China would no longer occupy the central role therein, which would help the US and its Asian allies better compete with it, while Russia would move from the periphery of the existing architecture towards its core due to the importance of its strategic resources in this new paradigm.
This "new" détente seems a return to before 2014, or 2008, when Russia was open and willing to trade and integrate with the west but was attacked in Chechnia and then with the Maidan coup etc.
Why would now Russia trust the US, after the experience of their betrayal? Memory hole?
And logistics imposed at the time the the primary beneficiary of economic integration of Russia with the West was actually Europe. How would the US achieve economic ties with Russia while keeping Europe completely excluded, still on a trade blockade against it? This is the current political theatre (I import their uranium but you should not import their gas), but for how long could it go on if there was a real détente?
Genuine questions, not a critique to an otherwise good analysis, thank you as always!
So USA now wants to end the Ukraine - Russian war having started it, so that it can pal up with Russia and extract Russias primary resources. Trump has lost interest in the Ukrainians - there is no future profit there. American politicians have the wrong idea about Russians - they are very smart people and will; not sell off their assets to a carpet-bagger!
A genuine Russian-US Détente would be a positive development. Unfortunately, until the Ukrainian conflict is resolved by a legitimate peace treaty, it will be very challenging to alter the global economic architecture.
This "new" détente seems a return to before 2014, or 2008, when Russia was open and willing to trade and integrate with the west but was attacked in Chechnia and then with the Maidan coup etc.
Why would now Russia trust the US, after the experience of their betrayal? Memory hole?
And logistics imposed at the time the the primary beneficiary of economic integration of Russia with the West was actually Europe. How would the US achieve economic ties with Russia while keeping Europe completely excluded, still on a trade blockade against it? This is the current political theatre (I import their uranium but you should not import their gas), but for how long could it go on if there was a real détente?
Genuine questions, not a critique to an otherwise good analysis, thank you as always!
So USA now wants to end the Ukraine - Russian war having started it, so that it can pal up with Russia and extract Russias primary resources. Trump has lost interest in the Ukrainians - there is no future profit there. American politicians have the wrong idea about Russians - they are very smart people and will; not sell off their assets to a carpet-bagger!
It all comes down to this. USA + RUSSIA >>>> the World USA minus RUSSIA continues to have a hard time all over the world except Israel.
You Sir are tootin my horn. From your lips to gods ears🙏
Check out my perspective too: https://ambrusbela.substack.com/p/ukraines-reconstruction-as-strategic
A genuine Russian-US Détente would be a positive development. Unfortunately, until the Ukrainian conflict is resolved by a legitimate peace treaty, it will be very challenging to alter the global economic architecture.