12 Comments

The whole assumption here seems to be that the US is supporting Ukrainian decisions, as opposed to making the decisions, which is the relationship. The entire scenario in Ukraine is a US show

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Maybe someone who understands these things better than me can explain..

Ukraine has ‘invaded’ the Kursk region of Russia with about 10,000 troops. Many of these men have been killed or wounded, and many of their AFVs and transport vehicles destroyed. Re-supplying, reinforcing, and evacuating their wounded is very problematic.

Russia has about 800,000 men under arms, an overwhelming advantage in artillery and other matèriel, and complete control of the air.

How can this end well for Ukraine?

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Putin's red lines? He doesn't have any. The Ukraine has crossed dozens of those already and the red lines just evaporated. Putin is the problem here.

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How is he the problem? The SMO is still going to plan, week by week western governments are falling apart, voluntary conscription is through the roof in Russia, support for Putin is at 80%.

Yes Ukraine is attacking Russia, this is what happens in war. Kursk is a nothing burger to Russia's stated aims. Do you expect Putin to tell his military council to pivot each time Ukraine carries out an attack?

Putin is the president, not a dictator, he can suggest some actions but at the end of the day the military council make the big calls and up to now they have managed to severely weaken their enemy and are on the cusp of taking the entire Donbass.

Ukraine want a major escalation, Russia clearly doesn't want one, and why would they when they're slowly destroying the Kiev and NATO.

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Unfortunately, the SMO has failed. It is not going to plan. It was meant to last 3 days, not three years. Putin is struggling to conquer tiny villages in the Donbass, while the Ukraine is armed like never before. Voluntary conscription in Russia is falling well short of the numbers required, as Putin has no good troops to send to Kursk. It is a big mistake to thing that the Russian leadership is some kind of collective entity where the military council makes the decisions. Putin invaded the Ukraine without telling key cabinet members. Russia is not on the cusp of taking the entire Donbass. The rate they're going, Donetsk oblast would take several years to conquer.

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I disagree with all your points. Going to war is a very complicated business, especially when the war zone is populated by your own people. You have to realise that Russia is fighting the entire western world, not Ukraine. The western world as you know is coming to the end of its hegemony and will not go down without a serious fight. Russia has the full support of the rest of the world as long as it sticks to the big plan.

I don't know what you think Russia should do, should they nuke Kiev, would that make you happy? What would you like Putin to do? Tell me.

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You're wasting your time on that guy (David): he's still hasn't got off the nearly-three-year-old page of "It was meant to last 3 days...". Expect little to no progress there.

There shouldn't be any need to nuke anyone. Everything's going according to plan. Rome wasn't built in a day. Patience is the key, and the Russians are inordinately patient; in fact, they thrive on it.

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Why does saying "I disagree" settle the issue? You have been told that everyone's opinions are equally valid. They're not. Nothing I said was refutable and you didn't even try to refute a single point. The Ukraine had 6 weeks of ammo in February 2022 and complacent Putin allowed the West to arm it to the teeth. Putin ruled out attacks on rail depots that could have prevented war matériel from being shifted from Poland (https://johnhelmer.net/zelensky-gets-the-ukrainian-trains-to-run-on-time-gerasimov-strikes-them-as-they-unload-at-the-front/). You shouldn't expect me to your research for you while you just stupidly mouth propaganda.

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The US doesn't "debate" anything, much less foreign policy.

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Great points. I've noticed that Ukraine is trying to attack and destroy the nuclear plant. If they are successful, how does this play out in terms of Putin's response as well as that of the US? Is Putin's response to this as well as the war dependent upon who wins the election in November? For example, if Harris wins he doesn't hold back versus if Trump wins he's more reserved?

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Stop kidding yourself. The US does not seek a diplomatic solution and if it seeks further "Ukrainian" attacks on Russia, will order such attacks to commence. And which of America's vassals is likely to launch a similar attack without American orders?

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"...even Trump might think twice about it if he wins."

Probably not much point wasting energy on lost causes.

It was never a good idea to hope for help, support or understanding from America.

They got a business (the world's) to run, already!

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