1. Poutine proposed a defensive treaty to Iran. As strong and tight that those with North Korea( Poutine's words), an it's Pezeskian who refused it, even after the 12 Days war. Pezeskian even refused Chinese and Russian military
help after this war.
2. If Russia didn't help "resistance-axis", one must considerate that Pezeskian's Iran let it die and even helped Israel to destroy it. Shall we remind that Hamas's head was assassinated in Teheran 3 weeks after Pezeskian election. Election that came after the deadly "accident" of previous president back from.... Azerbaijan.... Iran didn't move at all when Hezbollah was decisively attacked and the circumstances of bombing of Nasrallah is very suspicious.
More, Iran gave all its place to rebels in Syria without fighting.
3. If they were no russian nor chinese intention to deter USA in those Naval exercise, it probably explain the delay of US attack. Bombing Iran yes, risking WW3 no.
4. It's probably an US snafu to plan this operation without taking into account the presence of chinese and russian navies even if programmed one year ago.
This delay, let time to USA to put pressure among the undecideds in the state apparatus.
Exactly like in Syria and Venezuela: maximum pressure and threat to make collapse the house of card if it's not very strong
I suppose Russia would survive with a "balkanized' Iran to the south. But it would survive as a country increasingly surrounded by an aggressive United States (and its NATO satraps). The Americans are in the Caucasus, they're in Central Asia, and they're messing around with Belarus. Mr. Putin needs to understand the Americans are not now, and will never be, reliable partners, let alone friends. The lion will not lie down with the lamb. So the lamb better grow a spine, and fast.
there will be no balkanized iran, because the most problematic components (balochi, azeri, kurds and what it's called "iranian illuminati", basically a sufi underground (different from what it's called "iranian masonry") are tied to the evil underground, and won't stop at "authonomy" and "democracy" - it's either the current iran, whole and peaceful, or the destroyed iran, or an iran left whole at the cost of destroying the whole middle east, the only thing that would satisfy the savage troublemakers - to be kings abroad, since all of them can't be home.
You do realize Trump and Biden wanted to give the Taliban billions of dollars to help them kill ISIS-K and feed their people?!? Unlike Bush presidents Trump and Biden have no problem with Afghanistan being ruled by Afghans and Venezuela being ruled by Venezuelans and even Russia being ruled by Russians!! Those rulers simply have to play by reasonable rules like Maduro can’t steal elections and the Taliban must kill terrorists that train in their territory and Putin can’t use military force to take territory from other sovereign countries!! We will give you billions of dollars if you play by our very reasonable rules!!
Trump wanted to work with the Taliban to kill ISIS-K…Taliban was never our enemy and Trump is laser focused on killing our enemies even to the point of working with people Liz Cheney doesn’t approve of!! 😉
Gday Tony, Mr Putin was placed in his position by others to preserve elite wealth and privilege not nationalists desires or individuals lifestyle requirements unfortunately.
As Andrew always reminds us he is the consumate pragmatist looking after the vested interests and the nation's integrity as a consequence of these as can be seen in his actions and choices of interlocutors the latest a revisionist historian and previous an oligarchic business dealmaker whilst Lavrov was sidelined for apparently offending sensitive rabid anti communist Marco Rubio with his choice of couture. So don't raise your hopes needlessly as they will not be met I presume.
He really remind me de Gaulle. Very very difficult game of balancing on a rope between bizness and oligarchie requirements, international reality, will of social progress and sovereignty Indépendance. All that without destroying the country.
What he did from 1998 to today is rarissim in History.
In one thousand years of France, there is only two exemple of such a fast rebirth: Charles VII after the 100 Years war and Henri IV after 25 years of Religions War.
Even de Gaulle in 1958 didn't start in a so awful situation that Russia in 1998
America lost in Vietnam after losing 58,000 men. How many men will we lose if we try to defeat IRAN ?? Iran can sink our ships and shoot down our airplanes. The idea that the USA can defeat Iran with conventional weapons is absurd. USA thinks of attacking Iran for Israel's sake. Iran is no threat to America if we leave it alone. Read Professor Meisheimer of the University of Chicago's book "The Istaeli Lobby & American Foreign Policy" & the answer is clear cut . Jews control our foreign policys This MEST END !!!!!
the number is quite small, the thing conservatives should worry about is that after vietnam it lost big part of its soul, quickly seized by the hippie movement and its wicca and cia backers, working for the deep state, and iran war would help destroy another part.
CHINA And TAIWAN…. So maybe timing with respect to preparations isn’t perfect, but you have a once in a generation situation where your only adversary has deployed a very significant percentage of its military capacity in another theatre ( Iran )…..would you/should you go for it now ? 🤔🤔🤔🤔🤔🤔
Taïwan was a decoy for China. Like Ukraine for Russia .
While both focus all their attention and resources on these two points, USA worked else where. Successfully each time: Azerbaijan, Pakistan, Armenia, Syria, Hezbollah, Venezuela, Bangladesh. And are working hard in Kazakhstan, Uzbekistan, Turkmenistan, India, Brazil, Sudan.
It's a true stampede against Russia and also China.
I don't know why somes pretend that Russians are chess experts and Chinese , go expert.
Excellent comments about Putin! I wholeheartedly agree. The SVO and the world in general would be much, much different if he was replaced by someone else.
If Iran mined or otherwise closed the Strait of Hormuz, and successfully targeted Qatari LNG trains, it would place Europe in a very difficult position, as there is nowhere any surplus gas export capacity in the short or medium terms, and no alternative suppliers (other than Russia).
Conversely the price of Russian oil, LNG and pipeline gas would likely rise significantly, so a major boost to Russia’s economy, which would continue as the conflict played out, and strategic energy reserves across the world are run down and depleted.
A successful ‘Balkanisation’ of Iran would likely result in civil war, a humanitarian catastrophe, and massive outward refugee flows, so more potential problems for Europe there too.
"Successfull Balkanization of Iran"? Why NOT a successful LIBERATION of "Palestine" and getting rid of #ASHKENAZI SETTLER COLONIALIST GENOCIDAL TERRORIST #ROTHSCHILDES COLONY by sending them bk to Europe, North and South Americas and Russia?
Excellent expose into Putin's thinking. I shared your article with some people on FB who asked the question what can we expect from Russia and China. A lot of armchair people want Russia to sacrifice their people and country for the entire world while the US and WEst sits back and attacks endlessly.
there is a solution which would solve most of the problems currently confronting europe, russia, ukraine and middle east, avoiding unspeakable tragedies and the decline of all: israel is given the possibility to move in the territories owned by russia in ukraine. there are important details that could consolidate or destroy the deal, but in brief that is the solution.
LOL, very funny bullshit. They moved the date of the drills up because of the American deployment. That's obvious. As obvious as when the US says its ships are "making a routine patrol to assure freedom of navigation in international waters."
The drills also had their intended effect--there was no US attack on Iran, and with every passing day, the chances of such an attack diminish. They can only keep all those ships and troops and planes deployed for so long. Your government knows this as well as I do.
Someone has expressed suspicion that the seizure of some oil tankers on the high seas more than a 100 nautical miles from the Indian coastline, by the heavily Keralite-dominated Dravidian Indian coastguard navy, could have been a CIC-insider orchestrated job with the motive of destroying India's diplomatic relationships in one split second, in the footsteps of a more serious earlier joint conspiracy by the Churches of western Europe and the CIA to deploy the church's well placed zombie Dravidian-racist cohorts in the power structure of local polity and the provincial police of Southern India for destroying India's space agency ISRO by slapping concocted criminal charges on senior ISRO scientists and following up on them by subjecting the scientists to gruesome torture for extracting fabricated confessions of guilt. It is noteworthy that the party in power at that time was the BJP, which incidentally is the party in power at the federal centre today as well. Despite the fact that the conspirators of the anti-ISRO scandal harboured open ideological animosity towards the BJP, yet it did not occur to the then Prime Minister Atal Bihari Vajpayee to exercise warranted scepticism and view the false claims made by America's Dravidian surrogates in South Indian police network with a needle of suspicion. Vajpayee apparently did not raise his little finger to doubt or even audit the malicious conspiracy that was being played out by Dravidian police officers in the dubious garb of ostensibly routine law- enforcement. Evidently, there are several power centres at work in India, despite grandiose and bombastic denial to the contrary by those supposedly in charge. This does not augur well for the international prestige of a country of the stature of India.
That said, the seizure of Iranian linked tankers by the Indian Coast Guard in the matter at hand was likely not an instance of know towing before illegitimate American extra territorial power projection in South Asia but was more likely a tit for tat response to the arrest of 18 Indian crew persons by Iran from the Valiant Roar ship some days prior.
Considering the deck stacked against Iran since 1979, it is doing relatively well despite the obvious economic mismanagement. Even its current currency crisis was orchestrated externally, Bessent admitted as much though perhaps he is overstating his own role in this. In fact, it’s because of its cohesion and functionality that Iran is the target of Israel and the US. It is practically the only state in the whole neighbourhood that is not already a vassal (like Jordan) or a failed state (like Yemen or Syria). It is certainly the only one willing to defy USraeli wishes. Though recent developments like the direction of the KSA-Turkiye bloc are interesting and should be closely watched.
Andrey, after defeat of Iran, that would be the end of Russia and China. Read "The Grand Chessboard" by Z. Brzezinski, "Superimperialism" by M. Hudson and "The invention of Jewish people " by Shlomo Sand. Iran is for Russia and China the last bastion. The must protect Iran with nuclear weapon. If usa go nuclear, so be it. Russian must use their 6000 areheads.
Russian (Putin's ) navy should defend Russian-flagged tankers that Trump hijacks them every day and even French, and Baltic nations terrorizing and boarding them. Only then Russia will help either China or Iran.
Russia under Putin is nothing But a Zionist western Vassal desperate to be brought into the fold.
This is what Putin's Russia became a Vassal of Trump war on Russia, Venezuela and Iran's oil to India, and China. What Russian Navy power we are talking about??
" US and NATO preparations for a naval blockade of Russian tanker deliveries followed, starting with Operation Southern Spear in the Caribbean on November 13. The first US seizure of a Russian-flagged tanker was on January 7, 2026.
The most recent US operations have included seizures of the Russian-owned Aquila II in the eastern Indian Ocean on February 9, followed by the Veronika III, also in the Indian Ocean, on February 15. For a review of the applicable maritime law, read this.
The Pentagon has made clear it is extending its blockade of Venezuela to Iran and to Russia. “No other nation has the reach, endurance, or will to do this. International waters are not sanctuary. By land, air, or sea, we will find you and deliver justice." (John Helmer)
There is NO Russia political, economic and Security Leverage in western Asia except simple exchange of Trade between the Islamic Rep. of Iran and Russia.
Where is Lavrov - Russia's seasoned Diplomat instead of a bunch of dual_citizenship NYC Zionist Jewish Billionaires "who draw Russia into joint deals which will be used to compromise Russian sovereignty according to John Helmer'"
"Moscow sources now claim Trump has been encouraged by Dmitriev’s negotiations with Witkoff to escalate the sanctions war at sea and to toughen the terms for Putin to accept the US corporate return to Russia. Lavrov has publicly responded: “this means that the Americans have set themselves the task of achieving economic domination." (Helmer)
Imagine if Poutine is already facing the death of more than 200 000 Russians and hundreds thousands definitely wounded for nothing really tangible those 4 last years. And that while, at the beginning, he expected a quick collapse of Ukraine.
Don't you think that such a terrible mistake of evaluation doesn't call you to caution?
One must notice few things:
1. Poutine proposed a defensive treaty to Iran. As strong and tight that those with North Korea( Poutine's words), an it's Pezeskian who refused it, even after the 12 Days war. Pezeskian even refused Chinese and Russian military
help after this war.
2. If Russia didn't help "resistance-axis", one must considerate that Pezeskian's Iran let it die and even helped Israel to destroy it. Shall we remind that Hamas's head was assassinated in Teheran 3 weeks after Pezeskian election. Election that came after the deadly "accident" of previous president back from.... Azerbaijan.... Iran didn't move at all when Hezbollah was decisively attacked and the circumstances of bombing of Nasrallah is very suspicious.
More, Iran gave all its place to rebels in Syria without fighting.
3. If they were no russian nor chinese intention to deter USA in those Naval exercise, it probably explain the delay of US attack. Bombing Iran yes, risking WW3 no.
4. It's probably an US snafu to plan this operation without taking into account the presence of chinese and russian navies even if programmed one year ago.
This delay, let time to USA to put pressure among the undecideds in the state apparatus.
Exactly like in Syria and Venezuela: maximum pressure and threat to make collapse the house of card if it's not very strong
It's *Putin, fool. Have you tried reading outside of Andrew's circle?
I suppose Russia would survive with a "balkanized' Iran to the south. But it would survive as a country increasingly surrounded by an aggressive United States (and its NATO satraps). The Americans are in the Caucasus, they're in Central Asia, and they're messing around with Belarus. Mr. Putin needs to understand the Americans are not now, and will never be, reliable partners, let alone friends. The lion will not lie down with the lamb. So the lamb better grow a spine, and fast.
there will be no balkanized iran, because the most problematic components (balochi, azeri, kurds and what it's called "iranian illuminati", basically a sufi underground (different from what it's called "iranian masonry") are tied to the evil underground, and won't stop at "authonomy" and "democracy" - it's either the current iran, whole and peaceful, or the destroyed iran, or an iran left whole at the cost of destroying the whole middle east, the only thing that would satisfy the savage troublemakers - to be kings abroad, since all of them can't be home.
You do realize Trump and Biden wanted to give the Taliban billions of dollars to help them kill ISIS-K and feed their people?!? Unlike Bush presidents Trump and Biden have no problem with Afghanistan being ruled by Afghans and Venezuela being ruled by Venezuelans and even Russia being ruled by Russians!! Those rulers simply have to play by reasonable rules like Maduro can’t steal elections and the Taliban must kill terrorists that train in their territory and Putin can’t use military force to take territory from other sovereign countries!! We will give you billions of dollars if you play by our very reasonable rules!!
Is it humour?
Don't feed the troll
Trump wanted to work with the Taliban to kill ISIS-K…Taliban was never our enemy and Trump is laser focused on killing our enemies even to the point of working with people Liz Cheney doesn’t approve of!! 😉
Is it still humour?
Gday Tony, Mr Putin was placed in his position by others to preserve elite wealth and privilege not nationalists desires or individuals lifestyle requirements unfortunately.
As Andrew always reminds us he is the consumate pragmatist looking after the vested interests and the nation's integrity as a consequence of these as can be seen in his actions and choices of interlocutors the latest a revisionist historian and previous an oligarchic business dealmaker whilst Lavrov was sidelined for apparently offending sensitive rabid anti communist Marco Rubio with his choice of couture. So don't raise your hopes needlessly as they will not be met I presume.
You're unfair with Poutine.
He really remind me de Gaulle. Very very difficult game of balancing on a rope between bizness and oligarchie requirements, international reality, will of social progress and sovereignty Indépendance. All that without destroying the country.
What he did from 1998 to today is rarissim in History.
In one thousand years of France, there is only two exemple of such a fast rebirth: Charles VII after the 100 Years war and Henri IV after 25 years of Religions War.
Even de Gaulle in 1958 didn't start in a so awful situation that Russia in 1998
America lost in Vietnam after losing 58,000 men. How many men will we lose if we try to defeat IRAN ?? Iran can sink our ships and shoot down our airplanes. The idea that the USA can defeat Iran with conventional weapons is absurd. USA thinks of attacking Iran for Israel's sake. Iran is no threat to America if we leave it alone. Read Professor Meisheimer of the University of Chicago's book "The Istaeli Lobby & American Foreign Policy" & the answer is clear cut . Jews control our foreign policys This MEST END !!!!!
the number is quite small, the thing conservatives should worry about is that after vietnam it lost big part of its soul, quickly seized by the hippie movement and its wicca and cia backers, working for the deep state, and iran war would help destroy another part.
Please, don't confuse jews and pro-israelian lobby.
There's a lot a jews who don't stand the politic of Israel.
And the US pro israelian is composed with a huge pile of evangelists.
CHINA And TAIWAN…. So maybe timing with respect to preparations isn’t perfect, but you have a once in a generation situation where your only adversary has deployed a very significant percentage of its military capacity in another theatre ( Iran )…..would you/should you go for it now ? 🤔🤔🤔🤔🤔🤔
Taïwan was a decoy for China. Like Ukraine for Russia .
While both focus all their attention and resources on these two points, USA worked else where. Successfully each time: Azerbaijan, Pakistan, Armenia, Syria, Hezbollah, Venezuela, Bangladesh. And are working hard in Kazakhstan, Uzbekistan, Turkmenistan, India, Brazil, Sudan.
It's a true stampede against Russia and also China.
I don't know why somes pretend that Russians are chess experts and Chinese , go expert.
Excellent comments about Putin! I wholeheartedly agree. The SVO and the world in general would be much, much different if he was replaced by someone else.
Not if, when.
He's not eternal.
And it's precisely what West rely on.
After him, either:
- total surrender to west, split of the country, back to Elstine's years.
- civil war
- Russia become a minor partner of China and in 50 years will loose everything at East of Ural.
- WW3 with turbo patriots
it's probably not putin, but the traitors you support and for which you would swear.
If Iran mined or otherwise closed the Strait of Hormuz, and successfully targeted Qatari LNG trains, it would place Europe in a very difficult position, as there is nowhere any surplus gas export capacity in the short or medium terms, and no alternative suppliers (other than Russia).
Conversely the price of Russian oil, LNG and pipeline gas would likely rise significantly, so a major boost to Russia’s economy, which would continue as the conflict played out, and strategic energy reserves across the world are run down and depleted.
A successful ‘Balkanisation’ of Iran would likely result in civil war, a humanitarian catastrophe, and massive outward refugee flows, so more potential problems for Europe there too.
All very problematic.
Yes, but USA produce oil and gaz too.
That could be not the bad for them.
It would be harsh for Europe, Japan, Korea, India and China.
And that too, could be not too bad in Trump's mind.
Even a sky rocketing oil price during few months would be nothing compared to a destruction of Iran resistance.
It could be a checkmate for Russia and a huge delay for China to access to superpower. USA would win at least fifty years of respite.
Everything, absolutely everything is in the hands of the solidity of the Iranian's state apparatus.
Everything
"Successfull Balkanization of Iran"? Why NOT a successful LIBERATION of "Palestine" and getting rid of #ASHKENAZI SETTLER COLONIALIST GENOCIDAL TERRORIST #ROTHSCHILDES COLONY by sending them bk to Europe, North and South Americas and Russia?
https://youtu.be/_147EvL60io?si=wzCstcQZLcN5Vc6i
What happens to your credibility if the U.S./Israel lose big on this strike, Andrew?
Excellent expose into Putin's thinking. I shared your article with some people on FB who asked the question what can we expect from Russia and China. A lot of armchair people want Russia to sacrifice their people and country for the entire world while the US and WEst sits back and attacks endlessly.
there is a solution which would solve most of the problems currently confronting europe, russia, ukraine and middle east, avoiding unspeakable tragedies and the decline of all: israel is given the possibility to move in the territories owned by russia in ukraine. there are important details that could consolidate or destroy the deal, but in brief that is the solution.
LOL, very funny bullshit. They moved the date of the drills up because of the American deployment. That's obvious. As obvious as when the US says its ships are "making a routine patrol to assure freedom of navigation in international waters."
The drills also had their intended effect--there was no US attack on Iran, and with every passing day, the chances of such an attack diminish. They can only keep all those ships and troops and planes deployed for so long. Your government knows this as well as I do.
Someone has expressed suspicion that the seizure of some oil tankers on the high seas more than a 100 nautical miles from the Indian coastline, by the heavily Keralite-dominated Dravidian Indian coastguard navy, could have been a CIC-insider orchestrated job with the motive of destroying India's diplomatic relationships in one split second, in the footsteps of a more serious earlier joint conspiracy by the Churches of western Europe and the CIA to deploy the church's well placed zombie Dravidian-racist cohorts in the power structure of local polity and the provincial police of Southern India for destroying India's space agency ISRO by slapping concocted criminal charges on senior ISRO scientists and following up on them by subjecting the scientists to gruesome torture for extracting fabricated confessions of guilt. It is noteworthy that the party in power at that time was the BJP, which incidentally is the party in power at the federal centre today as well. Despite the fact that the conspirators of the anti-ISRO scandal harboured open ideological animosity towards the BJP, yet it did not occur to the then Prime Minister Atal Bihari Vajpayee to exercise warranted scepticism and view the false claims made by America's Dravidian surrogates in South Indian police network with a needle of suspicion. Vajpayee apparently did not raise his little finger to doubt or even audit the malicious conspiracy that was being played out by Dravidian police officers in the dubious garb of ostensibly routine law- enforcement. Evidently, there are several power centres at work in India, despite grandiose and bombastic denial to the contrary by those supposedly in charge. This does not augur well for the international prestige of a country of the stature of India.
That said, the seizure of Iranian linked tankers by the Indian Coast Guard in the matter at hand was likely not an instance of know towing before illegitimate American extra territorial power projection in South Asia but was more likely a tit for tat response to the arrest of 18 Indian crew persons by Iran from the Valiant Roar ship some days prior.
I wouldn’t classify Iran as a “Great Power”. Failed state might be a better description…
Considering the deck stacked against Iran since 1979, it is doing relatively well despite the obvious economic mismanagement. Even its current currency crisis was orchestrated externally, Bessent admitted as much though perhaps he is overstating his own role in this. In fact, it’s because of its cohesion and functionality that Iran is the target of Israel and the US. It is practically the only state in the whole neighbourhood that is not already a vassal (like Jordan) or a failed state (like Yemen or Syria). It is certainly the only one willing to defy USraeli wishes. Though recent developments like the direction of the KSA-Turkiye bloc are interesting and should be closely watched.
Andrey, after defeat of Iran, that would be the end of Russia and China. Read "The Grand Chessboard" by Z. Brzezinski, "Superimperialism" by M. Hudson and "The invention of Jewish people " by Shlomo Sand. Iran is for Russia and China the last bastion. The must protect Iran with nuclear weapon. If usa go nuclear, so be it. Russian must use their 6000 areheads.
Russian (Putin's ) navy should defend Russian-flagged tankers that Trump hijacks them every day and even French, and Baltic nations terrorizing and boarding them. Only then Russia will help either China or Iran.
Russia under Putin is nothing But a Zionist western Vassal desperate to be brought into the fold.
This is what Putin's Russia became a Vassal of Trump war on Russia, Venezuela and Iran's oil to India, and China. What Russian Navy power we are talking about??
" US and NATO preparations for a naval blockade of Russian tanker deliveries followed, starting with Operation Southern Spear in the Caribbean on November 13. The first US seizure of a Russian-flagged tanker was on January 7, 2026.
The most recent US operations have included seizures of the Russian-owned Aquila II in the eastern Indian Ocean on February 9, followed by the Veronika III, also in the Indian Ocean, on February 15. For a review of the applicable maritime law, read this.
The Pentagon has made clear it is extending its blockade of Venezuela to Iran and to Russia. “No other nation has the reach, endurance, or will to do this. International waters are not sanctuary. By land, air, or sea, we will find you and deliver justice." (John Helmer)
https://johnhelmer.net/hitting-the-three-way-switch-witkoff-kushner-and-gruenbaum-ask-putin-to-swap-gaza-and-greenland-for-novorossiya/.
There is NO Russia political, economic and Security Leverage in western Asia except simple exchange of Trade between the Islamic Rep. of Iran and Russia.
Where is Lavrov - Russia's seasoned Diplomat instead of a bunch of dual_citizenship NYC Zionist Jewish Billionaires "who draw Russia into joint deals which will be used to compromise Russian sovereignty according to John Helmer'"
"Moscow sources now claim Trump has been encouraged by Dmitriev’s negotiations with Witkoff to escalate the sanctions war at sea and to toughen the terms for Putin to accept the US corporate return to Russia. Lavrov has publicly responded: “this means that the Americans have set themselves the task of achieving economic domination." (Helmer)
"
Cool down my friend .
Imagine if Poutine is already facing the death of more than 200 000 Russians and hundreds thousands definitely wounded for nothing really tangible those 4 last years. And that while, at the beginning, he expected a quick collapse of Ukraine.
Don't you think that such a terrible mistake of evaluation doesn't call you to caution?
It looks like you have forgotten your meds this morning, Focus the subject matter instead!!
Stupid troll.