Azerbaijan demands that Armenia demilitarize, denazify, no longer contain it on behalf of foreign (Western) powers, stop obstructing regional trade routes, and allow ethnically cleansed Azeris to return.
I can’t express how much I value your analysis and stacks. You cover such a wide angle of politics (whatever politics is, always sounds more like high stakes games to me) of regions and nations where information (for me from the UK) is scant out there. Many thanks!
To hell with geopolitics. Just morals...Armenians were victims of horrible genocide by Turks 100 years ago.....and now world will just watch Turks crush them again?
Hopefully Russia would simply lock the border and block weapon smuggling through borders controlled by Russia. And Russia should not accept request from Armenia for intervention without asking Armenia for controlling its own NATO-backed behavior. Ditto for Azerbaijan.
By the way, I think this is an inevitable by-product of multi-polarity. Multi-polarity does reduce a single hegemony from bullying around the world, but it does enable multiple small bullies. I guess this is yet another reason of why modern economy, technology, and weaponry are unfriendly for smaller nations. The smaller nations either have to align (spheres of influence) or to fight (needing some tough qualifications to participate) National sovereign comes from fighting and holding, not from other people politely recognizing one's country. A jungle you say? It has always been this way. The so-called peaceful life and rule-by-law is only because a single hegemony (the government) dominates against all other competition within a single domain.
A big thank you for this report, it adds to the knowledge that I have already acquired. If you put the author’s basic question in a big context, it becomes increasingly clear that Erdogan is going further towards his dream of the great Ottoman Empire by means of "vassals". Let us not pretend that even if Azerbaijan is larger than Armenia, they are only in this situation because Turkey, which makes no secret of the union of the old Turkic peoples, has militarily upgraded them.
But one should not forget what Erdogan means by the old Turkic peoples.
Turkic peoples are a group of about 40 ethnic groups in central and western Asia, as well as in Siberia and eastern Europe, whose languages are considered to be part of the language family of the Turkic languages. This includes the Turkish language and about 40 relatively closely related languages with a total of about 180 to 200 million speakers.
If Armenia disappears that will likely lead to Russia losing control over the entire Caucasus. Very foolish on the Kremlin's behalf if they let the borat looking dictator of baku, and his pimp in ankara carve out yet more territories in the Caucasus region. Iran too has a turkic problem, and losing a connection with Armenia will make it worse for Iran as well in terms of fighting pan-turkism.
Korbyko doesn't point these things out in an unfavorable light because he's on the baku regime's payroll.
Korbyko does not put these things in a bad light because he is on the payroll of the Baku regime.
Honestly I have little faith in such theses, why, because it only looks at the problem superficially.
There is the familiar saying: Those who do not know history will not understand the present and cannot shape the future. I don’t mean to say it’s your business.
Let’s leave Russia out of the picture for a moment and just look at the work of an Erdogan. He has brought Turkey back to the old days, something that the founder of modern Turkey, Atatürk, wanted to prevent. At the moment, Armenia is between Turkey and Azerbaijan, but this is only the first step. A glance at the map of the Turkic peoples reveals its goal: Let us not forget Erdogan’s statements about the middle of Europe, especially Germany. This was said by Houari Boumedienne in 1972, the successor of Ben Bella as president of Algeria. We will conquer your land with the bellies of our women. " Erdogan had taken over, unfortunately I can not say exactly when he had quoted this. He made it clear that we will go beyond Vienna this time.
The problem I see with Erdogan is that he and Turkey equates with Russia and the USA. We know the problem from Belarus, even Lukashenka tried to play for years between the big ones until one side tried to overthrow him. Putin recognized the problem and began with the integration of Belarus.
It will be interesting to see what happens with Turkey if Erdogan is likely to fail in the next election. By then, some new ground has already been laid on the geopolitical stage.
If its good enough for Putin its good enough for everyone else. Putin opened this Pandora's box, now everyone else will waltz in. Stupid SMO, with stupid undefined, vacuous goals.
Aside from the Turks, the regional powers there are Russia and Iran. Not EU, not France. What we don't know yet, is how likely are they going to intervene to Armenian behalf. Iranians on particular are not on good terms with the Azeris (nor do they like the Turks).
Iran currently supplies gas to Azerbaijan’s exclave Nakhchivan. A gas pipeline is being built through the Zangezur corridor which crosses the Armenian territory, Syunik.
Europe is hungry for gas via additional pipelines through the region - will it sacrifice Armenia?
I can’t express how much I value your analysis and stacks. You cover such a wide angle of politics (whatever politics is, always sounds more like high stakes games to me) of regions and nations where information (for me from the UK) is scant out there. Many thanks!
Thank you, that means a lot to me!
To hell with geopolitics. Just morals...Armenians were victims of horrible genocide by Turks 100 years ago.....and now world will just watch Turks crush them again?
The author of this substack has been on azerbaijan's payroll for well over a decade. His writing here is nothing but azerbaijani agit-prop.
Korybko is a hack.
Hopefully Russia would simply lock the border and block weapon smuggling through borders controlled by Russia. And Russia should not accept request from Armenia for intervention without asking Armenia for controlling its own NATO-backed behavior. Ditto for Azerbaijan.
By the way, I think this is an inevitable by-product of multi-polarity. Multi-polarity does reduce a single hegemony from bullying around the world, but it does enable multiple small bullies. I guess this is yet another reason of why modern economy, technology, and weaponry are unfriendly for smaller nations. The smaller nations either have to align (spheres of influence) or to fight (needing some tough qualifications to participate) National sovereign comes from fighting and holding, not from other people politely recognizing one's country. A jungle you say? It has always been this way. The so-called peaceful life and rule-by-law is only because a single hegemony (the government) dominates against all other competition within a single domain.
A big thank you for this report, it adds to the knowledge that I have already acquired. If you put the author’s basic question in a big context, it becomes increasingly clear that Erdogan is going further towards his dream of the great Ottoman Empire by means of "vassals". Let us not pretend that even if Azerbaijan is larger than Armenia, they are only in this situation because Turkey, which makes no secret of the union of the old Turkic peoples, has militarily upgraded them.
But one should not forget what Erdogan means by the old Turkic peoples.
Look at the map:
https://www.wikiwand.com/de/articles/Turkv%C3%B6lker#/media/file:Carte_peuples_turcs.png
Turkic peoples are a group of about 40 ethnic groups in central and western Asia, as well as in Siberia and eastern Europe, whose languages are considered to be part of the language family of the Turkic languages. This includes the Turkish language and about 40 relatively closely related languages with a total of about 180 to 200 million speakers.
If Armenia disappears that will likely lead to Russia losing control over the entire Caucasus. Very foolish on the Kremlin's behalf if they let the borat looking dictator of baku, and his pimp in ankara carve out yet more territories in the Caucasus region. Iran too has a turkic problem, and losing a connection with Armenia will make it worse for Iran as well in terms of fighting pan-turkism.
Korbyko doesn't point these things out in an unfavorable light because he's on the baku regime's payroll.
Korbyko does not put these things in a bad light because he is on the payroll of the Baku regime.
Honestly I have little faith in such theses, why, because it only looks at the problem superficially.
There is the familiar saying: Those who do not know history will not understand the present and cannot shape the future. I don’t mean to say it’s your business.
Let’s leave Russia out of the picture for a moment and just look at the work of an Erdogan. He has brought Turkey back to the old days, something that the founder of modern Turkey, Atatürk, wanted to prevent. At the moment, Armenia is between Turkey and Azerbaijan, but this is only the first step. A glance at the map of the Turkic peoples reveals its goal: Let us not forget Erdogan’s statements about the middle of Europe, especially Germany. This was said by Houari Boumedienne in 1972, the successor of Ben Bella as president of Algeria. We will conquer your land with the bellies of our women. " Erdogan had taken over, unfortunately I can not say exactly when he had quoted this. He made it clear that we will go beyond Vienna this time.
The problem I see with Erdogan is that he and Turkey equates with Russia and the USA. We know the problem from Belarus, even Lukashenka tried to play for years between the big ones until one side tried to overthrow him. Putin recognized the problem and began with the integration of Belarus.
It will be interesting to see what happens with Turkey if Erdogan is likely to fail in the next election. By then, some new ground has already been laid on the geopolitical stage.
If its good enough for Putin its good enough for everyone else. Putin opened this Pandora's box, now everyone else will waltz in. Stupid SMO, with stupid undefined, vacuous goals.
Aside from the Turks, the regional powers there are Russia and Iran. Not EU, not France. What we don't know yet, is how likely are they going to intervene to Armenian behalf. Iranians on particular are not on good terms with the Azeris (nor do they like the Turks).
How does this play into the pipelines?
Iran currently supplies gas to Azerbaijan’s exclave Nakhchivan. A gas pipeline is being built through the Zangezur corridor which crosses the Armenian territory, Syunik.
Europe is hungry for gas via additional pipelines through the region - will it sacrifice Armenia?