The bloc’s unstated goal is to perpetuate the conflict till at least 2029 in the hope that the Democrats will regain control of the White House and resume the US’ Biden-era Ukrainian policy.
There are other possible explanations for Putin’s inaction:
China and India do not want to hear about a full-scale war with thousands of civilian casualties and have warned they would change their stance if that were to happen.
Russian military doctrine, based on logistics and caution, is very reluctant to risk a major offensive that would be extremely costly, especially in human terms, even if successful.
A major military breakthrough would not resolve the situation anyway.
As for the much-discussed loan, it would be interesting to know how it is allocated: how much goes to U.S. and European weapons, how much to the functioning of the state, how much in cash, and how much in direct supplies. I find it hard to imagine the four major European arms producers—Germany, France, Italy, and Spain—paying for U.S. weaponry. Grab the popcorn once again
If Russia decided a full scale war was in the best interest of the country, I don’t think a 3rd countries trepidations would deter Russia. Even though Russia is most likely the junior partner to China, the events in Venezuela and now Iran have shown how quickly countries which are heavily reliant on energy and food imports can find them themselves very vulnerable. And other than America, Russia is really the only other country that can supply large amounts of energy and food while having the military power to ensure delivery through deterrence.
USA foreign policies toward Ukraine & Russia does not depend upon Democrats or Republicans it is dictated by the neocon lobby "Jews in the main". Jews hate Russia because they thought they could take over the country, that never happened . The Purges in 1937-39 wipped out their influence. Trotsky escaped to Mexico City where he was killled by a Russian agent. The EU countries that invaded Russia & were defeated feel the same about Russia. Their empires are gone but Russia is 6,000 miles long and rich in oil, gas, mineral wealth.
And of that, given how little economy remains in Ukraine, how much will go on military spending and how much just keeping the electricity working and kickbacks to Brussels.
Ukraine has pretty much collapsed already, Russia is just waiting.
There are other possible explanations for Putin’s inaction:
China and India do not want to hear about a full-scale war with thousands of civilian casualties and have warned they would change their stance if that were to happen.
Russian military doctrine, based on logistics and caution, is very reluctant to risk a major offensive that would be extremely costly, especially in human terms, even if successful.
A major military breakthrough would not resolve the situation anyway.
As for the much-discussed loan, it would be interesting to know how it is allocated: how much goes to U.S. and European weapons, how much to the functioning of the state, how much in cash, and how much in direct supplies. I find it hard to imagine the four major European arms producers—Germany, France, Italy, and Spain—paying for U.S. weaponry. Grab the popcorn once again
That is why I insist that there is not one EU, but multiple EUs, which moreover vary depending on the issue:
woke, non-woke, anti-woke
reluctantly aligned with the U.S., willingly aligned, pro-U.S., even outright admirers of the U.S.
in favor of a federal EU, or of a Europe of nation-states
in favor of a sovereign EU, or one subordinate to the U.S.
there are ultra-capitalists and social capitalists
pro-immigration and anti-immigration
those favoring strict criminal justice and those who are more lenient
Each state has its own stance, which can also change with every national election.
The Commission is merely a general secretariat—a kind of Frankenstein with no real autonomy of action
Idle to add, the people of these countries have yet another attitude towards matters. Approval ratings of goverments all over the west are abysmal.
If Russia decided a full scale war was in the best interest of the country, I don’t think a 3rd countries trepidations would deter Russia. Even though Russia is most likely the junior partner to China, the events in Venezuela and now Iran have shown how quickly countries which are heavily reliant on energy and food imports can find them themselves very vulnerable. And other than America, Russia is really the only other country that can supply large amounts of energy and food while having the military power to ensure delivery through deterrence.
Add to my earliier reply, that Russia has the most Nuclear Weapons of all the countries in the world.
USA foreign policies toward Ukraine & Russia does not depend upon Democrats or Republicans it is dictated by the neocon lobby "Jews in the main". Jews hate Russia because they thought they could take over the country, that never happened . The Purges in 1937-39 wipped out their influence. Trotsky escaped to Mexico City where he was killled by a Russian agent. The EU countries that invaded Russia & were defeated feel the same about Russia. Their empires are gone but Russia is 6,000 miles long and rich in oil, gas, mineral wealth.
Andrew, please can you comment on Promethian Action's take on this. I am holding on to the hope that Trump is in fact divorcing the City of London.
Common debt is issued as Individual country debt comes with electoral consequence in that country.
Germany can get 30 billion, french 30 billion,britain 20 billion and others can get remaining 10 billion. But electoral consequences will be immense.
Making debt transnational is travesty for unspoken pubic who will go through austerity.
How much will be delivered?
And of that, given how little economy remains in Ukraine, how much will go on military spending and how much just keeping the electricity working and kickbacks to Brussels.
Ukraine has pretty much collapsed already, Russia is just waiting.
Europeans are always happy to hide behind the Americans' legs and make faces at their enemies.