issue today is that governments engage in diplomacy while often waving nuclear weapons in one hand. In the West they are also into self-destructive social engineering. This is an absurd, upside down situation where Orange Man is already on the wrong side. He is trying to own Greenland and Canada for one major reason: To fight out a possible nuclear war over their heads. The childish dreams of Iron and Golden Domes were just tested in Israel during the last week with major failures. Soon we will see missiles mass-produced that will be able to circumnavigate the planet and arrive from any direction with supersonic speed. Sanity has to take over and rule and in this case sanity is measured in worldwide populist rule.
https://www.britannica.com/event/Revolutions-of-1848
https://worldhistoryconnected.press.uillinois.edu/12.1/forum_moreno.html#:~:text=The%20liberal%20(and%20often%20nationalist,Intervention%20that%20ended%20in%201867.
https://encyclopedia.pub/entry/37962#:~:text=In%20Chile%2C%20the%201848%20revolutions%20inspired%20the,Brazilian%20Empire%20that%20had%20been%20proclaimed%20in
I like JC’s idea, and I’d like nothing so much as mass declassification and a truth and reconciliation commission to reveal true history over the last 100 years particularly. But to believe humans are capable of permanently living in the truth is naive. Humans are flawed, fallen beings who by and large cannot resist sin, therefore Utopia is impossible. I’d like the neocons to get dragged through the mud, but most of humanity has zero attention span and is gullible and would think you are cruel to do that! Moreover there would be a new set of psychos at the top in short order, particularly in decadent and weak western countries. They’d trick the masses into new absurdities within another generation.
“A new era” indeed. It sounds like the transition from the Fourth Turning to the new First Turning. You’re also right that it will not be Donald Trump to bring about this transition. I’m looking to Ron DeSantis, whose time was not yet ripe in 2024 but may be in 2028 or 2032. Probably 2032. I foresee Trump’s economic catastrophe, a.k.a. his Global Trade War, ushering the last Democrat administration in history, which will then pave the way to a DeSantis presidency and the First Turning.
This is not how multipolarity works.
Thank You Andrew for placing Trump into the light of reality. Relatively few people on this board realize that Trump II after the first five months is already an utter failure. He was unwilling to put the brakes on his comedian after contributing to unleash him against the Western World. Trump’s performance on the critical illegal alien issue was degraded to a low speed sideline operation. He will decide in two weeks time how he will get America into the next war for Israel while he is admittedly planning a war against China. His administration is even shy to introduce the true numbers of illegal aliens in America. It seems like he is doing his best to throw the midterm elections, allow back the dems into a majority status in both houses and sit there for the rest of his term working hard to make sure that Neta will not send him more golden pagers. His presidency is degenerating into the usual lies and deceptions we had seen from just about all US presidents after Reagan. The American public has to give up the false security they gain from over-immunization and start thinking about a post-Trump solution. They need a leader with a solid record, 60 or younger, who was never touched by the swamp of the deep state or corrupted by the oligarchic class.
"His presidency is degenerating into the usual lies and deceptions "
That's what happened in 2017 or thereabouts. This time around, his lies and deceptions were apparent from the start of his campaign, at least to anyone with at least one eye open.
I had Trump figured out a few weeks into his first term. Otherwise, it's just his cult, offering up excuse after pathetic excuse.
Admittedly, eight years of watching the Obama Cult do the same was good practice. In the case of Obama, as soon as he appointed Tim Geithner at Treasury that "hope and change" was never going to amount to anything other than a marketing slogan.
Trump is not perfect but you seem to expect him to be. But if you cannot see that Trump is better than Obama and Biden there’s no hope for you. Biden is the one who tried to take away bodily autonomy with vaccine ‘’mandates.’ Trump is unpolished and appears to vacillate at times, but he has attempted to shut the border when Biden let in record numbers of illegals and put them on social security using dead people’s social security numbers to create a fifth column in America with the help of shadowy NGOs in Panama and Colombia. Not a single politician is without bias or influence (in Trump’s case, the Israel lobby). But better that than the big pharma lobby… been there, done that.
Yeah, I know, not participating in a genocide, such an unrealistic expectation, sheesh!
If you recall, Biden did nothing to stop the massacre of Palestinians. Iran hasn’t fallen, and Trump has hesitated to join that war. At least Trump was trying to stop the pointless deaths of Ukrainian and Russian men. Biden started a war that probably killed a million or so Ukrainian men and thousands of Russians as well. It’s all relative.
Perhaps you can point to where I praised Biden?
Regardless, Biden no longer is president. Trump is, and he could stop these wars with a single phone call.
Good one, Alexander! "Trump’s point is all over the place, being sensible, incomplete, and disingenuous all in one." Isn't this the case with just about everything that comes out of his mouth? Never seen such a boldface liar in my life. He doesn't even try to hide it. He's priceless to watch, if it were not for the fact that he is sooooo dangerous. He's got humanity hanging by a thread.
Despairing while watching helplessly US genocide in Gaza for eighteen (18) months -- Cecilia Bartoli - Gelido in ogni vena (immortal Vivaldi)
https://youtu.be/EMd7i5Bhd1E?si=6KE4HJoEhze-Ddi4
Trump is weak, stupid and easily manipulated. His meandering statements reflect this, along with his vanity and seeking to take credit for everything.
Trump does have his merits, but boasting is a critical fault. This trait is very similar to that of the average person in China after the Cultural Revolution. The SMO would have happened even if Trump had won the 2020 election because the Euromaidan had happened in 2014. All the forces causing that color revolution were still in place at the end of 2020. Given the wisdom Trump displays in his second term so far, Trump would have made similar mistakes even if he won in 2020, and probably worse. The reason is that Trump 2.0 happens after 4 extra years of learning about the bad people and policies in his first term. Alas! Those 4 extra years had bought us a "better" Trump lasting approximately 100 days.
I disagree about the SMO. Trump 2017-2021 did not lead to the Ukraine war. Biden got in again and reappointed Toria Nuland back to the State Department and sent Lloyd Austin to Ukraine in the autumn of 2021 to talk about Ukraine joining NATO, which was jointly announced. This was after they started European military exercises to prep in spring/summer of 2021. It was so obvious to me what Biden was doing to start a war (which I predicted about 7 months ahead of time) in discussions with others (who later asked me how I knew). And it was obvious because Biden’s handlers deliberately stepped over Russia’s red lines.
I think you are right. I stand corrected. I have forgotten Nuland the whale was not in her position during the Trump 1.0 years. Had Trump stayed for another 4 years, it was unlikely that the whale could get back to the State Department during the second term.
That’s right. And her husband Robert Kagan is also an arch neocon of the Project for a new American Century fame. They are the arch war fomenters but not the kind Trump associates with. Maybe Pompeo was the biggest Russia hawk in Trump 1.0, but he mostly concentrated on China.
Fully agree, although perhaps what was most significant about this remark is not the "could've" or "would've" historical counterfactuals but rather what it implies about the future. Trump's "vision" for a world that is safe to do business in is basically sound, but it remains unclear how to get from where we are now to where such a thing would be possible. Everything hinges really on whether China opens a third front in what is now looking uncomfortably like what future historians (if there are any) are likely to call WWIII. If Trump can drive a wedge between Russia and China, then he stands a chance at being recognised as the leader that pulled it off. If he can't, which seems much more likely, then I can see no reason why China would not open such a third front but only after its western rivals have fought themselves to a standstill in the Middle East. The longer it keeps its powder dry, the more likely it is to emerge victorious. And honestly who wouldn't welcome a Chinese-led new world order at the present time?
Trump doesn't need to "drive a wedge between Russia and China"! He just needs to overcome the pro-war hawks embedded in his administration and open a one to one dialogue with Putin on how to end this futile war. His positive resolve in this matter must be free of any input from NATO - they do not portray a cogent unified attitude to any form of negotiated settlement that eliminates the primary cause of this conflict; ie NATO's insistence for spreading NATO's former boundaries eastward. Consider this: NATO would not tolerate Russia moving back into former Eastern bloc nations so why wouldn't Russia react to this provocation?
Are you Chinese? I’ve spent about five weeks in Communist China, enough to know they believe they are racially superior to everyone else. If you aren’t Chinese, you can’t become Chinese, and you don’t want to live under the Chinese. The best thing about China is that they counter the worst tendencies on the west, not that they are better than the west. Try going to a Chinese market. They haggle, and still they cheat you, as you find out the item is counterfeit, toxic paint, or worse. It’s tragic that the western leftists, who rightly criticise the Anglo-American empire for its own evils, then put China on a pedestal. But about China’s evils they are silent. China has an extraordinary civilization, but don’t look at it through rose-tinted glasses. Likewise, I greatly admire Russian civilisation (art, music, literature and food) however I’ve been there twice and in the early 2000s, their people tried to hustle me for money given the hyperinflation of the late 1990s…I still appreciate that Putin may have slowed western elites from tightening their ‘matrix’ system but you can’t idealise so much. Even if I have nothing against Russia personally, and I don’t blame them for this war, I’m still British and American (and love both countries) so they likely might see me as an potential enemy anyway. I personally believe the elites are wrong and that peace with Russia is in my national interest- moreover in the interest of global humanity in terms of preventing nuclear war.