At stake is whether the US continues prioritizing ties with Pakistan’s military rulers or promotes civilian-led democratic rule aimed at normalizing ties with India so as to more robustly contain China.
Given the unpredictable American policies in the future, wouldn't it be better to align to BRICS, ask Russia, Iran, and China to pressure the Taliban government to reduce "terrorist activities" (of course Pakistan has to stop interfering with Afghanistan's internal politics,) try to reach political settlement with Balochistan Independence movement by improving the local infrastructure using local companies and local manpower? China still gets its corridor, and Russia may be able to negotiate a path for another corridor into India. Kashmir is the most difficult one. In all such cases, the Pakistani government, military or civilian, has to recognize only political solutions can last. For the sake of the American deep-state, of course, the US has to keep Pakistan engaged in some kind of armed conflict.
There’s not much to be hopeful for here. The CIA being in charge of anything should scare the hell out of everyone as the CIA will and can just about fuck up whatever they are involved in. My guess is Trump will send over an envoy and give them some offers they can’t resist. The US won’t leave this to the deep state CIA when getting Pakistan under its wing is crucial right now.
US blockading the Strait of Malacca for Chinese ships during a crisis??
Not a chance that America's much smaller, older and weakly armed navy could pull that off under China's antiship missile umbrella (which extends to Darwin Port), even if the PLAN didn't send the USN boats to the bottom, which they are itching to do.
Thank you - this is a very perceptive analysis of an important but seldom referenced and not widely understood area of study.
Given the unpredictable American policies in the future, wouldn't it be better to align to BRICS, ask Russia, Iran, and China to pressure the Taliban government to reduce "terrorist activities" (of course Pakistan has to stop interfering with Afghanistan's internal politics,) try to reach political settlement with Balochistan Independence movement by improving the local infrastructure using local companies and local manpower? China still gets its corridor, and Russia may be able to negotiate a path for another corridor into India. Kashmir is the most difficult one. In all such cases, the Pakistani government, military or civilian, has to recognize only political solutions can last. For the sake of the American deep-state, of course, the US has to keep Pakistan engaged in some kind of armed conflict.
There’s not much to be hopeful for here. The CIA being in charge of anything should scare the hell out of everyone as the CIA will and can just about fuck up whatever they are involved in. My guess is Trump will send over an envoy and give them some offers they can’t resist. The US won’t leave this to the deep state CIA when getting Pakistan under its wing is crucial right now.
US blockading the Strait of Malacca for Chinese ships during a crisis??
Not a chance that America's much smaller, older and weakly armed navy could pull that off under China's antiship missile umbrella (which extends to Darwin Port), even if the PLAN didn't send the USN boats to the bottom, which they are itching to do.