Russia will either decisively win, be offered a more generous ceasefire that it’ll accept for pragmatic reasons, or its enemies will dangerously “escalate to de-escalate” as the West falls further behind in their “race of logistics”/“war of attrition”.
If Germans do not actively change their national environment soon, Rhinemetal may become in name only, and instantiated more like Potomacmetal. Military heavy industries use a lot of energy and materials. Even if they are willing to go back to coal, there may not be that much left. After all, Ruhr and Saar are old mining areas and were heavily excavated well before WW1. Poland may have more natural resources left.
Wait... What about the almighty LEOPARDS and MISSILES and stuff?!
That just means that the German M.I.C. can't produce weapons since they LOST ALL the sources of CHEAP ENERGY (from nuclear to the natural gas (NSI&II)) so there is not much left for them to sell to Ukrainistan.
Much as I would like to celebrate, we've seen this movie multiple times in the past.
Germany says "no more", Ukraine whines to their American Master, some State Department flunky snaps his fingers and points at his crotch, German knees resolutely hit the floor with a stirring thud, Geramns grateful to be allowed to service Master and that Master even paid attention to them.
In Russia thinks that will change anything, they need a reality check.
There is no industry in Ukraine worth talking about. Nobody in Washington, nobody in Brussels, nobody in Kiev cares whether Ukrainians freeze or starve.
If Germans do not actively change their national environment soon, Rhinemetal may become in name only, and instantiated more like Potomacmetal. Military heavy industries use a lot of energy and materials. Even if they are willing to go back to coal, there may not be that much left. After all, Ruhr and Saar are old mining areas and were heavily excavated well before WW1. Poland may have more natural resources left.
It will go nuclear. The West has lost it's collective mind... and I will be VERY surprised if the USA doesn't have a Civil War this year...
Wait... What about the almighty LEOPARDS and MISSILES and stuff?!
That just means that the German M.I.C. can't produce weapons since they LOST ALL the sources of CHEAP ENERGY (from nuclear to the natural gas (NSI&II)) so there is not much left for them to sell to Ukrainistan.
Much as I would like to celebrate, we've seen this movie multiple times in the past.
Germany says "no more", Ukraine whines to their American Master, some State Department flunky snaps his fingers and points at his crotch, German knees resolutely hit the floor with a stirring thud, Geramns grateful to be allowed to service Master and that Master even paid attention to them.
Wash rise, repeat every couple of months.
In Russia thinks that will change anything, they need a reality check.
There is no industry in Ukraine worth talking about. Nobody in Washington, nobody in Brussels, nobody in Kiev cares whether Ukrainians freeze or starve.
I see your point, but what I meant was that it hasn't officially made a claim to that region like it has to the other ones.