The redeployment of its hypersonic Oreshniks to Kaliningrad, Belarus, and/or Crimea is the most likely response so long as the US continues to informally comply with the New START, but any significant violations thereof could prompt Russia to redeploy (even just tactical) nukes to those places.
As long as Russia does not push back hard, the US will only push more. What Russia thinks of as reasonableness and accomodation desperately trying to avoid confrontation, the West sees as contemptible weakness and demands more.
Biden removed sanctions on NS2!! Putin could have maintained the status quo and received billions in euros and instead he chose to invade Ukraine!! Russia even hosted the Olympics and World Cup in the 2010s which meant the West wanted them integrated into the global economy.
Russia can put all the weapons it wants in Belarus, Crimée, Kaliningrad, Westerners don't give a shit because they are confident that Russia'll never use it without a direct invasion of its territory by NATO.
And NATO is still cautious enough to keep on harassing Russia but not go to far.
Xi won’t allow Putin to pull any of that BS. Xi wants to do big things and he learned the correct lessons from the Iraq War…war is to be avoided at all costs because it’s much better to be prepared for war than actually be at war. Now Putin invading Ukraine has made Russia weaker which served China’s interests because Russia has grain and energy and technology that China can use and as Russia gets weaker China gains leverage over Russia…but a world war would be awful for China’s export economy.
Do you know what ratio total export represents in China's GDP?
For NeederLand it's more than 1/3. For Germany, more than 20%.
For China, it's less than 7%.
And the total export to west is between 3 and 4%.
And concerning those exports, the added value is negligible because it's almost western companies which seize almost all the profit margin by tranfert.
Don't you think that China can't survive without the 3,5% of GDP?
But you are right, the most Russia is weakened, the better it is for China.
But never forget a capital strategic point. For now, Russia has far more better strategic weapons than all combine west.
But it can't last.
When west will have true hypersonic non-ballistic missiles, and true efficient AD( not those old lousy patriots), China nor Russia will have a superiority window.
Simple What we do to Russia ,Russia can retaliate. WHY mess with a nuclear super power??? How much nicer it would b if U SA & Russia became friends. WHY NOY ???
Under the Rand-Yakoubovsky plans, EU bigwigs such as Germany, France, Italy, Belgium, Luxembourg, Holland, Denmark, Sweden, Italy, Switzerland and others are to pool up financial and industrial resources for a thorough revamp of European Military-Industrial Complex, for a collective division of Labour geared towards surpassing and blunting the edge in hypersonic and directed beam strategic projectiles that is currently being wielded by Russia. Add to all of this a substantial augmentation of artificial intelligence capabilities and computer processing power of new chips which are in development in anticipation of giving an advantage of invincibility when combined with such missile hardware. Incidentally, almost all of western oligarchic firms in the private and public sector which operate in Asia while retaining the talent of scientists from India and other parts of the global South in employment (as defacto bonded labourers) have clandestinely committed themselves to the endeavour of milking the talent of Asiatic engineers in the domain of AI improvement for furtively channelising such technology into the collective Euro American deep state endeavour for conquest of Russia. The US has responsibly shouldered the mantle of brow eating political leaders in countries such as India to allow EU firms to plunder native Indian resources on same footing and with same previliges as American firms; this is the olive branch dangled by America for alluring the EU to stay loyally put into the gargantuan American led industrial coalition for conquest of Russia without getting bored or abandoning this project out of desperate indisposition or lack of enthusiasm halfway through. And Asiatic countries are being bullied by the USA to ensure that local courts arm twist local scientists against quitting bonded labour jobs with American and European firms under pain of severe criminal and civil penalties for breach of trust, this ensuring that the milking of talent of Asiatic employees remains unabated till at least 5 years from now. It is no rocket science to predict how the collective West will treat Russians if this sinister collective plan of theirs materialises to see the light of the day. Already the feudalist deep state that runs the EU an the USA has shown on umpteen occasions that the so-called rules based global order promulgated by them only some decades ago, by which they swore at every single opportunity in the garb of civilised relationship between nations, was a grand ruse to befool the naive world and meant to be broken arbitrarily at whimsical fancy when the turn came for these rules to be applied on its inventors. If Russia capitulates before the western marauders, western conquerors will pounce on Russians like mad dogs without qualms about devouring them in the most colossal scale of gluttonous cannibalism in world history. Russia ought to take premtive measures for maintaining its edge of superiority in strategic weapons while the window of opportunity lasts by resorting to a mirror-DOL (division of Labour) via provision of a safe haven for scientists, technologists and workers from the East who are willing to clandestinely quit jobs with western companies and emigrate to Russia, and to apply technologies which the latter bring with them to a wide multi-disciplinary gamut of civilian and military applications for achieving economies of scale while simultaneously bring the general living standards of the populace above par with German ones, without farcical compunctions of honouring rapacious western patents. And give guarantees of protection to such scientists from courts based in their home countries which might pursue them like mad hounds in deference to orders from American overlords. Unless Russia bucks up and takes decisive measures after taking restock of the entire situation, it will be strangulated in the economic sense and then vanquished militarily, and alongside it will go down the fate of 78 percent of the world's inhabitants including most denizens of the EU and Americas as well who will be reduced to serfhood with zero human rights in the same way in which feudal Dukes, Earls, Lords, Counts, executed 7 Yr old girls by hanging or garrotting all over Europe from England to Spain on flimsiest of charges such as having stolen a loaf of bread, during the not-so-past heydays of feudalism in Europe.
The U.S is in bad shape financially right now if they go after Iran it's gonna get much worse then you got China. An old saying (they're biting off more than they can chew)
America won the cold war by outspending the Soviet Union. The roles are reversed now, Russia is doing to U.S. now. Victory will be the U.S. crashing and burning maybe even the goyim will realize how we are abused and then maybe a color revolution and new elites if things don't get totally out of hand. Total victory would be having Nuremberg trials for the elite's and MSM . No more Federal Reserve, put the money changer's out of business.
Trump and his string-pullers do not care. They are confident that they can get their deracinated stooges in India and elsewhere to bleed the latters' own countries no end for subsidising American extravagance aimed at the eventual military subjugation of Russia which would more than suffice to recoup all costs incurred by the EU and the USA in the process once such an outcome has materialised.
If Russia goes down it's over and what use is this world without them. China would be the last obstacle and I'm not sure they're just going to sit back and watch, If Russia goes down they're gonna go down swinging for the fence they will never be military subjucated they have the best nukes on planet earth and I guarantee you they'll work when put to use . Bye- bye Russia bye-bye world
Putin is gonna score a knockout without a World War it's like Foreman and Ali rope a dope the empire is in bad shape that's why they're making the moves they are
Am I the only one getting impatient with all of this? The bully needs to be KO'd....dropped once and for all. Maybe it is about to happen if the Idiot attacks Iran.
As long as Russia does not push back hard, the US will only push more. What Russia thinks of as reasonableness and accomodation desperately trying to avoid confrontation, the West sees as contemptible weakness and demands more.
Biden removed sanctions on NS2!! Putin could have maintained the status quo and received billions in euros and instead he chose to invade Ukraine!! Russia even hosted the Olympics and World Cup in the 2010s which meant the West wanted them integrated into the global economy.
Russia can put all the weapons it wants in Belarus, Crimée, Kaliningrad, Westerners don't give a shit because they are confident that Russia'll never use it without a direct invasion of its territory by NATO.
And NATO is still cautious enough to keep on harassing Russia but not go to far.
Xi won’t allow Putin to pull any of that BS. Xi wants to do big things and he learned the correct lessons from the Iraq War…war is to be avoided at all costs because it’s much better to be prepared for war than actually be at war. Now Putin invading Ukraine has made Russia weaker which served China’s interests because Russia has grain and energy and technology that China can use and as Russia gets weaker China gains leverage over Russia…but a world war would be awful for China’s export economy.
Do you know what ratio total export represents in China's GDP?
For NeederLand it's more than 1/3. For Germany, more than 20%.
For China, it's less than 7%.
And the total export to west is between 3 and 4%.
And concerning those exports, the added value is negligible because it's almost western companies which seize almost all the profit margin by tranfert.
Don't you think that China can't survive without the 3,5% of GDP?
But you are right, the most Russia is weakened, the better it is for China.
But never forget a capital strategic point. For now, Russia has far more better strategic weapons than all combine west.
But it can't last.
When west will have true hypersonic non-ballistic missiles, and true efficient AD( not those old lousy patriots), China nor Russia will have a superiority window.
Simple What we do to Russia ,Russia can retaliate. WHY mess with a nuclear super power??? How much nicer it would b if U SA & Russia became friends. WHY NOY ???
Under the Rand-Yakoubovsky plans, EU bigwigs such as Germany, France, Italy, Belgium, Luxembourg, Holland, Denmark, Sweden, Italy, Switzerland and others are to pool up financial and industrial resources for a thorough revamp of European Military-Industrial Complex, for a collective division of Labour geared towards surpassing and blunting the edge in hypersonic and directed beam strategic projectiles that is currently being wielded by Russia. Add to all of this a substantial augmentation of artificial intelligence capabilities and computer processing power of new chips which are in development in anticipation of giving an advantage of invincibility when combined with such missile hardware. Incidentally, almost all of western oligarchic firms in the private and public sector which operate in Asia while retaining the talent of scientists from India and other parts of the global South in employment (as defacto bonded labourers) have clandestinely committed themselves to the endeavour of milking the talent of Asiatic engineers in the domain of AI improvement for furtively channelising such technology into the collective Euro American deep state endeavour for conquest of Russia. The US has responsibly shouldered the mantle of brow eating political leaders in countries such as India to allow EU firms to plunder native Indian resources on same footing and with same previliges as American firms; this is the olive branch dangled by America for alluring the EU to stay loyally put into the gargantuan American led industrial coalition for conquest of Russia without getting bored or abandoning this project out of desperate indisposition or lack of enthusiasm halfway through. And Asiatic countries are being bullied by the USA to ensure that local courts arm twist local scientists against quitting bonded labour jobs with American and European firms under pain of severe criminal and civil penalties for breach of trust, this ensuring that the milking of talent of Asiatic employees remains unabated till at least 5 years from now. It is no rocket science to predict how the collective West will treat Russians if this sinister collective plan of theirs materialises to see the light of the day. Already the feudalist deep state that runs the EU an the USA has shown on umpteen occasions that the so-called rules based global order promulgated by them only some decades ago, by which they swore at every single opportunity in the garb of civilised relationship between nations, was a grand ruse to befool the naive world and meant to be broken arbitrarily at whimsical fancy when the turn came for these rules to be applied on its inventors. If Russia capitulates before the western marauders, western conquerors will pounce on Russians like mad dogs without qualms about devouring them in the most colossal scale of gluttonous cannibalism in world history. Russia ought to take premtive measures for maintaining its edge of superiority in strategic weapons while the window of opportunity lasts by resorting to a mirror-DOL (division of Labour) via provision of a safe haven for scientists, technologists and workers from the East who are willing to clandestinely quit jobs with western companies and emigrate to Russia, and to apply technologies which the latter bring with them to a wide multi-disciplinary gamut of civilian and military applications for achieving economies of scale while simultaneously bring the general living standards of the populace above par with German ones, without farcical compunctions of honouring rapacious western patents. And give guarantees of protection to such scientists from courts based in their home countries which might pursue them like mad hounds in deference to orders from American overlords. Unless Russia bucks up and takes decisive measures after taking restock of the entire situation, it will be strangulated in the economic sense and then vanquished militarily, and alongside it will go down the fate of 78 percent of the world's inhabitants including most denizens of the EU and Americas as well who will be reduced to serfhood with zero human rights in the same way in which feudal Dukes, Earls, Lords, Counts, executed 7 Yr old girls by hanging or garrotting all over Europe from England to Spain on flimsiest of charges such as having stolen a loaf of bread, during the not-so-past heydays of feudalism in Europe.
The U.S is in bad shape financially right now if they go after Iran it's gonna get much worse then you got China. An old saying (they're biting off more than they can chew)
America won the cold war by outspending the Soviet Union. The roles are reversed now, Russia is doing to U.S. now. Victory will be the U.S. crashing and burning maybe even the goyim will realize how we are abused and then maybe a color revolution and new elites if things don't get totally out of hand. Total victory would be having Nuremberg trials for the elite's and MSM . No more Federal Reserve, put the money changer's out of business.
Trump and his string-pullers do not care. They are confident that they can get their deracinated stooges in India and elsewhere to bleed the latters' own countries no end for subsidising American extravagance aimed at the eventual military subjugation of Russia which would more than suffice to recoup all costs incurred by the EU and the USA in the process once such an outcome has materialised.
If Russia goes down it's over and what use is this world without them. China would be the last obstacle and I'm not sure they're just going to sit back and watch, If Russia goes down they're gonna go down swinging for the fence they will never be military subjucated they have the best nukes on planet earth and I guarantee you they'll work when put to use . Bye- bye Russia bye-bye world
Putin is gonna score a knockout without a World War it's like Foreman and Ali rope a dope the empire is in bad shape that's why they're making the moves they are
Please, define "Russian victory".
Thank you
Thanks for your great work Andrew!
We've restacked and shared this link on 'The Stacks'
https://askeptic.substack.com/p/the-stacks
This is art of the strategy of “containment”.
Am I the only one getting impatient with all of this? The bully needs to be KO'd....dropped once and for all. Maybe it is about to happen if the Idiot attacks Iran.
Yes and after him?
You believe that harassment of Russia began with Trump? And will end with Trump?
Biden + Blinken and an almost totally Jewish administration