Their refined Hybrid War model will involve efforts to win the “tech race”, a new Western division of labor for containing Russia in Europe, and AI-generated anti-Russian infowars.
Thank you for this. I agree very much and believe, as your analysis implies, that we are not just on the verge of World War 3 but already in the middle of it. Which, to the average working person (who is busy making ends meet), looks pretty much like the world as it ever was, with just a bit more tension ramped up here and there and a firehose of disinformation from the mainstream media (and elsewhere) demonizing the West's opponents, most prominently China, Russia, Iran, and Venezuela but liable to change as needed.
Orwell saw clearly the importance of thought control, and AI may be just the tool for it.
Great analysis Andrew. When you don’t get caught up in the rapidly changing MSM stories of the day the dots are easy to follow. Can’t say many have made it as easy as you here with this article which leads me to exclaim. Why? While everything changes it all stays the same.
The databases as well as technologies which have gone into the making of western firms' whoopping AI and Internet of Things capabilities augmented by machine learning and sifting through literally every page on the net, have been acquired via sweat shops in which techies from the global South have been held in de-facto bonded labour conditions. All of this knowledge has in a way been garnered via plunder and exploitation of human resource potential of global South countries.
Russia needs to immediately rescind all Western patents, copyrights and database rights, if it is to survive the concerted multi-pronged onslought from the collective west geared towards Russia's decimation and dismemberment. Having achieved phenomenal technological and economic superiority over Russia via enforcement and weaponisation of IPR's for stifling Russia's economic emancipation, the west will weaponised such advantage for fomenting unrest inside Russia by selectively empowering western stooges through monetary donations and financial backing. It is a race against time for Russia. It must think out of the box instead of keeping itself immersed in the drudgery of status quo.
Western oligarchic firms that own
social media platforms and online publication entities, debar third world users from employing data mining tools on those websites, but at the same time they actively collude with American intelligence agencies' data mining programs which seek to create near perfect bots which can reliably impersonate authentic-sounding Indians, Chinese, Arab, Filipino, Georgian, Armenian, Vietnamese bloggers and authors, in the disinformation war directed against Russia.
"AI-generated anti-Russian infowars, both to demoralize Russians and boost morale among Westerners."
Given that the West's credibility is in the toilet, the result of these info wars may be quite opposite: demoralization of the West and boost of morale in Russia.
Sanity is the most expensive human commodity that they do not have as it cannot be purchased. NATO/US leadership together with their suicidal tactics will run into the brick wall of their own population’s opposition and fall apart. Presently, they are living from one election cycle to the next, securing their positions with a mixture of lies and terror. Their luck will have to run out one day.
->Ukraine is going to loose whole South, Dnepropetrovsk, Charkov,territory(200-300km wide) alongside of the border towards Romania and Moldovia until and including Trancarpatia becomes Russia.
As long as Ukraine has a border with any EU or NATO country, the infiltration would be unstoppable. Hence either the rump state is truly small (Polish Galicia only and not more) or no state.
This post breaks down the evolving Hybrid War strategy against Russia in a clear way, highlighting how tech competition, Europe’s shifting defense roles, and AI-driven info campaigns play into it. The point about the West’s focus on containing Russia even after Ukraine’s conflict ends shows how deep these rivalries run.
It seems you forgot a point , two capital points in this hybrid war against Russia:
South bound.
1)Turkish-azeri - Iranian axis-central asia and West Asia.
2) corruption of BRICS from insiders
Following the interview of Pezeskian by Carlson was bothering. Iran will not ask help from China nor Russia even in case of war against Israel or USA. Not a word on Palestine or Hezbollah, or very soft. And absolutely not a word about Azerbaijan and it's act of war in letting IDF planes bomb Iran from its territory. For memory, the "accident" of former president occured at the return of...Azerbaijan. He looked like kinda lukum. Unready. Then.
Ok, Khamenei reappeared for Ashura celebration but no fulminations. Guardians stay still.
I really think that Israel succeeded in soft regime change in Iran. Radical axis od resistance faction has been neutered.
Pezeskian occidentalistes rule totaly now.
They do it silently and quietly not to spark a civil war.
If I'm true, we'll see Iran gradually distancing from Russia.
If I'm true, it could be the most terrible strike against Russia.
I didn't "forget" anything: I sought to identify the three broadest trends, but the emerging one of Turkiye's expansion of influence into Central Asia via Armenia-Azerbaijan (which I've written extensively about as proven by my five-part analytical series last week) could still possibly be offset, so I decided not to include it in this general review.
As regards BRICS, I don't consider it to be all that important to be brutally honest and explained why here last fall:
Lure Russia in Ukrainian trap to force it to stay focused.
Promote a false connection between Russia and Turkey with a false coup where Russia "save" Erdogan which justify this surprising connection just weeks after Turkey shooted Russian planes in Syria.
Friendship between Alyiev and Poutine.
Growing alliance between Russian and iranians radicals.
And suddenly, in few months, Axis of Resistance is destroyed, Syria is lost, soft regime change in Iran and sudden hostility from Azerbaijan.
Ukraine was not the purpose. It was the lure, the trap. Like muleta of a torero in corrida.
Neocons only know how to kill. And the biggest surprise to most of us is that Trump himself turned out to be a closet neocon in the greatest rug pull of the century. His job is selling BS sanchwiches to all sides.
I'd like to be optimistic and dream of peace in Ukraine. A truce similar to Korea (but with western ukronazistan being demilitarised) is one likely scenario. But quite unlikely too.
Peace requires Western Ukraine be denazified and independent of westies which will not happen soon even if arms turn quiet. Ruskies have to decide which is lesser evil: total occupation German style or rabid Rump Ukraine. A dissolution and partition of ukronazistan is probably "lessest" of the lesser evils.
* * * *
When westies did cold war, lies were difficult to check jut were used sparingly, mostly to decorate propaganda which was mostly based on truth. There was no need for lies
AI or not, westies now need lies-machine turned to 11 for any effect but the ROI is minimal. No one falls for any if it by much. In fact I'd argue AI propagabda is meant to be for domestic market. As AI generated shyte becomes mainstream, people will learn to distinct from human lies.
Russia won't military defend Iran, that was always a false expectation pushed by the Mainstream Media and their Alt-Media rivals alike, curiously enough:
It is mentally easier to take a totally opposite position. If Israel attacks Iran, then Russia has to protect Iran, etc. For proper international diplomacy and national strategic interests, it is much more important to take moderate steps and speak humbly. While Western media and politicians frequently badmouth Russia and Putin, Russia's foreign ministry and Putin rarely speak rashly. Medvedev on X is a special designation to satisfy the domestic audience.
Sure, especially when Pezeskian himself told Carlson yesterday that Iran will not call help for Russia nor China even in case of war with Israel or USA.
Iran don't want Russia alliance and protection.
Poutine said it himself few days ago .
It's time to wake up for AMC cheerleaders. Unbearable.
Thank you for this. I agree very much and believe, as your analysis implies, that we are not just on the verge of World War 3 but already in the middle of it. Which, to the average working person (who is busy making ends meet), looks pretty much like the world as it ever was, with just a bit more tension ramped up here and there and a firehose of disinformation from the mainstream media (and elsewhere) demonizing the West's opponents, most prominently China, Russia, Iran, and Venezuela but liable to change as needed.
Orwell saw clearly the importance of thought control, and AI may be just the tool for it.
Great analysis Andrew. When you don’t get caught up in the rapidly changing MSM stories of the day the dots are easy to follow. Can’t say many have made it as easy as you here with this article which leads me to exclaim. Why? While everything changes it all stays the same.
Thanks so much, James!
The databases as well as technologies which have gone into the making of western firms' whoopping AI and Internet of Things capabilities augmented by machine learning and sifting through literally every page on the net, have been acquired via sweat shops in which techies from the global South have been held in de-facto bonded labour conditions. All of this knowledge has in a way been garnered via plunder and exploitation of human resource potential of global South countries.
Russia needs to immediately rescind all Western patents, copyrights and database rights, if it is to survive the concerted multi-pronged onslought from the collective west geared towards Russia's decimation and dismemberment. Having achieved phenomenal technological and economic superiority over Russia via enforcement and weaponisation of IPR's for stifling Russia's economic emancipation, the west will weaponised such advantage for fomenting unrest inside Russia by selectively empowering western stooges through monetary donations and financial backing. It is a race against time for Russia. It must think out of the box instead of keeping itself immersed in the drudgery of status quo.
Western oligarchic firms that own
social media platforms and online publication entities, debar third world users from employing data mining tools on those websites, but at the same time they actively collude with American intelligence agencies' data mining programs which seek to create near perfect bots which can reliably impersonate authentic-sounding Indians, Chinese, Arab, Filipino, Georgian, Armenian, Vietnamese bloggers and authors, in the disinformation war directed against Russia.
"AI-generated anti-Russian infowars, both to demoralize Russians and boost morale among Westerners."
Given that the West's credibility is in the toilet, the result of these info wars may be quite opposite: demoralization of the West and boost of morale in Russia.
Sanity is the most expensive human commodity that they do not have as it cannot be purchased. NATO/US leadership together with their suicidal tactics will run into the brick wall of their own population’s opposition and fall apart. Presently, they are living from one election cycle to the next, securing their positions with a mixture of lies and terror. Their luck will have to run out one day.
Precondition for peace/possibilities:
1)Ukraine: No EU,no BRICS.
->Ukraine is going to loose whole South, Dnepropetrovsk, Charkov,territory(200-300km wide) alongside of the border towards Romania and Moldovia until and including Trancarpatia becomes Russia.
2)Ukraine joins Russian Federation
3)Ukraine becomes BRICS member. No EU,no Nato.
As long as Ukraine has a border with any EU or NATO country, the infiltration would be unstoppable. Hence either the rump state is truly small (Polish Galicia only and not more) or no state.
This post breaks down the evolving Hybrid War strategy against Russia in a clear way, highlighting how tech competition, Europe’s shifting defense roles, and AI-driven info campaigns play into it. The point about the West’s focus on containing Russia even after Ukraine’s conflict ends shows how deep these rivalries run.
Since peace in Ukraine is not forthcoming, the entire discussion is academic.
I hope that Russia has more leaders like president Putin lined up to succeed him otherwise all will be for nothing in the end .
It seems you forgot a point , two capital points in this hybrid war against Russia:
South bound.
1)Turkish-azeri - Iranian axis-central asia and West Asia.
2) corruption of BRICS from insiders
Following the interview of Pezeskian by Carlson was bothering. Iran will not ask help from China nor Russia even in case of war against Israel or USA. Not a word on Palestine or Hezbollah, or very soft. And absolutely not a word about Azerbaijan and it's act of war in letting IDF planes bomb Iran from its territory. For memory, the "accident" of former president occured at the return of...Azerbaijan. He looked like kinda lukum. Unready. Then.
Ok, Khamenei reappeared for Ashura celebration but no fulminations. Guardians stay still.
I really think that Israel succeeded in soft regime change in Iran. Radical axis od resistance faction has been neutered.
Pezeskian occidentalistes rule totaly now.
They do it silently and quietly not to spark a civil war.
If I'm true, we'll see Iran gradually distancing from Russia.
If I'm true, it could be the most terrible strike against Russia.
I didn't "forget" anything: I sought to identify the three broadest trends, but the emerging one of Turkiye's expansion of influence into Central Asia via Armenia-Azerbaijan (which I've written extensively about as proven by my five-part analytical series last week) could still possibly be offset, so I decided not to include it in this general review.
As regards BRICS, I don't consider it to be all that important to be brutally honest and explained why here last fall:
https://korybko.substack.com/p/did-the-latest-brics-summit-achieve
Very much so. BRICS has been severely overestimated and has too many internal cracks.
Yes Andreï, it's true, you've already spoken about Turkish-Azeri agenda . But without the huge possibility that Iran join it.
They was just a question, not a challenge. English is not my usual language and I can be clumsy.
But what you just said called loudly my attention: is it too soon to speak to us about "could possibly be offset"?
Thant you
Imagine such a brilliant chess move.
Lure Russia in Ukrainian trap to force it to stay focused.
Promote a false connection between Russia and Turkey with a false coup where Russia "save" Erdogan which justify this surprising connection just weeks after Turkey shooted Russian planes in Syria.
Friendship between Alyiev and Poutine.
Growing alliance between Russian and iranians radicals.
And suddenly, in few months, Axis of Resistance is destroyed, Syria is lost, soft regime change in Iran and sudden hostility from Azerbaijan.
Ukraine was not the purpose. It was the lure, the trap. Like muleta of a torero in corrida.
The true purpose was the south axis.
It could be fatal for Russia's sovereignty.
I hope to be wrong.
NATO is problem (globalisten army ) only destroying NATO is peace possible in world !!!!
Dimitry Trenin recently said the chances Russia will use a nuke on Europe are growing. How do you see this?
Neocons only know how to kill. And the biggest surprise to most of us is that Trump himself turned out to be a closet neocon in the greatest rug pull of the century. His job is selling BS sanchwiches to all sides.
I'd like to be optimistic and dream of peace in Ukraine. A truce similar to Korea (but with western ukronazistan being demilitarised) is one likely scenario. But quite unlikely too.
Peace requires Western Ukraine be denazified and independent of westies which will not happen soon even if arms turn quiet. Ruskies have to decide which is lesser evil: total occupation German style or rabid Rump Ukraine. A dissolution and partition of ukronazistan is probably "lessest" of the lesser evils.
* * * *
When westies did cold war, lies were difficult to check jut were used sparingly, mostly to decorate propaganda which was mostly based on truth. There was no need for lies
AI or not, westies now need lies-machine turned to 11 for any effect but the ROI is minimal. No one falls for any if it by much. In fact I'd argue AI propagabda is meant to be for domestic market. As AI generated shyte becomes mainstream, people will learn to distinct from human lies.
Precondition. Israel has to stop war against Iran. Otherwise some Oreshniks has to be used.
Precondition USA has to respect BRICS.
Precondition Dollar hegemony must be ended.(At least world wide).
Russia won't military defend Iran, that was always a false expectation pushed by the Mainstream Media and their Alt-Media rivals alike, curiously enough:
https://korybko.substack.com/p/claims-about-russias-unreliability
BRICS isn't as important as its online enthusiasts claim:
https://korybko.substack.com/p/did-the-latest-brics-summit-achieve
Russia isn't trying to dethrone the dollar:
https://korybko.substack.com/p/de-dollarization-was-always-more
It is mentally easier to take a totally opposite position. If Israel attacks Iran, then Russia has to protect Iran, etc. For proper international diplomacy and national strategic interests, it is much more important to take moderate steps and speak humbly. While Western media and politicians frequently badmouth Russia and Putin, Russia's foreign ministry and Putin rarely speak rashly. Medvedev on X is a special designation to satisfy the domestic audience.
Sure, especially when Pezeskian himself told Carlson yesterday that Iran will not call help for Russia nor China even in case of war with Israel or USA.
Iran don't want Russia alliance and protection.
Poutine said it himself few days ago .
It's time to wake up for AMC cheerleaders. Unbearable.