Discover more from Andrew Korybko's Newsletter
Here’s What I Learned From Analyzing The New Cold War For 365 Consecutive Days
Humbly speaking, nobody in the Alt-Media Community or the Mainstream Media has published as many analyses as I have over the past year, which cumulatively surpass over 1,000 seeing as how I average around three a day and sometimes release as many as five. I’ve recalibrated my models as required by changing circumstances in order to reflect reality as accurately as I can, knowing that it’s impossible to produce perfect work but nevertheless always aspiring to do the best that I can.
I’m a Moscow-based American political analyst who’s written about the New Cold War for the past 365 consecutive days since the start of Russia’s special operation in Ukraine exactly one year ago. I began by sharing my thoughts at OneWorld and continued doing so at Substack after the former became defunct. I occasionally publish at CGTN too, which I give radio interviews to once in a while, as well as other sites that I freelance for. Twice a week, I also make brief video analyses that I share on social media.
Before summarizing everything that I’ve learned, I’d like to share a few of my so-called “foundational analyses” that remain relevant up until now. They’ll provide readers with detailed insight into some of the points that I’ll make in the present piece. Everyone is also encouraged to ask me questions on Twitter too if they’re interested in learning more about my thoughts. Here are those background materials that constitute my worldview as it presently stands:
* 15 March: “Why Did U.S. Prioritize Containing Russia Over China?”
* 18 April: “Vladimir Putin: Monster, Madman, Or Mastermind?”
* 29 October: “The Importance Of Properly Framing The New Cold War”
* 12 November: “20 Constructive Critiques Of Russia’s Special Operation”
Humbly speaking, nobody in the Alt-Media Community (AMC) or the Mainstream Media (MSM) has published as many analyses as I have over the past year, which cumulatively surpass over 1,000 seeing as how I average around three a day and sometimes release as many as five. I’ve recalibrated my models as required by changing circumstances in order to reflect reality as accurately as I can, knowing that it’s impossible to produce perfect work but nevertheless always aspiring to do the best that I can.
I applied the seven-step process that I shared with readers almost half a decade ago in spring 2018 in order to fine-tune my work, which readers can review here if they aren’t already familiar with it. I hope that my example can inspire others to follow in my footsteps if they so choose or at least learn more about the proven process for producing quality analyses. Without further ado, here’s what I learned from analyzing the New Cold War for 365 consecutive days:
* The US Is Making An Unprecedented Power Play For Global Domination
Everything that’s transpired over the past year proves that the US isn’t going to sit back and let the global systemic transition to multipolarity proceed unimpeded. It’s waging a multidimensional Hybrid War on the world with the intent of indefinitely delaying this process, with NATO’s proxy war on Russia via Ukraine being the top example of this. After successfully reasserting its unipolar hegemony over Europe, the US now wants to expand its “sphere of influence” across the Global South.
* Neither De Facto New Cold War Bloc Is As Unified As It Might Seem
The New Cold War can be summarized as the struggle between the US-led West’s Golden Billion and the jointly BRICS- & SCO-led Global South over the direction of the global systemic transition, with the first-mentioned wanting to retain unipolarity while the latter wants to accelerate multipolarity. Nevertheless, neither is as unified as it seems since nominal Golden Billion members Hungary, Israel, and Turkiye regularly defy the US while BRICS member Brazil is politically against Russia, which I explained here.
* Most Of What The AMC & MSM Produce Is Copium And Fake News
Readers can be forgiven for having fallen under the impression that each de facto New Cold War bloc is unified since the AMC and MSM have falsely pushed such claims about the Global South and Golden Billion respectively. They rely on a combination of fake news and copium, which refers to artificially manufactured narratives for spinning disadvantageous developments as supposedly beneficial, in order to push their agenda. Both are generally unreliable and nobody should take their claims for granted.
* India’s Rapid Rise To Global Prominence Is The Top Black Swan Event
Of all the unexpected developments to emerge over the past year, the top black swan event is India’s rapid rise as a globally significant Great Power. It aims to assemble a third pole of influence amidst the fading Sino-American bi-multipolar superpower duopoly in order to accelerate the global systemic transition’s tripolar phase ahead of its final form of complex multipolarity (“multiplexity”), hence why Soros is targeting it. Intrepid readers can learn more about this by reviewing the preceding hyperlinks.
* The Outcome Of The Sino-American New Détente Will Be Decisive
China and the US have been exploring a series of mutual compromises aimed at establishing a “new normal” in their relations for the purpose of jointly preserving the abovementioned bi-multipolar world order since the Xi-Biden Summit in mid-November. The New Détente was unexpectedly complicated by early February’s balloon incident, however, which could lead to Beijing abandoning these plans. The outcome of this process, which the preceding hyperlinks detail, will be decisive for the New Cold War.
I hope that the insight that I shared can enlighten folks to perceive the complex process unfolding across the world in new ways that enhance their understanding of them. Everything that’s transpiring is so chaotic and unpredictable, yet there are nevertheless some discernable trends, which I identified in my work across the past year. I’m convinced that the global systemic transition to multipolarity is irreversible for the reasons that I explained, but I also don’t expect it to be completed anytime soon.