A rapprochement between China and India is unlikely due to trust issues going back to 1962 between the two countries, China’s propensity to push their border agenda, and their open support of Pakistan.
A Pakistan-India rapprochement is practically impossible.
I’ve also heard it said that India is getting “bored of BRICS” mostly due to China.
Having said that, Dr Jaishankar seems to know what he’s doing to handle all these vectors, so I’m cautiously optimistic that Russia-India relations will not suffer any major outages.
India needs to seriously work on alternative trade routes for yet better connectivity with Russia. The Malacca Straits and Suez Canal can be choked both by European navies and by China at any time. History is not made simply through idle gossip in chat rooms. India must prioritise this on war-footing. Otherwise the Indian leadership is dozing in a grand slumber and taking the nation for a ride to nowhere.
PoK must be taken back, instead of plain sloganeering and indefinite procrastination. Leonid Brezhnev had invited the traitor foreign agent, erstwhile Premier Morarji Desai of India to do so in 1979 with active co-operation from Russian military, but the scounderal spurned the generous offer by retorting that he would not even think of betraying USA which had lent him succour DURING India's draconian EMERGENCY, by going against America's protege Pakistan. It is unfortunate that some in the high echelons of power in India take pride in being spiritual progenies of such a pervert as Morarji Desai. Morarji considered it a virtue to remain perennially subjugated by enemy nations and a sin for India to assert itself and reclaim its rightful inheritance. He was a disaster for both India and India's well-wishers.
India should start work in brass-tacks mode on Isthmus-of-Kraw canal as a far more preferable alternative to the Malacca Straits, and expedite work on Chah Bahar. The Kraw Isthmus canal between Indian and Pacific Oceans will turn out to be a money spinner for both India as well as the host nations. India has a wealth of very high-yield explosives such as Sebex-2 from Economic Explosives which might be a perfect fit for the construction of this canal. Vigil can be kept on the canal from India's naval base in Andaman and Nicobar archipelago, and from Phan Rang (Cam Ranh) Bay in Vietnam, both of which are located at vantage points on opposite sides of the canal. India does not need one dollar in loans from JAPAN or Europe to go ahead with this work, but political will is paramount.
Dear Pramod, why rake up Morarji Bhai , keep him out of future equations. He is irrelevant as of now. India, regardless of who is in power, has always acknowledged Russia's support and friendship. I fervently hope future governments bear in mind that the Russian bear has always stood by us.
Sanjay has made a valid point. It is difficult for India to pivot to China after it provides 70% of military logistics to Pakistan. How do you reconcile to Chinese beyond visual range missiles fired from Chinese fighter jets? I tell my friends we have been through this situation before, we faced American jets and logistics gifted to Pakistan. Moreover I never tire of telling whoever listens to me that America directly and indirectly not only established Pakistan's nuclear programme but also funded, armed and trained their terror groups, which have egregiously acted against the Indian people.
I am sure that Mr Putin will appreciate Indian sentiments where China is considered. Mr Modi had been trying very hard all these years to improve relations with China. This is not only pragmatic but plain common sense. Both Mr Modi and Mr Putin will have to navigate between China and Pakistan for everyones benefit.
Crucially, both Pakistan and India have to sort out the Kashmir quagmire. It is entirely between Pakistan and us to think out of the box and find a permanent solution.
Andrew had suggested a step, which I personally do not object to. However, I can already hear millions of Pakistanis and Indians screaming their annoyance and displeasure.
I would be the last person on earth to suggest any sort of military alliance with China. That is a definite impossibility, and an absurd idea which can only appeal to the likes of Pappu for selfish interests of Sonia Maino.
Having said that, I would reiterate that Indians should not read too much in Mr Lavrov's exhortations like touchy trigger-bags, and learn the art of ignoring such pronouncements. It is You Tubers of the Karolina Goswami genre, the EU intellectual saboteur from Poland entrenched in a priest crafty Indian household, who incite India audience to jump to tantrums at the flimsiest of pretext, such as by hyping the China factor.
Just because Mr Lavrov says India should club up with China does not automatically mean India should do so. Indeed, if India were to jump that bandwagon, I would lay the fault on the doors of Indian leadership and pity their wisdom. Many statements are made in global geopolitics for catering to different kinds of audience. Russia has never refused defence co-operation with India, on the other hand it is saboteurs like Subrahmaniam Swamy and his coterie who have been undermining Indian Co-participation in cutting edge defence tech with Russia by advancing moronic and misleading rationale such as that Russian equipment contains Chinese chips and that India does not need nuclear powered aircraft
carriers or long range TU-150 bombers because Indian civilisation supposedly abhors power-projection beyond national borders.
In a TV appearance, BJP spokesperson Sudhanshu Trivedi had spoken ill of Indo-Russian military co-operation in 1971, alleging that it led to India submitting before USSR's communist diktats for subversion of India's politico-economic landscape. Sushma Swaraj had once alleged in Parliament that Russia under Nikita Khrushchev had supported the 1961 invasion of India by China, based on a fictional book written by a British man. Such beliefs betray a poor understanding of political history. Both Khrushchev's memoirs and Chinese archives clearly show that Khrushchev had affirmed hands thumping down, in Beijing, that Russia has its own government which does not agree with the Chinese claims on Aksai Chin and NEFA, and regards Chinese intrusion as nothing sort of an invasion. Khrushchev had added that unless China withdraws from NEFA, then if China is attacked by a third country, the USSR will not come to its aid.
The Mitrokhin Archives and Yuri Bezmenov memoirs are a farce, written by western moles who share cultural camaraderie with George Soros.
It is admitted that Stalin abhorred India though, but that Georgian psychopath foreigner hated Russians as well even more than he did India. That is another story.
I am certainly not recommending military alliance with China, which is known to treacherously swallow up neighbours like a amoeba. From Inner Mongolia and Manchuria to Tibet and Yunnan. But the Isthmus of Kraw canal will be a game changer for Indo-Russian connectivity. It is British propaganda to claim that this canal will give China precarious access to the Indian ocean. On the contrary, India can exercise plausible
suzerainty on it via naval fleet perched on sentinel points at Andaman-Nicobar and Phan Rang Bay. It is actually Singapore which is more likely to cede operational control over Malacca Straits to China, notwithstanding a hundred disagreements between Singapore and China on economic grounds. Singapore is ruled over by an astute Chinese elite, which had entered that country as colonisers during British reign and a little before, bringing age old family and clan feuds from China along as well. If one were to believe in the American dictum that Chinese dislike India, then this must apply to Singapore as well, because Singaporean Chinese are not an iota less (or more) racist than mainland Chinese folks. In fact, many Singaporean Chinese entrepreneurs, mainly practising Christians, lack empathy even with mainland Chinese co-ethnicist, and have rapaciously exploited Chinese labourers without remorse in factories owned by the on Chinese soil.
I am in full agreement with poster Sanjay Mehta but not in agreement with poster Hank Moody.
And not ganging up militarily with China should not mean that Indians must become entirely incapable of forging common ground in forums such as WTO for mutual good, on case to case basis.
It must be realised that Russia is in dire need of both a land-route to India as well as reliable sea-lane, in light of the geo-strategic threats to its economic security which have emerged from a hostile Europe in 21st century. India can afford to ignore this reality only at its peril, if India does nothing in this direction. Isthmus of Kraw canal does not pass through territory that is either Chinese or hostile to India.
It is childish to get triggered every time some non-descrepit You Tuber with questionable motives raises a furore over non-issues such as Russia's alleged initiative to revive Soviet era steel plant in Karachi, Pakistan. Come on, Indian pharma companies too export billions worth of medicine to Pakistan, a thriving business which will keep going, and good luck with that.
If Indian leaders play serf to Lords from the EU and USA, and shy away from anything but the most tokenist and paltry collaboration with Russia in matters of high tech, then I will not blame China if China grabs the opportunity to mop up cutting edge military tech FROM Russia. Although the west has the audacity to disincentivate India from buying Russian tech by dangling threats of sanction and ostracisement, the same west will parley with Russia via fronts such as New Zealand to buy off that Russian technology. It is upto the wisdom of Indian leaders to chose between common sense on the one hand and getting gung-ho mesmerized by fallacious perceptions of ethnocultural camaraderie with figurehead mascots of Viking handlers like Usha Vance and Akshatha Murthy on the other. Mascots like Rishi Sunak are in reality no better than peons of their Viking handlers, deracinated identity-crisis losers who have been fielded simply to uphold the time-honoured status quo of imperialist trends in English foreign policy while leveraging illicit influence on Indian political leadership by evincing deceptive perceptions of ethno-cultural camaraderie. Those who lick boots go so far as to remind Indians that India must take pride in and own up all of such mascots' policies, even if they undermine Indian national interests, because these persons are doing Hinduism proud by professing loyalty to their adopted lands. (Such naive beliefs fall under the ambit of Shilba Shitty syndrome of morbid adulation for white man). But such loyalties actually rest with the feudalist Anglo Saxon order of Lords and Barons, not the natives and masses of Britain.
Why leave out Russia's space program capabilities? Westerners criticize India for launching a pro-active space program when as they see it people are starving in the streets. What better allocation of resources for India than to get into the launch game, for future generations and upscaling industries?
I can see how Russia's strategic interests require that China-Pakistan-India relationship be peaceful enough to avoid open confrontation. I think this will be very difficult due to the following reasons: (1) India-China border is convenient for China to escalate and de-escalate at will without long-term serious damages. China has been using the border issue to draw domestic attention many times. (2) China's prime directive is to protect Tibet from India-UK's plan to promote Tibetan independence. (3) India has well-justified reasons not to yield to China along the long shared border (and probably along the China-Nepal border). (4) China needs sea access through Pakistan, while Russia needs a land route to India due to national security reasons. (5) Kashmir is strategically important. The current tri-partition is unlikely to change based on geographic and geopolitical reality. Languages and religious issues make it unrealistic to create an independent democratic Kashmir nation as a buffer state.
I would say Russia should start by building railways to Afghanistan and Pakistan first. Let's start with the easiest pieces in the jigsaw puzzle. The most difficult one will eventually fall into place when all other conditions are right. By the way, China is the junior partner in the Russia-China relationship.
Science and technology education, vocational education for labor crew and manufacturing jobs, quality of final factory output, attention to details, etc.
I think China also needs to buy S-400 or get licensed to manufacture S-400 in China.
In my opinion, Russia must demonstrate that is a strong Country and win a war with ukrabandera. India, Pakistan and China will move closer to Russia. If Russia shows weak position, the us will enter instead. At this stage the us is doing this with Pakistan and with india. Pls remember that Russia already lost Syria. Those countries will follow the strong, just like a wolf pack.
Russia did not lose Syria, they still have their base in Tartus but Russia moved away from Syria because Syria did not yield any ECONOMIC benefits. Russia sole focus is in Eurasia/Africa as both yield strong Economic benefits.
If Russia had utilised the opportunity to felicitate Europe with bouquets (and wreaths) showered from SS-18's in 1991 when Europe had been subjecting millions of Arabs in Iraq and a few hundreds of thousands of Labour expatriates in Kuwait to attempted Forcible starvation genocide, then Russia would have prevailed over the erstwhile World order and become the strongest economy in the world. Failure to avail that opportunity has led to the unceremonious comedown whereby today the EU has the guys and audacity to impose similar naval blockade on Russia as it had done on Iraq, and threaten Russia's shadow fleet. The opportunity in 1991 was lost because Russia then had its helm a traitor, western mole Mikhail Gorbachev.
But all is not lost. There is always time to make amends, so long as death has not come by, that is. Today, Oreshniks and Yakhonts and Sarmats can do a better job than SS-18's in the 1990's, and blow the lid over EU's audacious guts once and for all.
If I was a Russian foreign policy advisor, I would advise caution when it comes to India. That country is at least as politically unstable as is the United States.
Bloody-minded Hindu nationalism, truly rapacious capitalism the likes of which Putin successfully defeated in Russia, a glaring disparity of wealth, and a fucking caste system which is still a thing even if it is no longer enshrined into law.
I see the attitudes of their upper caste reflected here in the States all the time by wealthy Indian immigrants, and it ain't pretty. Beware, Uncle Vlad. China is much more stable and reliable than India.
The EU cannot come to terms with the spectre of an economically resurgent India. More than a decade ago, Western strategic think-tanks had surmised that India will inevitably break free of the monopolistic stranglehold of ethnic European oligarchs over global economy if it is allowed to surge unchecked along its chartered path of economic emancipation, because it is singularly endowed with such bountiful human, mineral and human resource as to be potentially capable of evolving into a self-contained comprehensive economy featuring total vertical and horizontal integration of manufacturing prowess from raw material to finished products, so as to become totally immune to vagaries of extraneous influence such as sanctions regime. Those think tanks had opined that India must be stopped in its tracks, which is why the ISIS had been founded in Jordan with subjugation and genocide of India's one billion heathens as its manifesto. European strategists sought to unleash the ISIS in all of its stone aged brutality upon India for wreaking blood curdling holocaust to daze and sanitise Indian society in a prelude to direct invasion of an India reeling under holocaust with ICBM's to render all surviving remnants of its populace as serfs in a gargantuan sweat shop owned by MNC's established on that land subsequently.
For goading European serfs to pounce on Russia in murderous frenzy as cannon fodder along the line of nuclear fire, the deep state has been jettisoning the civilisational animosity towards India which runs deep in the European Viking subconscious since the days of Neanderthal neolithism, and redirecting it in full frenzied throttle towards Russia by positing that Russia is actually an aberration on the sacred Christian soil of Europe, an outpost implanted by Vedic India in remote antiquity for pillaging and siphoning off the wealth of Europe. A pertinent quote from a modern war manual which form recommended reading for western military strategists, a tome titled " Forgotten Antiquities of the Saffron menace, Vedic India in Europe", reads thus, "Beneath their skin deep Christian disguise, the Russian hordes have always borne the ignominy of barbarous saffron blood coursing in their veins".
It goes without saying that how Europe will deal with its real bete noir, India, after having done with Russia is anybody's guess in light of the foregoing info.
The idea that India can win both ways by ditching Russia at the west's behest and courting the EU is an essentially doomed one, which contradicts physical laws. But for those afflicted with the Shilba Shitty syndrome, such impossibilities seem to be the article of faith.
If this hyphenation of pakistan and India should be followed by the Russian policymakers in the future then it could deteriorate India-Russo relations. India feels like Russia is a junior partner of China and thus it would continue to engage deeper with Russians inorder to maintain its leverage over Russian policymakers. And at the same time our arms procurement from Russia has fell significantly over the last decade and making France, Israel, US and Germany our top priority for defence needs. India does not sees multi polar world in its favour and Trans Eurasian railway project passing through Pakistan is only a pipe dream of Russian policymakers. After operation sindoor one thing is clear we need allies and strategic partners who would counter Xi and mullah regime in pakistan. In that context I don't see why India would take Russia has an ally which would benefit new Delhi in the longer term. Thus, India is now existing from its non alignment policy to strategically align with the US, Japan and EU nations. Since this would only serve its defence and strategic purposes which it clearly seeks after the aftermath of indo Pak short term skirmishes.
EU had been all along and is arming Pakistan to the teeth. SWEDEN had supplied AWACs early warning airplanes to Pakistan and the Biden administration had undertaken a major up gradation of Pakistani F16 jets which that country used for attempting bombardment of Indian cities post May 7. Trump has made substantial strategic investments in Pakistan and has committed many more. Georgia Meloni's Italy is developing submarines for Pakistani navy. It appears that you do not live in India, and possibly do not follow news on India as it appears in either Indian or western press.
By the way, what you have just said completely echoes new narratives being set by Pakistani activists on the net, some of whom might be affiliated with Pakistani intelligence agency ISI.
Your proposition about "India aligning strategically with the EU" does not appear convincing.
A rapprochement between China and India is unlikely due to trust issues going back to 1962 between the two countries, China’s propensity to push their border agenda, and their open support of Pakistan.
A Pakistan-India rapprochement is practically impossible.
I’ve also heard it said that India is getting “bored of BRICS” mostly due to China.
Having said that, Dr Jaishankar seems to know what he’s doing to handle all these vectors, so I’m cautiously optimistic that Russia-India relations will not suffer any major outages.
India needs to seriously work on alternative trade routes for yet better connectivity with Russia. The Malacca Straits and Suez Canal can be choked both by European navies and by China at any time. History is not made simply through idle gossip in chat rooms. India must prioritise this on war-footing. Otherwise the Indian leadership is dozing in a grand slumber and taking the nation for a ride to nowhere.
PoK must be taken back, instead of plain sloganeering and indefinite procrastination. Leonid Brezhnev had invited the traitor foreign agent, erstwhile Premier Morarji Desai of India to do so in 1979 with active co-operation from Russian military, but the scounderal spurned the generous offer by retorting that he would not even think of betraying USA which had lent him succour DURING India's draconian EMERGENCY, by going against America's protege Pakistan. It is unfortunate that some in the high echelons of power in India take pride in being spiritual progenies of such a pervert as Morarji Desai. Morarji considered it a virtue to remain perennially subjugated by enemy nations and a sin for India to assert itself and reclaim its rightful inheritance. He was a disaster for both India and India's well-wishers.
India should start work in brass-tacks mode on Isthmus-of-Kraw canal as a far more preferable alternative to the Malacca Straits, and expedite work on Chah Bahar. The Kraw Isthmus canal between Indian and Pacific Oceans will turn out to be a money spinner for both India as well as the host nations. India has a wealth of very high-yield explosives such as Sebex-2 from Economic Explosives which might be a perfect fit for the construction of this canal. Vigil can be kept on the canal from India's naval base in Andaman and Nicobar archipelago, and from Phan Rang (Cam Ranh) Bay in Vietnam, both of which are located at vantage points on opposite sides of the canal. India does not need one dollar in loans from JAPAN or Europe to go ahead with this work, but political will is paramount.
Dear Pramod, why rake up Morarji Bhai , keep him out of future equations. He is irrelevant as of now. India, regardless of who is in power, has always acknowledged Russia's support and friendship. I fervently hope future governments bear in mind that the Russian bear has always stood by us.
Sanjay has made a valid point. It is difficult for India to pivot to China after it provides 70% of military logistics to Pakistan. How do you reconcile to Chinese beyond visual range missiles fired from Chinese fighter jets? I tell my friends we have been through this situation before, we faced American jets and logistics gifted to Pakistan. Moreover I never tire of telling whoever listens to me that America directly and indirectly not only established Pakistan's nuclear programme but also funded, armed and trained their terror groups, which have egregiously acted against the Indian people.
I am sure that Mr Putin will appreciate Indian sentiments where China is considered. Mr Modi had been trying very hard all these years to improve relations with China. This is not only pragmatic but plain common sense. Both Mr Modi and Mr Putin will have to navigate between China and Pakistan for everyones benefit.
Crucially, both Pakistan and India have to sort out the Kashmir quagmire. It is entirely between Pakistan and us to think out of the box and find a permanent solution.
Andrew had suggested a step, which I personally do not object to. However, I can already hear millions of Pakistanis and Indians screaming their annoyance and displeasure.
I would be the last person on earth to suggest any sort of military alliance with China. That is a definite impossibility, and an absurd idea which can only appeal to the likes of Pappu for selfish interests of Sonia Maino.
Having said that, I would reiterate that Indians should not read too much in Mr Lavrov's exhortations like touchy trigger-bags, and learn the art of ignoring such pronouncements. It is You Tubers of the Karolina Goswami genre, the EU intellectual saboteur from Poland entrenched in a priest crafty Indian household, who incite India audience to jump to tantrums at the flimsiest of pretext, such as by hyping the China factor.
Just because Mr Lavrov says India should club up with China does not automatically mean India should do so. Indeed, if India were to jump that bandwagon, I would lay the fault on the doors of Indian leadership and pity their wisdom. Many statements are made in global geopolitics for catering to different kinds of audience. Russia has never refused defence co-operation with India, on the other hand it is saboteurs like Subrahmaniam Swamy and his coterie who have been undermining Indian Co-participation in cutting edge defence tech with Russia by advancing moronic and misleading rationale such as that Russian equipment contains Chinese chips and that India does not need nuclear powered aircraft
carriers or long range TU-150 bombers because Indian civilisation supposedly abhors power-projection beyond national borders.
In a TV appearance, BJP spokesperson Sudhanshu Trivedi had spoken ill of Indo-Russian military co-operation in 1971, alleging that it led to India submitting before USSR's communist diktats for subversion of India's politico-economic landscape. Sushma Swaraj had once alleged in Parliament that Russia under Nikita Khrushchev had supported the 1961 invasion of India by China, based on a fictional book written by a British man. Such beliefs betray a poor understanding of political history. Both Khrushchev's memoirs and Chinese archives clearly show that Khrushchev had affirmed hands thumping down, in Beijing, that Russia has its own government which does not agree with the Chinese claims on Aksai Chin and NEFA, and regards Chinese intrusion as nothing sort of an invasion. Khrushchev had added that unless China withdraws from NEFA, then if China is attacked by a third country, the USSR will not come to its aid.
The Mitrokhin Archives and Yuri Bezmenov memoirs are a farce, written by western moles who share cultural camaraderie with George Soros.
It is admitted that Stalin abhorred India though, but that Georgian psychopath foreigner hated Russians as well even more than he did India. That is another story.
I am certainly not recommending military alliance with China, which is known to treacherously swallow up neighbours like a amoeba. From Inner Mongolia and Manchuria to Tibet and Yunnan. But the Isthmus of Kraw canal will be a game changer for Indo-Russian connectivity. It is British propaganda to claim that this canal will give China precarious access to the Indian ocean. On the contrary, India can exercise plausible
suzerainty on it via naval fleet perched on sentinel points at Andaman-Nicobar and Phan Rang Bay. It is actually Singapore which is more likely to cede operational control over Malacca Straits to China, notwithstanding a hundred disagreements between Singapore and China on economic grounds. Singapore is ruled over by an astute Chinese elite, which had entered that country as colonisers during British reign and a little before, bringing age old family and clan feuds from China along as well. If one were to believe in the American dictum that Chinese dislike India, then this must apply to Singapore as well, because Singaporean Chinese are not an iota less (or more) racist than mainland Chinese folks. In fact, many Singaporean Chinese entrepreneurs, mainly practising Christians, lack empathy even with mainland Chinese co-ethnicist, and have rapaciously exploited Chinese labourers without remorse in factories owned by the on Chinese soil.
I am in full agreement with poster Sanjay Mehta but not in agreement with poster Hank Moody.
And not ganging up militarily with China should not mean that Indians must become entirely incapable of forging common ground in forums such as WTO for mutual good, on case to case basis.
It must be realised that Russia is in dire need of both a land-route to India as well as reliable sea-lane, in light of the geo-strategic threats to its economic security which have emerged from a hostile Europe in 21st century. India can afford to ignore this reality only at its peril, if India does nothing in this direction. Isthmus of Kraw canal does not pass through territory that is either Chinese or hostile to India.
It is childish to get triggered every time some non-descrepit You Tuber with questionable motives raises a furore over non-issues such as Russia's alleged initiative to revive Soviet era steel plant in Karachi, Pakistan. Come on, Indian pharma companies too export billions worth of medicine to Pakistan, a thriving business which will keep going, and good luck with that.
If Indian leaders play serf to Lords from the EU and USA, and shy away from anything but the most tokenist and paltry collaboration with Russia in matters of high tech, then I will not blame China if China grabs the opportunity to mop up cutting edge military tech FROM Russia. Although the west has the audacity to disincentivate India from buying Russian tech by dangling threats of sanction and ostracisement, the same west will parley with Russia via fronts such as New Zealand to buy off that Russian technology. It is upto the wisdom of Indian leaders to chose between common sense on the one hand and getting gung-ho mesmerized by fallacious perceptions of ethnocultural camaraderie with figurehead mascots of Viking handlers like Usha Vance and Akshatha Murthy on the other. Mascots like Rishi Sunak are in reality no better than peons of their Viking handlers, deracinated identity-crisis losers who have been fielded simply to uphold the time-honoured status quo of imperialist trends in English foreign policy while leveraging illicit influence on Indian political leadership by evincing deceptive perceptions of ethno-cultural camaraderie. Those who lick boots go so far as to remind Indians that India must take pride in and own up all of such mascots' policies, even if they undermine Indian national interests, because these persons are doing Hinduism proud by professing loyalty to their adopted lands. (Such naive beliefs fall under the ambit of Shilba Shitty syndrome of morbid adulation for white man). But such loyalties actually rest with the feudalist Anglo Saxon order of Lords and Barons, not the natives and masses of Britain.
Why leave out Russia's space program capabilities? Westerners criticize India for launching a pro-active space program when as they see it people are starving in the streets. What better allocation of resources for India than to get into the launch game, for future generations and upscaling industries?
By innuendo, my allusion encompasses all.
I can see how Russia's strategic interests require that China-Pakistan-India relationship be peaceful enough to avoid open confrontation. I think this will be very difficult due to the following reasons: (1) India-China border is convenient for China to escalate and de-escalate at will without long-term serious damages. China has been using the border issue to draw domestic attention many times. (2) China's prime directive is to protect Tibet from India-UK's plan to promote Tibetan independence. (3) India has well-justified reasons not to yield to China along the long shared border (and probably along the China-Nepal border). (4) China needs sea access through Pakistan, while Russia needs a land route to India due to national security reasons. (5) Kashmir is strategically important. The current tri-partition is unlikely to change based on geographic and geopolitical reality. Languages and religious issues make it unrealistic to create an independent democratic Kashmir nation as a buffer state.
I would say Russia should start by building railways to Afghanistan and Pakistan first. Let's start with the easiest pieces in the jigsaw puzzle. The most difficult one will eventually fall into place when all other conditions are right. By the way, China is the junior partner in the Russia-China relationship.
Russian space program- better.
Bolshoi Ballet- seen as better.
Women's synchronized swimming- Russia usually wins.
National futbol teams- Russia.
Soviet landmass- larger than China.
Breakup of Soviet Union versus breakup of China? Don't count China out.
It's a stimulating relationship because of the tiny step Russia has.
Science and technology education, vocational education for labor crew and manufacturing jobs, quality of final factory output, attention to details, etc.
I think China also needs to buy S-400 or get licensed to manufacture S-400 in China.
In my opinion, Russia must demonstrate that is a strong Country and win a war with ukrabandera. India, Pakistan and China will move closer to Russia. If Russia shows weak position, the us will enter instead. At this stage the us is doing this with Pakistan and with india. Pls remember that Russia already lost Syria. Those countries will follow the strong, just like a wolf pack.
Russia did not lose Syria, they still have their base in Tartus but Russia moved away from Syria because Syria did not yield any ECONOMIC benefits. Russia sole focus is in Eurasia/Africa as both yield strong Economic benefits.
If Russia had utilised the opportunity to felicitate Europe with bouquets (and wreaths) showered from SS-18's in 1991 when Europe had been subjecting millions of Arabs in Iraq and a few hundreds of thousands of Labour expatriates in Kuwait to attempted Forcible starvation genocide, then Russia would have prevailed over the erstwhile World order and become the strongest economy in the world. Failure to avail that opportunity has led to the unceremonious comedown whereby today the EU has the guys and audacity to impose similar naval blockade on Russia as it had done on Iraq, and threaten Russia's shadow fleet. The opportunity in 1991 was lost because Russia then had its helm a traitor, western mole Mikhail Gorbachev.
But all is not lost. There is always time to make amends, so long as death has not come by, that is. Today, Oreshniks and Yakhonts and Sarmats can do a better job than SS-18's in the 1990's, and blow the lid over EU's audacious guts once and for all.
If I was a Russian foreign policy advisor, I would advise caution when it comes to India. That country is at least as politically unstable as is the United States.
Bloody-minded Hindu nationalism, truly rapacious capitalism the likes of which Putin successfully defeated in Russia, a glaring disparity of wealth, and a fucking caste system which is still a thing even if it is no longer enshrined into law.
I see the attitudes of their upper caste reflected here in the States all the time by wealthy Indian immigrants, and it ain't pretty. Beware, Uncle Vlad. China is much more stable and reliable than India.
The EU cannot come to terms with the spectre of an economically resurgent India. More than a decade ago, Western strategic think-tanks had surmised that India will inevitably break free of the monopolistic stranglehold of ethnic European oligarchs over global economy if it is allowed to surge unchecked along its chartered path of economic emancipation, because it is singularly endowed with such bountiful human, mineral and human resource as to be potentially capable of evolving into a self-contained comprehensive economy featuring total vertical and horizontal integration of manufacturing prowess from raw material to finished products, so as to become totally immune to vagaries of extraneous influence such as sanctions regime. Those think tanks had opined that India must be stopped in its tracks, which is why the ISIS had been founded in Jordan with subjugation and genocide of India's one billion heathens as its manifesto. European strategists sought to unleash the ISIS in all of its stone aged brutality upon India for wreaking blood curdling holocaust to daze and sanitise Indian society in a prelude to direct invasion of an India reeling under holocaust with ICBM's to render all surviving remnants of its populace as serfs in a gargantuan sweat shop owned by MNC's established on that land subsequently.
For goading European serfs to pounce on Russia in murderous frenzy as cannon fodder along the line of nuclear fire, the deep state has been jettisoning the civilisational animosity towards India which runs deep in the European Viking subconscious since the days of Neanderthal neolithism, and redirecting it in full frenzied throttle towards Russia by positing that Russia is actually an aberration on the sacred Christian soil of Europe, an outpost implanted by Vedic India in remote antiquity for pillaging and siphoning off the wealth of Europe. A pertinent quote from a modern war manual which form recommended reading for western military strategists, a tome titled " Forgotten Antiquities of the Saffron menace, Vedic India in Europe", reads thus, "Beneath their skin deep Christian disguise, the Russian hordes have always borne the ignominy of barbarous saffron blood coursing in their veins".
It goes without saying that how Europe will deal with its real bete noir, India, after having done with Russia is anybody's guess in light of the foregoing info.
The idea that India can win both ways by ditching Russia at the west's behest and courting the EU is an essentially doomed one, which contradicts physical laws. But for those afflicted with the Shilba Shitty syndrome, such impossibilities seem to be the article of faith.
If this hyphenation of pakistan and India should be followed by the Russian policymakers in the future then it could deteriorate India-Russo relations. India feels like Russia is a junior partner of China and thus it would continue to engage deeper with Russians inorder to maintain its leverage over Russian policymakers. And at the same time our arms procurement from Russia has fell significantly over the last decade and making France, Israel, US and Germany our top priority for defence needs. India does not sees multi polar world in its favour and Trans Eurasian railway project passing through Pakistan is only a pipe dream of Russian policymakers. After operation sindoor one thing is clear we need allies and strategic partners who would counter Xi and mullah regime in pakistan. In that context I don't see why India would take Russia has an ally which would benefit new Delhi in the longer term. Thus, India is now existing from its non alignment policy to strategically align with the US, Japan and EU nations. Since this would only serve its defence and strategic purposes which it clearly seeks after the aftermath of indo Pak short term skirmishes.
EU had been all along and is arming Pakistan to the teeth. SWEDEN had supplied AWACs early warning airplanes to Pakistan and the Biden administration had undertaken a major up gradation of Pakistani F16 jets which that country used for attempting bombardment of Indian cities post May 7. Trump has made substantial strategic investments in Pakistan and has committed many more. Georgia Meloni's Italy is developing submarines for Pakistani navy. It appears that you do not live in India, and possibly do not follow news on India as it appears in either Indian or western press.
By the way, what you have just said completely echoes new narratives being set by Pakistani activists on the net, some of whom might be affiliated with Pakistani intelligence agency ISI.
Your proposition about "India aligning strategically with the EU" does not appear convincing.