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Tony Long's avatar

It's understood that there's a significant Russian diaspora in Israel and that Putin is a philo-semite. It's also understood that the heart of Russian diplomacy rests on pragmatic thinking, not moral posturing. That said, I find it disappointing that Moscow, aside from a few words at the UN in support of a two-state solution, has failed to fully condemn Israel for the worst genocide the world has seen since Rwanda, and possibly the Second World War.

The introduction of a few overrated Patriot systems to Ukraine isn't going to change anything in that conflict. But it does provide an excuse, if one is needed, for Russia to sever ties with the Netanyahu government and leave Bibi to stew in his own juice. I honestly don't see why maintaining good relations with Israel should matter that much anyway. Cementing political and economic ties with Iran and the Arab countries serves Russian interests far, far better.

Steve's avatar

‘Israel unilaterally bombing Iran’. Really? Like that’s a real ‘thing’? I’d be grateful if Andrew would do an article explaining how that would work out? From where I’m sitting, the US doesn’t have the balls to bomb Iran - they just walked away from the conflict with Ansrallah, without it seems extracting any concessions for Israel. I would also like to hear more about the Axis of Resistance defeat, when several things appear clear to me……. 1: The resistance in Iraq has not been degraded in any way at all. 2: Hamas likely has many more operatives than it did on 07/10/23, its tunnel system is mostly intact, it has an endless supply of explosive material to work with (courtesy of the IAF), and it can operate freely across most of the strip. 3: Ansrallah - enough said. 4: Hezbollah looks down, but hardly out. It’s leadership may have been cleared out, but it’s weapons inventory is likely intact, and it’s operatives are hardly attrited. In ground combat it stood firm and handed the IDF’s poor quality infantry a local defeat. It has two major problems - a quisling Govt and traitorous rentier class in Beirut, and a loss of overland supply lines thru Syria. Work in progress I’d say. 5: Iran. Proved that its missile forces could accurately strike anywhere in Israel, despite Israeli AD and all the help possible from US regional forces, and local compromised Arab governments. Proved back in Oct23, that it could comprehensively defeat an Israeli airstrike on Iran - and the proof? Israel didn’t repeat the failed strike. If, as it (and kool-aid drinking western analysts claim) it has ‘destroyed Iranian AD’ they would have been bombing Iran round the clock ever since - just like Syria. The resistance clearly endures, and it ain’t over till it’s over.

Pawel Podgorski's avatar

Russia sold Libia, Syria and now they are selling Iran. The reason for such discussting conduct is the present of 1.7million russian jews in iSSrahell. In Zbigniew Brzezinski book "The Grand Chessboard" page 53, he is stating that Iran is an underbelly of Russia. If Iran is destroyed like Syria, by December 2025 Russia will extinct. Putin will be known as another Gorbachev.

A Skeptic's avatar

Thanks for your great work Andrew!

We've shared the link on our daily report.

A Skeptic War Reports

https://askeptic.substack.com/

Kennewick Man's avatar

The North African situation from an Israeli view is way to complex to allow Israel to take chances against Russia. Future possibilities simply cannot be calculated. The 2018 incident resulting in fifteen Russians killed in Syria (1) was not forgotten and the day just might be coming when Bibi and gang has to pay the bill. If Israel bombs Iran he will be the second Very Nice Jewish Guy “playing with WWIII”. Trump might not send the 6th Fleet to free the kidnapped Swedish Greta Thunberg, a slightly autistic helper for the Palestinians but he might limit hardware deliveries for Bibi.

1, https://tass.com/defense/1022031

Feral Finster's avatar

Tl;Dr This is the result of Russian dithering and indecision.

barnabus's avatar

Israel was never particularly attached to Patriots as they didn't work that well. Probably, Russian impression now too. My understanding was that the USA was more interested in having them stationed in Israel than Israel having them stationed there. What with the rival Iron Dome, David' Sling system etc. Anyway, I think the Patriots are formally property of the US government.

Israel had a much bigger problem in 2023 because it was warehousing tons of US artillery munitions and aircraft bombs. That US then wanted to redirect to Ukraine. And then, Israelis had to wait 3-4 weeks in Oct 2023, until these munitions - on their way to Ukraine - got moved back to Israel. In the meantime, it seems that Israelis have decided to expand their own "dumb" munitions industry so as not to be so dependent on the whims of the US administration.

LEON VERMEULEN's avatar

Disappointing piece, Andrew! Sharing the immoral West in their descend to the deepest depth of morality is not what Russia should do. The pariah state of Israel must be isolated; if those 2 million Russian Jews show Russian-like compassion and humanity, Russia will undoubtedly welcome them home.

Parti's avatar

David P Goldman argued years ago that a conflict between the West and Russia would make Israel's security more vulnerable. Russia could (and likely) will become a spoiler at one point in time. Well, the West kind of deserves it. Perhaps, Russia should help Iran to finally acquire nuclear weapons... the only life insurance there is.

Pawel Podgorski's avatar

talmudic eskimoses are supporting each other's. We are Jews following Torah because it is the word of Almighty.Russia deported 1.7million of talmudic eskimoses to iSSrahell. We are against wars and the extermination of Semitic Palestinians.Pls remember that penis elenskistein is a talmudic eskimose so the blood of not his own is irrelevant to him