The ideal balance of interests for Trump 2.0 would be to replace Germany with Poland as its top EU ally for fortifying NATO’s Eastern Flank and not oppose the AfD in the hopes that it’ll come to power and then lead Europe’s rejuvenation.
"Mixed signals" coming from the US government... This is not the first time we hear something like this, whether it concerns Iran, Ukraine, or whatever other theater.
Is this smoke & mirrors, behind which a strictly adhered-to strategy is developing?
By selecting particular events in a Petri dish to fit a pattern, one can see any pattern one wants to see, because the pattern is in the selection.
This White House is a Petri dish. Consequently, it gives no credit to anyone who interprets its actions, except what they imply overall, which, I am happy to say, is beyond my wildest dream!
To me, the actions of the current administration are nearly random - who knows what Trump is going to do next? Is he staying in or is he quitting Iran? Does he know?
If you subscribe to the above, then picking selected White House actions and interpreting them is, imho, a fool's errand.
For example, while troop withdrawal from Germany might be consistent with Colby's strategy, the Iranian adventure has decimated American magazine depth, alienated all allies (except Israel) including those in the Pacific and the Western Hemisphere, and further weakened and polarised the US, etc. - all these phenomena are 180 degrees from, and fatal to, Colby's objective and strategy, and that's if Trump walks away from the war tomorrow.
Consequently, if much of what Trump 2.0 did has destroyed the foundation of Colby's strategy, is it still relevant?
AfD is profiting from the US policies, whether these are mistakes or not. For example, the war against Russia was a mistake, and it gave the AfD approx a 5% permanent boost in the polls. The war against Iran may not be a mistake, but it also currently giving another 5% boost.
If you look at history, AfD has been on an ever increasing ladder of 5-6% steps since its foundation. The first one was giving up Deutschmark, the second the immigration wave in 2015 and following, then came Wuhan Coronavirus response, then the Ukraine war and now the Iran war... So they are currently at the 28% point.
Sounds quite plausible. In hindsight and for the party’s past behaviour. Once in power, however, that party will drop all pretenses and act as a transatlantic one. It is already openly supporting the Zionists’ genocide in Palestine and its stand against the anti-Russia war will fade. They will align with the Anglo-Saxons, after getting rid of the so-called pro-Russia faction.
Transatlantic doesn't mean much these days. Trump Republicans are national conservatives, and US Democrats are something very different these days. With typical Democrats now being like Mamdani and Ilhan Omar. So they - the two camps - take very different positions on Russia and Israel. The overall US foreign policy at the moment is due to a compromise between the pro-Ukraine and pro-Israel camps. But they represent very different factions.
Who said they, the US, want regional stability? Or fortifying anything anywhere?
What they want, presumably, is to make America great again. Presumably, America was great in the 1950s, right after WWII, when Western Europe (especially Germany!) was literally ruined, and Poland wasn't even in the American sphere of influence. And stability wasn't even in the horizon.
Presumably, recreating (if only roughly) geopolitical conditions facilitating America's greatness in the 1950s would lead to making America great again, in 2020s, amirite?
Modern-day China is, of course, a new factor. A UGE one. But Poland? With all due respect to Poland and its great people: who cares about Poland?
I don't believe that the US wants, or would benefit from, a hypothetical territorial conflict between an AfD-led Germany and a PiS-led Poland. I just don't see the interest in that, even cynically. The US doesn't want any wars between its partners because that could create space for one to defect and/or for adversarial forces to exploit the situation.
Now that the United States has definitively broken any possibility of a Berlin–Moscow axis, the only thing that interests them is looting German industry (a significant part of which is in Poland).
What must make U.S. planners chuckle as they scratch their heads is seeing how incredibly well their German decoy is working, and how French pro-European ‘elites’ are still clinging to it with affection instead of focusing on building a serious alternative—one that could only go through Russia.
Definitely, Germany undermined its world-class industrial sector by cutting off cheap and reliable imports from Russia in solidarity with the US' sanctions, which was part of an American power play to subvert its only realistic semi-competitor in the West.
Na, neither German AfD nor Polish Confederacia are that keen on an armed struggle between Germany and Poland. A lot of what Confederacia does is to please its low IQ voters. It's nationalist virtue signalling.
I agree, but I don't foresee Confederation leading a coalition in Poland; rather, it's more likely to be PiS' junior partner, and PiS is almost pathologically afraid of the AfD at this point.
I think it is just virtue signalling trying to keep "convenient" enemies. If PiS were in power in Poland and AfD in Germany, they would discover profitable ways to cooperate. My feeling is that AfD has grudgingly accepted the Oder-Neisse borders, even if they don't make a big song and dance about it.
Anyway, we need to stop dreaming about any kind of German sovereignty. Since its unification around the 1860s, this country has become a rabid beast that has set Europe ablaze three times in less than a century. The third time, the Russians suffered tremendously and, with great difficulty, managed to force this rabid dog back into its kennel. And the USA, as usual, showed up at the end of the party and took the spoils.
They kept the beast on a very tight leash and began its “re-education.” Over the years, they have more or less loosened that leash. But it is just as strong as ever—if not stronger. After having beaten it down to the point where it crawls with its tail between its legs, the Yankee masters are pleased to see that its “pacifism” of recent decades was only a façade, and that its legendary efficiency and aggression are still there. And they will make sure it remains in the service of Uncle Sam.
I am dismayed by the illusion that drives French Europhiles, who are incapable of grasping this natural submission of a monstrous defeated nation, and who base all their dreams of a sovereign Europe on the idea that Germany is free.
From the US deep-state point of view, US ground troops in Europe should be at the front states like the Baltic states, Poland, or Romania. However, the US does need a safe enough logistic hub with warehouses, airports, hospitals, communication centers, etc. Ramstein airbase serves that purpose well. Building up another one in Poland takes extra time and money. However, I remember seeing news that the US has been building an even larger base area in Romania, and maybe another one in Poland. By then, I suppose the US may even move out of Germany completely, unless there is still a need to put a boot on the neck of Germany by then.
Russia hates the Germans for what they did in WWII. They have warned the Germans that when the first German tank crosses the Polish/Byelorus border thar BERLIN will be NUKED off the face of the earth. Russia feel,s a bit unfriendley towards but does not hate Poles. Poland is the better option for all parties concerns. Poles are Slavs. Germans have shown a hatred for ALL SLAVS. Time to kick Germant aside, they dont deserve anything better.
All fine about the US strategies, signals and moves, except... we learned that we can keep what Trump personally says out, it's just noise depending on the hour of the day!
We're back to the good old puppet Biden days, just with a more aggressive flair.
"Mixed signals" coming from the US government... This is not the first time we hear something like this, whether it concerns Iran, Ukraine, or whatever other theater.
Is this smoke & mirrors, behind which a strictly adhered-to strategy is developing?
Or is this the result of chaos in the government?
The chaos within German governance is precisely the result of this rigorously applied strategy.
By selecting particular events in a Petri dish to fit a pattern, one can see any pattern one wants to see, because the pattern is in the selection.
This White House is a Petri dish. Consequently, it gives no credit to anyone who interprets its actions, except what they imply overall, which, I am happy to say, is beyond my wildest dream!
I don’t know if it’s a translation issue, but I didn’t understand anything from that word salad.
Happy to translate for you:
To me, the actions of the current administration are nearly random - who knows what Trump is going to do next? Is he staying in or is he quitting Iran? Does he know?
If you subscribe to the above, then picking selected White House actions and interpreting them is, imho, a fool's errand.
For example, while troop withdrawal from Germany might be consistent with Colby's strategy, the Iranian adventure has decimated American magazine depth, alienated all allies (except Israel) including those in the Pacific and the Western Hemisphere, and further weakened and polarised the US, etc. - all these phenomena are 180 degrees from, and fatal to, Colby's objective and strategy, and that's if Trump walks away from the war tomorrow.
Consequently, if much of what Trump 2.0 did has destroyed the foundation of Colby's strategy, is it still relevant?
AfD is profiting from the US policies, whether these are mistakes or not. For example, the war against Russia was a mistake, and it gave the AfD approx a 5% permanent boost in the polls. The war against Iran may not be a mistake, but it also currently giving another 5% boost.
If you look at history, AfD has been on an ever increasing ladder of 5-6% steps since its foundation. The first one was giving up Deutschmark, the second the immigration wave in 2015 and following, then came Wuhan Coronavirus response, then the Ukraine war and now the Iran war... So they are currently at the 28% point.
Sounds quite plausible. In hindsight and for the party’s past behaviour. Once in power, however, that party will drop all pretenses and act as a transatlantic one. It is already openly supporting the Zionists’ genocide in Palestine and its stand against the anti-Russia war will fade. They will align with the Anglo-Saxons, after getting rid of the so-called pro-Russia faction.
Transatlantic doesn't mean much these days. Trump Republicans are national conservatives, and US Democrats are something very different these days. With typical Democrats now being like Mamdani and Ilhan Omar. So they - the two camps - take very different positions on Russia and Israel. The overall US foreign policy at the moment is due to a compromise between the pro-Ukraine and pro-Israel camps. But they represent very different factions.
"...thus ensuring regional stability"
Who said they, the US, want regional stability? Or fortifying anything anywhere?
What they want, presumably, is to make America great again. Presumably, America was great in the 1950s, right after WWII, when Western Europe (especially Germany!) was literally ruined, and Poland wasn't even in the American sphere of influence. And stability wasn't even in the horizon.
Presumably, recreating (if only roughly) geopolitical conditions facilitating America's greatness in the 1950s would lead to making America great again, in 2020s, amirite?
Modern-day China is, of course, a new factor. A UGE one. But Poland? With all due respect to Poland and its great people: who cares about Poland?
I don't believe that the US wants, or would benefit from, a hypothetical territorial conflict between an AfD-led Germany and a PiS-led Poland. I just don't see the interest in that, even cynically. The US doesn't want any wars between its partners because that could create space for one to defect and/or for adversarial forces to exploit the situation.
Now that the United States has definitively broken any possibility of a Berlin–Moscow axis, the only thing that interests them is looting German industry (a significant part of which is in Poland).
What must make U.S. planners chuckle as they scratch their heads is seeing how incredibly well their German decoy is working, and how French pro-European ‘elites’ are still clinging to it with affection instead of focusing on building a serious alternative—one that could only go through Russia.
Definitely, Germany undermined its world-class industrial sector by cutting off cheap and reliable imports from Russia in solidarity with the US' sanctions, which was part of an American power play to subvert its only realistic semi-competitor in the West.
"unreliable" intended or a mistake?
I thought the Russians made a point that their gas supply was "reliable" even during the SMO, until Europe on its part rejected it.
You're right, I meant reliable, will fix the typo now, thanks!
Na, neither German AfD nor Polish Confederacia are that keen on an armed struggle between Germany and Poland. A lot of what Confederacia does is to please its low IQ voters. It's nationalist virtue signalling.
I agree, but I don't foresee Confederation leading a coalition in Poland; rather, it's more likely to be PiS' junior partner, and PiS is almost pathologically afraid of the AfD at this point.
I think it is just virtue signalling trying to keep "convenient" enemies. If PiS were in power in Poland and AfD in Germany, they would discover profitable ways to cooperate. My feeling is that AfD has grudgingly accepted the Oder-Neisse borders, even if they don't make a big song and dance about it.
Anyway, we need to stop dreaming about any kind of German sovereignty. Since its unification around the 1860s, this country has become a rabid beast that has set Europe ablaze three times in less than a century. The third time, the Russians suffered tremendously and, with great difficulty, managed to force this rabid dog back into its kennel. And the USA, as usual, showed up at the end of the party and took the spoils.
They kept the beast on a very tight leash and began its “re-education.” Over the years, they have more or less loosened that leash. But it is just as strong as ever—if not stronger. After having beaten it down to the point where it crawls with its tail between its legs, the Yankee masters are pleased to see that its “pacifism” of recent decades was only a façade, and that its legendary efficiency and aggression are still there. And they will make sure it remains in the service of Uncle Sam.
I am dismayed by the illusion that drives French Europhiles, who are incapable of grasping this natural submission of a monstrous defeated nation, and who base all their dreams of a sovereign Europe on the idea that Germany is free.
Trump is the greatest gift that normie europoliticans could ask for.
"Sure, we're reckless, self-serving, incompetent and mendacious, but if you don't fall in line and vote for us, you could get a clown like Trump!"
From the US deep-state point of view, US ground troops in Europe should be at the front states like the Baltic states, Poland, or Romania. However, the US does need a safe enough logistic hub with warehouses, airports, hospitals, communication centers, etc. Ramstein airbase serves that purpose well. Building up another one in Poland takes extra time and money. However, I remember seeing news that the US has been building an even larger base area in Romania, and maybe another one in Poland. By then, I suppose the US may even move out of Germany completely, unless there is still a need to put a boot on the neck of Germany by then.
Russia hates the Germans for what they did in WWII. They have warned the Germans that when the first German tank crosses the Polish/Byelorus border thar BERLIN will be NUKED off the face of the earth. Russia feel,s a bit unfriendley towards but does not hate Poles. Poland is the better option for all parties concerns. Poles are Slavs. Germans have shown a hatred for ALL SLAVS. Time to kick Germant aside, they dont deserve anything better.
All fine about the US strategies, signals and moves, except... we learned that we can keep what Trump personally says out, it's just noise depending on the hour of the day!
We're back to the good old puppet Biden days, just with a more aggressive flair.