17 Comments

Another great report and keen analysis

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Thank you!

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Thanks Andrew.

I’m finding it pretty hard to envisage any kind of German-led anti-Russian military coalition.

I mean there may well be people in Germany who would like to see something like this, but there’s zero constituency for it within the German electorate, who, by and large, have little time for the Bundeswehr, and hold in many cases a considerable regard and affection for Russia.

The opinion polls indicate that most young Germans would firmly decline to fight for their country even if it were invaded, so I very much doubt you could get them fired up and enthused about being conscripted and sent to potentially fight in some freezing Polish wasteland against a non-existent threat from Russia.

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I see your point, but Baerbock made it clear in late 2022 that the government won't take public opinion into consideration when formulating policy towards Russia:

https://korybko.substack.com/p/the-german-foreign-minister-discredited

I also don't believe that anything that the people can do will influence their elite's policies, which might remain unpopular, but still won't be stopped absent literal regime change.

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This is truly an Alice in Wonderland moment. Germany like all the EU countries is a militarily castrated chihuahua. Will Mr. Tusk agree to re-name certain “polish” cities to their original names. Breslau, Stettin and Danzig to just name three of the hundreds which were cleansed of its German inhabitants after 1945. Could easily be accomplished by transferring those Poles back to the western Ukraine after Russia defeats the illegitimate regime of Kiew by moving its borders to the demarcation line of 1939. Germany, at last, can fulfill Warsaw wish and repay Poland for all the devastation it caused there during WW II. What a wonderful world US foreign policy is creating.

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Germany can easily extract enough personnel to beef up the skeleton of a brigade group in Poland to full size. I heard so far that "brigade" only has an HQ element of 100+ people. Maybe more personnel have arrived. But there is simply not enough armor. Of course, armor is not that important in a defense setup. We still need Rhine Metals to work hard without Russian gas to build up stuff. Otherwise, it is symbolic only.

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Since the Baltic States are suffering greatly from population decline, which Poles themselves spit out great sounds, but it will still take years before they have built up a real strategic force, they need Germany. The problem is that Germany itself remains behind the target figures of the Bundeswehr and as you can read in various places, even in the German mainstream, not find enough soldiers who voluntarily want to move to Lithuania, they should move with family. Regardless of the fact that everything has to be built there, which raises a next problem, who should build it? The money will seep away in a similar way to Ukraine.

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Good to have a comment from the German perspective. If I am to extrapolate your statement, then I would say this so-called Northern line (Baltics + Poland) is but a smoke screen to pump more money into Ukraine through accounting tricks.

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Thanks. Germany, it seems to me, is so completely a US vassal state that it does nothing on its own behalf. Also, Tusk seems more like a EU/globalist agent than a German one, their cooperation simply means they serve the same goals. Since Germany no longer has the function of being a bulwark against Russia, the Chihuahua states (Estonia, Lithuania), Poland and Ukraine have taken on that role. As a result, France and Germany no longer carry the weight they used to - except to foot the bill.

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Recommend this book:

The Only World Power: America’s Strategy of Domination

The only world power: America’s strategy of domination is the German title of a geopolitical treatise by Zbigniew Brzeziński.

An important statement from the author: "The USA, its vassals and tributary countries"

If you look at George Friedman at the Chicago Council 2015 - https:///www.youtube.com/watch?v=fATq03kBs44

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=vln_ApfoFgw

or George Kennan, you seriously wonder why the politicians in Europe or better the EU are sorry so stupid.

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Yes, I have read the book and seen the clip. It is a mystery to me, why the EU remains hell-bent on its own destruction.

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Hello Anna Bee

The problem is that the post-war order is still similar to that of the 4 Powers status, only without Russia. If one deals with the construction of the Federal Republic of Germany after 1945 much becomes clearer. The OSS later CIA already has early, some claim after the Tehran Conference 1943 other Yalta Conference 1945 began the planning on the part of the West with regard to Germany. The fact is, this is proven and is not disputed, that the CIA has built up the parties, trade unions and media in Germany. The BND with its predecessor organization Gehlen is a 100% product of the CIA. If one were today to speak of a federal state of Germany within the USA, one would not be so far from the truth. This can be confirmed at the Atlantic Bridge, the WEF etc. The US NGOs have the German political system under perfect control. Not to mention the control by Blackrock Vanquard etc. Since Germany is just over 60% of its debt as a share of GDP, the US is already over 100%, it becomes clear why Trump acted as President - this time around. If Germany "falls", the EU falls. Because Germany is the largest net contributor. France and Italy are also over 100% in debt as a share of GDP. Poland, a strong subject of the USA, is extremely dependent on these payments. The entire infrastructure of Poland is financed with EU funds and in German is already war-ready. This makes it clear that the West has been working on exactly the course that is now obvious - pushing Russia since the 1990s. Now the Ukraine adventure did not work out and the US is pleading for a repositioning of Asia through various channels and through various NGOs. The Europeans should also get involved, for the benefit of the gun lobby. Let's be honest, what does the US have to offer economically apart from weapons? Hollywood, Las Vegas, and the tech companies. Could it even be that the backmen - with Biden it is obvious - have long since changed the proverbial horses? Then there was the Kaufman Plan "A good 80 years ago, on July 23, 1941, the Federal Foreign Office of the German Reich drew attention to a pamphlet by the American Theodore N. Kaufman, which had previously been published in the United States under the title Germany must perish (in German: "Germany must be destroyed") " and a Hooton Plan. This was published in the 1940s. Harvard anthropologist Earnest Hooton identified the racial characteristics of the Germans and put them at the center of it. He wanted to promote a psycho-social re-education a biological "re-education" and repopulation as a necessary measure for their successful and permanent subjugation. On January 4, 1943, Hooton published an article in the New York "Peabody Magazine" entitled "Breed war strain out of Germans", in which, ignoring historical facts, he insinuated a special tendency to war on the Germans. Therefore, I assume that Zbigniew Brzezinskis included these plans in his considerations. But from my point of view, something decisive is happening undetected by the Germans. The Ukraine conflict is coming to an end with a similarly disastrous result for the West as in Afghanistan. However, the USA and France already have another goal in mind, which is similarly dangerous, perhaps even more dangerous for Russia. Armenia and Georgia. Russia is building transport corridors towards the Middle East and India / Africa. Turkey as a NATO member is closely integrated into the Western strategy. I do not see the danger of a new major European war and thus the invalid demise of Germany. If you look at the WEF Klaus Schwab and Young Global Leaders or the precursor global leaders for tomorrow you will find many current politicians in this cadre.

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Hello

Nice to have it all in one text - I usually have to put together bits and pieces from various sources.

Thank you for your reply!

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Hallo Anna Bee,

ich kann Ihnen noch das Buch" Der Krieg hat viele Väter" von Gerd Schultze-Rhonhof (ehemaliger Generalmajor der Bundeswehr und deutscher Autor) der deutschen Bundeswehr ans Herz legen. In diesem Buch geht es um die Zeit zwischen den beiden Weltkriegen. Natürlich hat Hitler den Krieg begonnen, man könnte meinen genau wie Russland den Krieg in der Ukraine mit der Überschreitung der russisch ukrainischen Grenze begonnen hat. Aber wie wir als Zeitzeugen heute erkennen, also die Menschen mit Bildung, was in Deutschland bei vielen fehlt, gibt es immer eine Vorgeschichte, damals wie heute. Auffallend ist vor allem hier im Wertewesten, das er seine Kriege, die voll funktionierende Länder nicht nur zerstört sondern jeglicher Staatlichkeit beraubt haben, unterschlägt. Seine Politik immer als was gutes darstellt, wenn es doch was Gutes ist, warum gibt es dann soviele Völker die davon sprichwörtliche die Schnauze voll haben?

Zum Ukraine Konflikt gibt es auch ein Buch was sich mit der Vorgeschichte auseinandersetzt und es aus meiner Sicht sehr gut beschreibt

Der Abschuss: Flug MH17, die Ukraine und der neue Kalte Krieg (Neue Kleine Bibliothek) Taschenbuch – 30. August 2018

von Kees van der Pijl (Autor), Jochen Mitschka (Übersetzer)

Viele Fakten viele Hintergründe und vorallem wird dabei absichtlich oder nicht mit der Lüge der demokratischen Ukraine aufgeräumt.

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ii is an old trick, they try to get NATO in the back way

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Danke - von Kees van der Pyl kenne ich bisher nur "States of Emergency". Sehr klare Analyse und viel Erfahrung.

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Thank you for the good analysis, a few comments on my part, I always look at it from a historical point of view. Those who do not know (or deny) history will not understand the present and cannot shape the future. Unfortunately, I do not find the Western expert again who said that the biggest mistake of NATO was to accept the Baltic and the Poles, they are like barking dogs and plunge us into chaos (maybe someone knows the name then thanks in advance for the info) Back to Poland - let’s remember the 1930s when the League of Nations signed the Treaty of Versailles and how Poland took over territories from Germany. on behalf of the League of Nations (Danzig). After the Munich Treaty as Germany took the Sudetenland from the Tchechen, the Poles got the area Techen. If Germany is to secure the eastern border today, what does that mean? the then Germany and Poland also had a treaty long before the infamous Russia Germany Pact (Hitler Stalin Pact) in the future will steal Poland again from responsibility just as the Balts and Germany hold accountable. In the 1930s there were even considerations in Poland to march on Berlin, which was forbidden by the French / British, because they did not really want to protect Poland, but they wanted Germany to march on Russia. Again, we find an interesting statement by a US American (if I’m not mistaken) in a war between Russia and Germany we support when Russia is losing Russia when Germany is losing Germany, the main thing is that they deal with each other ( in a similar way) That is exactly what should happen now, when the USA takes care of the Pacific, Germany should march on Russia for 3 x and the others then want to incorporate the leftovers.

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