Yes, I also realized some time ago the very substantial differences in operational styles in Russian foreign policies and their executions vs. American. At the planning stage it is usually a well thought-out chess game like strategy from Russia. Allies are carefully chosen and are not discarded carelessly. The best examples here are Cuba, North Korea and China. Even after the 1991 collapse these three states received substantial help and cooperation remained to this day. The seemingly everlasting U.S. vs. Russia conflict reminds me the Peloponnesian War, Sparta vs. Athens. Athens had the larger population with matching industry and more numerous ships and allies. On the other hand Sparta had the ultimate military state construction and a relentless attitude.
I agree, Russia is not looking for a confrontation to undermine the security of the Suez Canal area; they are building an international structure where they can balance U.S. activities. They have been pushed in this direction by a surrealistic American drive toward world domination that operated with deeply compromised foreign and domestic policies for over a century now.
OMG, I am getting it finally, it seems it almost went by me like I was not even there; Ethiopia will not be a landlocked country very long. That country has an easy potential to break out to the Red Sea just north of Djibouti and look at South Yemen on the other side. When that happens, with some Russian missile donations suddenly they will control the traffic of the Suez Canal. A brilliant idea, creating an excellent negotiation point for free Russian navigation at Gibraltar and the Bosporus.
You should temper your expectations since Russia doesn't want another war in the Horn, and it doesn't support anyone's efforts to obstruct international transit through the Gulf of Aden-Red Sea (GARS) region as proven by its repeated criticism of the Houthis that I documented in some of the analyses enumerated in this recent one here:
But yes, the larger plan might be to establish a naval and/or logistical presence on both sides of the Bab el Mandeb. I believe that this is one of the scenarios that Russia wants to advance, though I'm unsure exactly how seriously it's being pursued right now given the understandably much greater focus on resolving the Ukrainian Conflict.
The beauty of the whole thing is that Russia does not have to go to war there. Russia can play the proxy game just like the U.S. did in Ukraine. In case of any complaints, Lavrov can tell Trump: Everything I know I learned from you guys… This is not exactly how the conversation will take place but this will be the unspoken core message. And by the time the missiles will fly from both sides, the price of Trump’s little Paradise City in Gaza will keep getting higher and higher. At the end comes “The Art of the Deal”, no more missiles no more beach paradise in Gaza. Russia can use at least Gibraltar, 2 million + Palestinians rebuild Gaza, the truth wins, everybody is happy and the players walk off into the sunset.
I see what you're saying, but that's not how Russia operates. It's not interested in sparking a regional war, nor does it have the excess military production capacities right now to arm any partner abroad for a prolonged period of time during ongoing hostilities.
Yes, I also realized some time ago the very substantial differences in operational styles in Russian foreign policies and their executions vs. American. At the planning stage it is usually a well thought-out chess game like strategy from Russia. Allies are carefully chosen and are not discarded carelessly. The best examples here are Cuba, North Korea and China. Even after the 1991 collapse these three states received substantial help and cooperation remained to this day. The seemingly everlasting U.S. vs. Russia conflict reminds me the Peloponnesian War, Sparta vs. Athens. Athens had the larger population with matching industry and more numerous ships and allies. On the other hand Sparta had the ultimate military state construction and a relentless attitude.
I agree, Russia is not looking for a confrontation to undermine the security of the Suez Canal area; they are building an international structure where they can balance U.S. activities. They have been pushed in this direction by a surrealistic American drive toward world domination that operated with deeply compromised foreign and domestic policies for over a century now.
Once again, I appreciate this information. Thank you.
OMG, I am getting it finally, it seems it almost went by me like I was not even there; Ethiopia will not be a landlocked country very long. That country has an easy potential to break out to the Red Sea just north of Djibouti and look at South Yemen on the other side. When that happens, with some Russian missile donations suddenly they will control the traffic of the Suez Canal. A brilliant idea, creating an excellent negotiation point for free Russian navigation at Gibraltar and the Bosporus.
You should temper your expectations since Russia doesn't want another war in the Horn, and it doesn't support anyone's efforts to obstruct international transit through the Gulf of Aden-Red Sea (GARS) region as proven by its repeated criticism of the Houthis that I documented in some of the analyses enumerated in this recent one here:
https://korybko.substack.com/p/now-is-the-perfect-time-for-russia
But yes, the larger plan might be to establish a naval and/or logistical presence on both sides of the Bab el Mandeb. I believe that this is one of the scenarios that Russia wants to advance, though I'm unsure exactly how seriously it's being pursued right now given the understandably much greater focus on resolving the Ukrainian Conflict.
The beauty of the whole thing is that Russia does not have to go to war there. Russia can play the proxy game just like the U.S. did in Ukraine. In case of any complaints, Lavrov can tell Trump: Everything I know I learned from you guys… This is not exactly how the conversation will take place but this will be the unspoken core message. And by the time the missiles will fly from both sides, the price of Trump’s little Paradise City in Gaza will keep getting higher and higher. At the end comes “The Art of the Deal”, no more missiles no more beach paradise in Gaza. Russia can use at least Gibraltar, 2 million + Palestinians rebuild Gaza, the truth wins, everybody is happy and the players walk off into the sunset.
I see what you're saying, but that's not how Russia operates. It's not interested in sparking a regional war, nor does it have the excess military production capacities right now to arm any partner abroad for a prolonged period of time during ongoing hostilities.