Making it prohibitively costly for Indian companies to conduct business along the Iranian-transiting North-South Transport Corridor and pressuring India into dumping Russia would harm the US’ own grand strategic interests vis-à-vis China and might thus only be bluffs or done in extreme scenarios.
It is difficult to descry any consistency, or indeed any coherence, in the present foreign policy of the United States, which seems to be lurching in several directions simultaneously, if such a thing were possible.
Also note the Trump admin has not really changed from the usual bullying tactics used by the USA even if I gave them undue credit for giving up the unipolar hegemony attitude.
It still amazes me that Trump was actually elected to office. They have no plan, no plans to get a plan and no means to get anyone to agree with them as they have become globally derided. His tariff non-plan is costing billions to be wiped off the US SE. He has pissed off too many billionaires 🤣
The deep state will reign him in- it's already started.
Andrew, no one is taking Trump seriously - except the American people who were dumb enough to re-elect him.
India will pay lip-service and continue doing whatever it was doing.
On the one hand, India can fight for more autarky with some foreign countries willing to deal with India on a mutually beneficial attitude. On the other hand, India can open up itself so it can be looted more thoroughly by the West and subject itself to serve as a foreign power's puppet. A country as small as Sri Lanka or Bangladesh may not have a real choice, but India does. Opening up financial sectors will be a major problem for India down the road.
In the back of Modi’s mind it is clear that the U.S. does not have the capacity to drive a wedge between China and Russia or Iran and Russia. These three states realize that they were all herded around by the U.S. like a bunch of sheep and they have zero trust in the “Great Satan” by now. Right now it seems there are a lot of possible combinations to play the economy game until the U.S. vs China conflict turns serious. When that happens all the Central Asian states will be forced to toe the party line and if Mongolia and Pakistan joins the Bloc, India will be looking at the possibility of serious territorial losses to China. If this giant Bloc if forced together in conflict, it will be irresistible on the Asian continent.
We survived nehruvian socialism, sanctions of 1998, duplicity of the British and USAians, will survive these as well.
While our Jaishankar may not be a Lavrov, he’s pretty close.
It is difficult to descry any consistency, or indeed any coherence, in the present foreign policy of the United States, which seems to be lurching in several directions simultaneously, if such a thing were possible.
Also note the Trump admin has not really changed from the usual bullying tactics used by the USA even if I gave them undue credit for giving up the unipolar hegemony attitude.
It still amazes me that Trump was actually elected to office. They have no plan, no plans to get a plan and no means to get anyone to agree with them as they have become globally derided. His tariff non-plan is costing billions to be wiped off the US SE. He has pissed off too many billionaires 🤣
The deep state will reign him in- it's already started.
Andrew, no one is taking Trump seriously - except the American people who were dumb enough to re-elect him.
India will pay lip-service and continue doing whatever it was doing.
On the one hand, India can fight for more autarky with some foreign countries willing to deal with India on a mutually beneficial attitude. On the other hand, India can open up itself so it can be looted more thoroughly by the West and subject itself to serve as a foreign power's puppet. A country as small as Sri Lanka or Bangladesh may not have a real choice, but India does. Opening up financial sectors will be a major problem for India down the road.
In the back of Modi’s mind it is clear that the U.S. does not have the capacity to drive a wedge between China and Russia or Iran and Russia. These three states realize that they were all herded around by the U.S. like a bunch of sheep and they have zero trust in the “Great Satan” by now. Right now it seems there are a lot of possible combinations to play the economy game until the U.S. vs China conflict turns serious. When that happens all the Central Asian states will be forced to toe the party line and if Mongolia and Pakistan joins the Bloc, India will be looking at the possibility of serious territorial losses to China. If this giant Bloc if forced together in conflict, it will be irresistible on the Asian continent.