The goal is to obtain proxy control over Iran’s enormous oil and gas reserves so that they can be weaponized as leverage against China for coercing it into a lopsided trade deal that would derail its superpower rise and therefore restore US-led unipolarity.
Natural gas is now more important than oil and the world is awash in natural gas. China isn’t dumb like America under Bush/Cheney and so they are decreasing oil consumption and increasing natural gas production while diversifying electricity generation. If Iran plays by America’s rules, which are very fair, they can piggyback on Qatar’s LNG export infrastructure and develop a very solid revenue stream to fund their government.
no, it is clearly against middle east - apocalyptic satanists like vance and lapid forced the apparent leader to do their job before being discarded. in this way, they will control both their important countries and middle east, the last one to extermination. for jews, the promised land is now donbass, staying in place will either kill them, take their souls or both. it's the closest alternative to the promised land, bigger, richer and safer than the current land will ever be. in fact, they began losing their industry and politics to foreign interests for years, this total reset is their only way out. except dimona, they have nothing else to regret leaving behind, and zaporojie npp is just as good.
I love your work Andrew, but this piece is a stretch;
“Such a scenario would avert Iran’s possible “Balkanization”, thus preserving the state so that it can then resume its prior role as one of the US’ top regional allies, which might then aid the Azeri-Turkish Axis’ efforts to project Western influence along Russia’s entire southern periphery. In that event, the US would simultaneously obtain unparalleled resource leverage over China via proxy control of Iran’s oil and gas industries while tightening its encirclement of Russia, which would deal a powerful blow to multipolarity.”
No, Andrew, it’s all about propping up the petro-dollar, which has nothing backing it up!
Reports reveal that Turkey is acting as a logistical base for NATO AWACS craft targeting Iran (Bloomberg, 24 Feb 26), as Azerbaijan did during the July War (Stimson Center, 25 Jul 25). So far Iranian strikes have centered on the GCC, but there are serious indications that Turkey, Azerbaijan, and/or Pakistan are planning to help the U.S. foment civil war in Iran; no doubt Turkey‘s part in NATO is providing it cover. Israel is already backing Kurdish separatists inside Iran, which would offer just the pretext Turkey needs to set up its own ‘sphere of influence’ there. Azerbaijani and Kurdish interests are bound to clash when Iranian ‘spoils’ are at stake.
Azerbaijan’s position, admittedly, is contradictory, as it has aided Israeli attacks on Iran while expanding economic ties with Tehran. Several days ago Baku signed an economic package with its Iranian neighbor (Caspian News, 27 Feb 26). Azerbaijan stands to benefit from the NSTC, and over the past few years Iran–Azerbaijan trade volumes have risen. Yet Baku has also deepened its multifaceted ties to Israel. If the U.S. wishes to cripple Iran, it needs Azerbaijan as a facilitator, given the latter’s role in providing intelligence to its Israeli client. A passive Baku would not really aid Trump and Co.’s plans for Tehran and South-Central Asia.
China has been deploying solar, wind and nuclear power. They are also working diligently towards bringing fusion power to commercialization. It won't be long before they have little to no need for oil.
Trump went after Iran mainly because they would not commit to giving up their dream of becoming a nuclear power. Trump also doesn't like to be challenged and Khamenei was shooting off his mouth continuously about how they were prepared to strike back at US assets if we attacked them.
This is what too much chest thumping gets you in the Trump era. That Houthi punk bigmouth with all the medals on his chest should take heed.
Andrey, Putin is mossad assets and he will do everything to destroy Russia. Xi is incompetent and naive and thinking that isolation will help. They need to refresh history of those countries: 1917 in Russia and 1842 in China. If those contries do not join the forses and protect Iran, Cuba + Nikaragua, they will collapse in 5 years time. Pawel
China can very easily replace the oil from Iran and Venezuela, and does not import any natural gas from either nation, this provides no "resource leverage" over China. An approach of "curtailing China's access to the markets and resources" can be found nowhere in the NSS, nor Colby's book (which is pretty much completely focused on military matters). You are making stuff up.
Exclusive: Former Prince Andrew to disclose Trump's connections to Epstein's dirty network - Lola Smith Toloba: Tell the whole story Andrew. The victims deserve honesty and accountability.
Typical of Old British Habits. Now Continued by Israeli Puppets America. Attack Smaller Countries. BUT. No BALLS to Fight A Country of Equal Standing. Sickening
As an aside, @Doomberg noted wryly that China is likely pleased watching the US consume its weapons stockpiles for now.
Would love to see your analysis of China's options. I assume that US aggressiveness will continue until there is some calibrated pushback to give them pause.
Im hopeful that any pushback does not come in the form of missiles launched at TSMC or an attack on a regional US ally.
This is a dangerous situation and China's, or one of its proxy's, next move is likely to be consequential.
Also, there could be a surprise response to the turmoil from Turkey, which could change the game.
No it isn't. It roughly serves that strategic purpose, but it is essentially a continuation of his clusterfuck governance... And you're an idiot to think otherwise and giving that delusional man way much more credit than he deserves.
Yes, so what does China propose to do about it?
Contrast the aggression amd decisiveness of the Americans with the four year parade of fuckups of the "SMO".
And the caution of virgin of Chinese.
Natural gas is now more important than oil and the world is awash in natural gas. China isn’t dumb like America under Bush/Cheney and so they are decreasing oil consumption and increasing natural gas production while diversifying electricity generation. If Iran plays by America’s rules, which are very fair, they can piggyback on Qatar’s LNG export infrastructure and develop a very solid revenue stream to fund their government.
no, it is clearly against middle east - apocalyptic satanists like vance and lapid forced the apparent leader to do their job before being discarded. in this way, they will control both their important countries and middle east, the last one to extermination. for jews, the promised land is now donbass, staying in place will either kill them, take their souls or both. it's the closest alternative to the promised land, bigger, richer and safer than the current land will ever be. in fact, they began losing their industry and politics to foreign interests for years, this total reset is their only way out. except dimona, they have nothing else to regret leaving behind, and zaporojie npp is just as good.
I love your work Andrew, but this piece is a stretch;
“Such a scenario would avert Iran’s possible “Balkanization”, thus preserving the state so that it can then resume its prior role as one of the US’ top regional allies, which might then aid the Azeri-Turkish Axis’ efforts to project Western influence along Russia’s entire southern periphery. In that event, the US would simultaneously obtain unparalleled resource leverage over China via proxy control of Iran’s oil and gas industries while tightening its encirclement of Russia, which would deal a powerful blow to multipolarity.”
No, Andrew, it’s all about propping up the petro-dollar, which has nothing backing it up!
Reports reveal that Turkey is acting as a logistical base for NATO AWACS craft targeting Iran (Bloomberg, 24 Feb 26), as Azerbaijan did during the July War (Stimson Center, 25 Jul 25). So far Iranian strikes have centered on the GCC, but there are serious indications that Turkey, Azerbaijan, and/or Pakistan are planning to help the U.S. foment civil war in Iran; no doubt Turkey‘s part in NATO is providing it cover. Israel is already backing Kurdish separatists inside Iran, which would offer just the pretext Turkey needs to set up its own ‘sphere of influence’ there. Azerbaijani and Kurdish interests are bound to clash when Iranian ‘spoils’ are at stake.
Azerbaijan’s position, admittedly, is contradictory, as it has aided Israeli attacks on Iran while expanding economic ties with Tehran. Several days ago Baku signed an economic package with its Iranian neighbor (Caspian News, 27 Feb 26). Azerbaijan stands to benefit from the NSTC, and over the past few years Iran–Azerbaijan trade volumes have risen. Yet Baku has also deepened its multifaceted ties to Israel. If the U.S. wishes to cripple Iran, it needs Azerbaijan as a facilitator, given the latter’s role in providing intelligence to its Israeli client. A passive Baku would not really aid Trump and Co.’s plans for Tehran and South-Central Asia.
China has been deploying solar, wind and nuclear power. They are also working diligently towards bringing fusion power to commercialization. It won't be long before they have little to no need for oil.
Trump went after Iran mainly because they would not commit to giving up their dream of becoming a nuclear power. Trump also doesn't like to be challenged and Khamenei was shooting off his mouth continuously about how they were prepared to strike back at US assets if we attacked them.
This is what too much chest thumping gets you in the Trump era. That Houthi punk bigmouth with all the medals on his chest should take heed.
Andrey, Putin is mossad assets and he will do everything to destroy Russia. Xi is incompetent and naive and thinking that isolation will help. They need to refresh history of those countries: 1917 in Russia and 1842 in China. If those contries do not join the forses and protect Iran, Cuba + Nikaragua, they will collapse in 5 years time. Pawel
I know Putin has achieved momentous progress in Russia but nagging in the back of my head is his seeming kowtowing to the little hats.
China can very easily replace the oil from Iran and Venezuela, and does not import any natural gas from either nation, this provides no "resource leverage" over China. An approach of "curtailing China's access to the markets and resources" can be found nowhere in the NSS, nor Colby's book (which is pretty much completely focused on military matters). You are making stuff up.
Exclusive: Former Prince Andrew to disclose Trump's connections to Epstein's dirty network - Lola Smith Toloba: Tell the whole story Andrew. The victims deserve honesty and accountability.
Typical of Old British Habits. Now Continued by Israeli Puppets America. Attack Smaller Countries. BUT. No BALLS to Fight A Country of Equal Standing. Sickening
Excellent piece, Andrew.
As an aside, @Doomberg noted wryly that China is likely pleased watching the US consume its weapons stockpiles for now.
Would love to see your analysis of China's options. I assume that US aggressiveness will continue until there is some calibrated pushback to give them pause.
Im hopeful that any pushback does not come in the form of missiles launched at TSMC or an attack on a regional US ally.
This is a dangerous situation and China's, or one of its proxy's, next move is likely to be consequential.
Also, there could be a surprise response to the turmoil from Turkey, which could change the game.
No it isn't. It roughly serves that strategic purpose, but it is essentially a continuation of his clusterfuck governance... And you're an idiot to think otherwise and giving that delusional man way much more credit than he deserves.
Perhaps the bigger question is why China didn't see this coming. I say this regardless of if one is pro or anti-China.
History will probably record China's ambitions as a result of extensive committee based decision making.
This might imply a resolution or at least a turning point around China–US talks at the end of March.
Andrew, out of topic but in relation with which on Patrushev.
It didn't last.
Belgian special forces( Belgian....) have sized a Russian tanker in north See.
If a regime change succeed in Iran, it's chessmate for Russia.