a war is not won by *reacting* to aggression/incentive, particularly not in the late phase of any war.
It has a potential to flip from winning it to loosing it.
Proactive incentive must remain in Rus hands.
No matter the dynamics and sequence of events, Russ will be painted as breaking the truce detail even if little Z's forces carpet-bomb half the energy infrastructure in border regions.
Russia are winning (have won), not attacking energy infrastructure will have little to no impact on the outcome. Though I agree that Ukraine could bomb all of Russias with no comeback in the West
So, we may assume that when Putin decides to extend the energy ceasefire on friday, we can conclude that the negotations between Russia and the USA are going satisfactorily well from the Russian perspective. Too well to be imperiled, that is.
We can likely only assume in that case that Russia perceives that the negotiations are going satisfactorily well, not that they objectively are (even though I share the assessment that this is so), since the public doesn't know enough (and likely might not be informed) to independently assess this.
I am wondering who in the Trump Administration is enabling Zelensky? I had wondered about Zelensky being enabled by the CIA and the intel community in the UK and EU.
If the latter is true, what leverage does Trump have over Zelensky? Is it that Trump's leverage consists of the fact of how much of NATO's budget is paid by the US? If that is Trump's leverage, why does Zelensky appear to thumb his nose at Trump every chance he gets?
Also, I read that Zelensky is supported by the neo-Nazis of Ukraine, and he is kept in line by them, always demanding more and more money and weapons.
My question is, how can Trump make a deal with Putin when all the forces (CIA, EU and UK Intel, neo-Nazi Ukrainians) are arrayed against him and just want forever war?
Is Trump in control of the CIA or is the CIA in control of Trump?
A1 "Russia might want to maintain these positive diplomatic dynamics..."
that never really worked. Perhaps it may work on Trump himself but it has to be adjusted accordingly to maintain dynamics with focus on Trump
A2 "Dispel The Neocons’ Claims..."
Neocons (and all libtards too) claim what they want to claim and short of a full submission by the "other" party will not affect claims anyhow. Because history.
A3 "Incentivize The US To Finally Apply Pressure On..."
Will it make *any* difference? My bet is no, they never intent to. BC this is just toe-dipping to see where will Russia be the softest to unravel its hard stance stemming from war progress. An attempt to get out of a check-mate position.
There's little Russia's antagonists can do to change the course of the war short of de-proxying it and moving in. I never forget that US negotiates *only* when it is loosing and with every passing day that position is deeper.
They are actually trying to exploit the fact that killings are useless at the end phase of a war and a genuine desire to end killings by one side.
Putin’s priority will be to cultivate the possibility of limiting hardware supplies toward Ukraine. He will probably take temporary setbacks to get to this goal. Dozens of Russian psychiatrists have studied by now Trump’s personal characteristics and most agree that he has a calculating but occasionally explosive personality with a tendency to make risky decisions. The last thing Putin wants is to push Trump toward a decision to pump another $100 billion into Ukraine.
"The last thing Putin wants is to push Trump toward a decision to pump another $100 billion into Ukraine."
The will and desire for this is there by all sides, without T.
The means to allow this are lesser and riskier with every day.
It would be T's nuclear reaction without nukes and it would mean he has to abandon Iran and China projects, risk support of Israel.... i doubt he's that much impulsive to risk everything else. He knows US cannot have more than one war at the time.
________________
Luckily, all empires end because they inescapably begin to believe their invincibility and then stretch too far and too much. Like US up to 2025. Where will it go in 2025. we are yet to see.
And just now comes the news: 'Putin is mocking Trump': EU foreign ministers call for new sanctions on Russia after Sumy attack. Kaja Kallas (EU Foreign Policy Chief) is arguing at the front of the cameras, attempting to push Trump around.
This should show how little the US will pressure Ukraine to adhere to any kind of agreement.
Best bet would probably be to leave it but only hit Ukranian energy infrastructure if they hit Russia’s
How is that different from now?
a war is not won by *reacting* to aggression/incentive, particularly not in the late phase of any war.
It has a potential to flip from winning it to loosing it.
Proactive incentive must remain in Rus hands.
No matter the dynamics and sequence of events, Russ will be painted as breaking the truce detail even if little Z's forces carpet-bomb half the energy infrastructure in border regions.
Russia are winning (have won), not attacking energy infrastructure will have little to no impact on the outcome. Though I agree that Ukraine could bomb all of Russias with no comeback in the West
putina's ruZZia never ceased firing anything. Cool story, though. Did you get in on any of those looted toilets?
LOL
So, we may assume that when Putin decides to extend the energy ceasefire on friday, we can conclude that the negotations between Russia and the USA are going satisfactorily well from the Russian perspective. Too well to be imperiled, that is.
???
We can likely only assume in that case that Russia perceives that the negotiations are going satisfactorily well, not that they objectively are (even though I share the assessment that this is so), since the public doesn't know enough (and likely might not be informed) to independently assess this.
I am wondering who in the Trump Administration is enabling Zelensky? I had wondered about Zelensky being enabled by the CIA and the intel community in the UK and EU.
If the latter is true, what leverage does Trump have over Zelensky? Is it that Trump's leverage consists of the fact of how much of NATO's budget is paid by the US? If that is Trump's leverage, why does Zelensky appear to thumb his nose at Trump every chance he gets?
Also, I read that Zelensky is supported by the neo-Nazis of Ukraine, and he is kept in line by them, always demanding more and more money and weapons.
My question is, how can Trump make a deal with Putin when all the forces (CIA, EU and UK Intel, neo-Nazi Ukrainians) are arrayed against him and just want forever war?
Is Trump in control of the CIA or is the CIA in control of Trump?
Great question, Andrew.
My thought:
Time is on Russia's side as they grind down AFU forces and advance deliberately and methodically. It's not fast, but it works, right?
There's no peace agreement, so let's get on with the fighting.
Peace will come quicker if Russian forces keep advancing in Ukraine.
Sustain the pressure while you have the strategic advantage.
My handful of $0.02
.
A1 "Russia might want to maintain these positive diplomatic dynamics..."
that never really worked. Perhaps it may work on Trump himself but it has to be adjusted accordingly to maintain dynamics with focus on Trump
A2 "Dispel The Neocons’ Claims..."
Neocons (and all libtards too) claim what they want to claim and short of a full submission by the "other" party will not affect claims anyhow. Because history.
A3 "Incentivize The US To Finally Apply Pressure On..."
Will it make *any* difference? My bet is no, they never intent to. BC this is just toe-dipping to see where will Russia be the softest to unravel its hard stance stemming from war progress. An attempt to get out of a check-mate position.
There's little Russia's antagonists can do to change the course of the war short of de-proxying it and moving in. I never forget that US negotiates *only* when it is loosing and with every passing day that position is deeper.
They are actually trying to exploit the fact that killings are useless at the end phase of a war and a genuine desire to end killings by one side.
Putin’s priority will be to cultivate the possibility of limiting hardware supplies toward Ukraine. He will probably take temporary setbacks to get to this goal. Dozens of Russian psychiatrists have studied by now Trump’s personal characteristics and most agree that he has a calculating but occasionally explosive personality with a tendency to make risky decisions. The last thing Putin wants is to push Trump toward a decision to pump another $100 billion into Ukraine.
"The last thing Putin wants is to push Trump toward a decision to pump another $100 billion into Ukraine."
The will and desire for this is there by all sides, without T.
The means to allow this are lesser and riskier with every day.
It would be T's nuclear reaction without nukes and it would mean he has to abandon Iran and China projects, risk support of Israel.... i doubt he's that much impulsive to risk everything else. He knows US cannot have more than one war at the time.
________________
Luckily, all empires end because they inescapably begin to believe their invincibility and then stretch too far and too much. Like US up to 2025. Where will it go in 2025. we are yet to see.
And just now comes the news: 'Putin is mocking Trump': EU foreign ministers call for new sanctions on Russia after Sumy attack. Kaja Kallas (EU Foreign Policy Chief) is arguing at the front of the cameras, attempting to push Trump around.
https://www.euronews.com/my-europe/2025/04/14/putin-is-mocking-trump-eu-foreign-ministers-call-for-new-sanctions-on-russia-after-sumy-at