Israel isn't planning to send early warning systems to Ukraine out of solidarity but is really trying to curry more favor with the US as its war with Hamas reaches the endgame, though Tel Aviv is disguising its true intentions as a signal of displeasure with Moscow's balancing act between Israel and Hamas.
Agree with most of this, but the idea that Bibi is not planning out his moves far in advance is not plausible. Bibi knows that Biden would like to dispose of him, but he also knows that there will be no color revolution before the next US President is sworn in. This gives him 10 months to subdue Gaza and stabilize the North permitting Israeli internal refugees to return to their homes.
The question he must be mulling is whether this resolution can really be considered a victory. Or more precisely, Will his nationalist and religious-nationalist supporters approve?
If the current tensions result in a wider war that relieves those tensions then Bibi will benefit, but Israel will benefit only if new ground facts emerge afterward. So, this is the question: does the Israeli right want to roll the dice now and preemptively resolve the Palestinian question in Jordan, or do they want to continue the current awkward situation of occupation and condemnation?
My sense is that this will become clear in the next few weeks.
Agree with most of this, but the idea that Bibi is not planning out his moves far in advance is not plausible. Bibi knows that Biden would like to dispose of him, but he also knows that there will be no color revolution before the next US President is sworn in. This gives him 10 months to subdue Gaza and stabilize the North permitting Israeli internal refugees to return to their homes.
The question he must be mulling is whether this resolution can really be considered a victory. Or more precisely, Will his nationalist and religious-nationalist supporters approve?
If the current tensions result in a wider war that relieves those tensions then Bibi will benefit, but Israel will benefit only if new ground facts emerge afterward. So, this is the question: does the Israeli right want to roll the dice now and preemptively resolve the Palestinian question in Jordan, or do they want to continue the current awkward situation of occupation and condemnation?
My sense is that this will become clear in the next few weeks.