I disagree with that. If a push becomes a shove then China will obliterate Taiwan after heavy losses! However I do not see Taiwan and China going to war albeit a lot of sabre rattling. I think that something will happen with Pakistan of Afghanistan first. If China chooses the right equipment for the theatre of war then China should win. It has hypersonics and nukes after all!
I disagree with that. If a push becomes a shove then China will obliterate Taiwan after heavy losses! However I do not see Taiwan and China going to war albeit a lot of sabre rattling. I think that something will happen with Pakistan of Afghanistan first. If China chooses the right equipment for the theatre of war then China should win. It has hypersonics and nukes after all!
China will not, nor does it want to, "obliterate Taiwan," because BOTH are China. They also have extensive trade between them. Suggest you read history.
China can easily beat Taiwan and occupy Taiwan, or even loot Taiwan clean. But that does not solve the strategic problems China face with the Americans. By taking Taiwan militarily, China has basically doomed itself strategically. Taiwan is but a small piece of the puzzle and USA is already seriously working on the scenario of losing Taiwan by trying to transplant TSMC to USA. However, that would not work either as the secret sauce of TSMC is its work force. But the larger issues are elsewhere and perhaps even more difficult to solve than Taiwan's existence. In the short term, a compromise is good for both China and USA. For the longer term, it is better that USA and China have no interaction, that would also be good for both sides. The center of the conflict is that #1 USA wants to make sure #2 China fall behind much further. And China would not agree. Taiwan or not Taiwan is really peanuts in the larger confrontation.
I disagree with that. If a push becomes a shove then China will obliterate Taiwan after heavy losses! However I do not see Taiwan and China going to war albeit a lot of sabre rattling. I think that something will happen with Pakistan of Afghanistan first. If China chooses the right equipment for the theatre of war then China should win. It has hypersonics and nukes after all!
China will not, nor does it want to, "obliterate Taiwan," because BOTH are China. They also have extensive trade between them. Suggest you read history.
China can easily beat Taiwan and occupy Taiwan, or even loot Taiwan clean. But that does not solve the strategic problems China face with the Americans. By taking Taiwan militarily, China has basically doomed itself strategically. Taiwan is but a small piece of the puzzle and USA is already seriously working on the scenario of losing Taiwan by trying to transplant TSMC to USA. However, that would not work either as the secret sauce of TSMC is its work force. But the larger issues are elsewhere and perhaps even more difficult to solve than Taiwan's existence. In the short term, a compromise is good for both China and USA. For the longer term, it is better that USA and China have no interaction, that would also be good for both sides. The center of the conflict is that #1 USA wants to make sure #2 China fall behind much further. And China would not agree. Taiwan or not Taiwan is really peanuts in the larger confrontation.