16 Comments
Oct 9Liked by Andrew Korybko

So when Scott Ritter, or Semyon Bagdasarov, or whoever, say that the Israeli domination is over, that there is nothing Israel can do to stop Iran, that decades of U.S. unchallenged domination in the region have been brought to an end... They were wrong, wrong, wrong...

Sorry for the banality of my comment. This comment is an emotional reaction to being gaslit by supposed anti-gaslighters.

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Much of alt-media live in a fantasy word.

I appreciate much that Scott Ritter did and does and has done, but read his comments at the start of the Ukraine War, and not how they have aged like milk.

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Israel, which has been placed as a military watchdog in the service of the West, functions as a zealous proxy. Control of Iran, or even war against Iran if necessary, have been part of the Empire's plans for a long time.

The Blessing and Curse cards waved by Netanyahu at the UN at the end of September are telling. Syria is among the five countries marked in black.

This regional war is deliberate. Obviously, if the Pentagon is moderating, it is not out of pacifism. This more realistic action by the state apparatus knows that the war of attrition in Ukraine has also affected the West. The Pentagon would prefer that it be after the November elections, provided that an agreement to freeze the conflict is signed in Ukraine and that this does not materially impact war plans in the Asia-Pacific zone.

Finally, the USA, caught in an irrational whirlwind because it cannot accept losing its place as world leader, is experiencing this situation in an existential way and is therefore likely to make serious, irreversible mistakes with unpredictable consequences.

The Israeli proxy also finds itself trapped in a spiral that it presents and experiences as existential. Any proxy is likely to become uncontrollable, especially if the puppeteer has himself become irrational.

Observers often forget this factor of possible irrationality and analyze events according to their own rational criteria.

Will Russia and Iran continue to procrastinate and believe that diplomacy still has its place as in a nickel chess game while the players cheat and overturn the pieces because there is no international guarantor and moderator.

To answer Dors, potentially it is over for Zionism, as it was possible to consider that Nazi Germany had lost in 1943 and Ukraine in Kyiv in 2022.

However, we should not complacently let Israel use a brutal salamis policy weakening our forces when at the crucial moment the opposing camp will strike even harder.

The empire and its vassals/proxies do not respect the law and those who respect the law. The war is here and its generalization is inevitable and paradoxically it is in the logic of their irrationality. It remains to draw conclusions.

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What would Syria get in return from Israel for breaking with Resistance?

Can you elaborate on "Russia doesn't want to provoke Israel?" We know that Putin is very risk averse.

How much the oligarchs still have to do with this?

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I once read that 200 mm howitzer can shoot from Golan Heights to the southern suburb of Damascus and Israeli artillerymen can observe and adjust fire without an airplane. If 200 mm howitzer cannot do it, then 240 mm surely can. The geography alone probably already dictated Syria's action. Given the Russians' concern, I suspect Assad would continue to cooperate with Iran, under the table, willingly or unwillingly. Jordan, Syria, and Lebanon are three countries permanently damaged by Israel. I wonder if Russia can help them on agriculture based on older experience in developing agriculture in Central Asia.

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Here's a mirror image situation ala Ukraine: What happens when Turkey decides to start supplying weapons to Syria to defend itself against Israeli incursions? If Israel strikes Turkey then we have an Article 5 situation. The US/NATO set a bad example with Ukraine...

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author

I don't expect Turkiye to arm Syria. Their hoped-for rapprochement over the summer never panned out. Even if they improved ties, too much has happened over the past 13 years for them to enter into close military cooperation of that sort right away.

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Erdogan craves American carrot and fears American stick.

He knows how far he can go, and that anything beyond rhetoric and moral support will get the carrot taken away and we'll jsut have to do The Other Thing.

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What carrot? To not be sanctioned? I wouldn't call F-35 a carrot...

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All kinds of carrots, university places, trophy properties, and yes, the F-35 is seen as prestigious and is in demand.

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Good point, however Turkey is where wounded Hamas fighters are being sent to recuperate so I imagine that doesn't make Israel or the US very happy...

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Will they be allowed to return?

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Probably not back to Gaza but more likely returned to another front or terrorist action (kind of like a store credit or something?)

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Since Turkey will do no such thing, the point is moot.

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You’re probably correct. Good to see you over here, Mr. Finster.

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Thank you for the kind words.

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