US-backed NATO, Pakistan, and the “Asian/Containment Crescent” of Japan, Taiwan, and the Philippines are poised to respectively face off against Russia, India, and China across this century.
‘Eurasia’s three most powerful civilization-states are increasingly coming together to revive their dormant Russia-India-China (RIC) format.’
What the Soviet Union and the Cold War was unable to achieve, what was the nightmare of a British geologist Sir Halford John Mackinder in 1904, was finally realized in the last three decades as America has walked into the Heartland like an elephant walks into a porcelain store. Mackinder has written The Geographical Pivot of History, describing a geopolitical possibility that is being realized today, a political unification of a major Eurasian territory (The Heartland) that can possibly rule the planet. He was thinking in terms of Northern Siberia and Eastern Europe at the time. The fact is that most of Siberia is barely populated still today. On the other hand, India, China and Russia represent a major part of the global population with matching industrial and military strength.
‘To be clear, Russia and China aren’t allies that would go to war for one another,’
That is true today in context of the Ukraine war. However, if the present conflict goes nuclear, Russia, China, India, North Korea and even Iran will have little choice but to join as a bloc for their own survival.
This is simply the result of the closing of the American Mind already lamented by Allan Bloom in the late stages of cold war (1987). Western Universities have given up teaching Western Civilization. Thus, university-credentialed "experts" now know nothing of Halford MacKinder.
PS The current conflict is unlikely to go nuclear. Both sides have enough nuclear weapons and the only country with really dense ABM is Israel.
There is that. but even if with just two. india/china , russia/china they will be okay. look at Iran. they will be okay. they can handle the 100 years war. the US not so much 10 years
America's attempts to contain Russia will fail. The burevastnik missile can not be defended against. Mackinder talks of the "HEARTLAND" Russia is the heartland. America for your and whe worlds good stop all your aggresive attitude against Russia.
Andrew, very interesting - and I would hope that an end to the Ukraine war would actually change this article's impact. I have said that the way to end the war is to do business with Russia, the United States, India, and most of Asia. The trading block would be more aligned with energy realities and not follow Net Zero energy policies. Net Zero funds China and deindustrializes the West. So the bifurcation into two trading blocs - those that want Net Zero and deindustrialization, and those that want real business and growth strategies.
‘Eurasia’s three most powerful civilization-states are increasingly coming together to revive their dormant Russia-India-China (RIC) format.’
What the Soviet Union and the Cold War was unable to achieve, what was the nightmare of a British geologist Sir Halford John Mackinder in 1904, was finally realized in the last three decades as America has walked into the Heartland like an elephant walks into a porcelain store. Mackinder has written The Geographical Pivot of History, describing a geopolitical possibility that is being realized today, a political unification of a major Eurasian territory (The Heartland) that can possibly rule the planet. He was thinking in terms of Northern Siberia and Eastern Europe at the time. The fact is that most of Siberia is barely populated still today. On the other hand, India, China and Russia represent a major part of the global population with matching industrial and military strength.
‘To be clear, Russia and China aren’t allies that would go to war for one another,’
That is true today in context of the Ukraine war. However, if the present conflict goes nuclear, Russia, China, India, North Korea and even Iran will have little choice but to join as a bloc for their own survival.
all three share the same common threat: against their freedom, sovereignty, and survival. They are going to join hands for certain.
This is simply the result of the closing of the American Mind already lamented by Allan Bloom in the late stages of cold war (1987). Western Universities have given up teaching Western Civilization. Thus, university-credentialed "experts" now know nothing of Halford MacKinder.
PS The current conflict is unlikely to go nuclear. Both sides have enough nuclear weapons and the only country with really dense ABM is Israel.
Thanks for your great work!
We've shared this link on 'The Stacks'
https://askeptic.substack.com/p/the-stacks
I could not imagine China just twiddling its thumbs as Russia went down. It knows it would be next on the chopping block.
China needs Putinist Russia to prevail, just as Russia need Xi-ist China to go on.
India needs to export its people to make the economy grow, and that makes them dependent on well paying Western(ized) countries.
Russia is self- sufficient, except it needs a market for its oil, but it will always have buyers.
China needs countries with a big middle class to purchase its massive manufacturing surplus, because they don't buy their own products.
Overall, this makes for an odd fitting throuple, but maybe it'll work.
The word "might" is doing a lot of work for you here.
All the US need do is get one member of the coalition to defect.
Yes, with India, USA is in its phase: "lay like a dog or die like a dog".
There is that. but even if with just two. india/china , russia/china they will be okay. look at Iran. they will be okay. they can handle the 100 years war. the US not so much 10 years
America's attempts to contain Russia will fail. The burevastnik missile can not be defended against. Mackinder talks of the "HEARTLAND" Russia is the heartland. America for your and whe worlds good stop all your aggresive attitude against Russia.
Yippee!!! let’s Kill all the ruling americans.
Andrew, very interesting - and I would hope that an end to the Ukraine war would actually change this article's impact. I have said that the way to end the war is to do business with Russia, the United States, India, and most of Asia. The trading block would be more aligned with energy realities and not follow Net Zero energy policies. Net Zero funds China and deindustrializes the West. So the bifurcation into two trading blocs - those that want Net Zero and deindustrialization, and those that want real business and growth strategies.