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It Makes Perfect Sense Why Russia Doesn’t Support Lula’s G20-Like Peace Proposal
Nothing good is expected to come from Lula assembling a G20-like structure for talking about the Ukrainian Conflict since everything that it’s realistically foreseen to result in would be against Russia’s objective interests.
“The Russian Ambassador To India Indirectly Rubbished Lula’s G20-Like Peace Proposal” while speaking at a forum on bilateral relations over the weekend, during which time he declared that “not a single country has made a serious proposal or provided a tangible solution that meets Russian interests.” The most passionate supporters of newly re-elected and now three-time Brazilian President Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva, who’s popularly known as Lula, were shocked by this candid disclosure.
They’d hitherto hyped up his G20-like peace proposal as a potential game-changer for politically resolving the Ukrainian Conflict, which has clearly evolved into a NATO-Russian proxy war over the past year since the start of Moscow’s special operation. Seeing as how their two countries are part of BRICS, which jointly leads the Global South alongside the SCO, they took for granted that Moscow would deeply appreciate Lula’s suggestion and jump at the very first chance to make tangible progress on it.
Instead, not only were they disappointed by the Russian Ambassador to India’s candid disclosure, but they also saw with their own eyes a few days prior how each side’s official readout of their Foreign Ministers’ call last Thursday conspicuously omitted any mentioning of that proposal. Quite clearly, Russia isn’t just disinterested in it like their top diplomats’ last interaction suggested, but actually dismisses it as not being a serious suggestion and even considers it to be against its interests too.
Lula’s most passionate supporters, who practically worship him as a cult-like figure, can’t understand what went wrong. For that reason, many of them have begun lashing out on social media against all those who raise awareness of the objectively existing and easily verifiable facts shared above. Others have also taken to concocting kooky conspiracy theories claiming in spite of the evidence that Russia supposedly supports Lula’s proposal and is allegedly working closely with him behind the scenes on it.
These coping mechanisms are symptomatic of the cognitive dissonance that one experiences whenever “politically inconvenient” facts contradict their dogma, which in this case is Russia declining to discuss Lula’s proposal, dismissing it as not serious, and even implying that it’s against its interests. Russia’s refusal to support Lula’s G20-like peace proposal makes perfect sense though if one has even just a basic understanding of its envisaged end game for the Ukrainian Conflict.
The only way that this proxy war will be resolved is through Moscow and Kiev agreeing to whatever terms they may be, which would in turn have to be approved by Washington since it controls Ukraine’s foreign and military policies. This observation implies that the dual track of Russian-Ukrainian and Russian-American negotiations lies at the heart of ending this conflict, though neither is presently functioning, primarily because the US still wants to fight Russia to the last Ukrainian.
Third parties like India, Israel, and Turkiye can function as mediators upon all sides’ approval in an attempt to resume these diplomatic processes that are required for resolving that proxy war, but the involvement of any other forces like the multitude that Lula is suggesting would turn it into a charade. For instance, the EU’s involvement in the G20 would rope the Baltic States and Poland into his proposed platform, and there obviously isn’t anything constructive that they can add to the peace process.
To the contrary, needlessly multilateralizing negotiations over resolving this proxy war will just turn them into pure theater, during which time some of the world’s most vicious anti-Russian voices would have a global podium for ranting against that Eurasian Great Power. Even worse, this entire performance would have been made possible in that scenario by none other than Lula, one of BRICS’ co-founders who’s also supposed to represent a rising multipolar pole in his country’s own right.
Considering his prior condemnation of Russia’s special operation in Ukraine by comparing it to the US’ Hybrid War on Venezuela, which is counterfactual and intellectually insulting, it also can’t be discounted that he won’t globally amplify his superficial attempt to “balance” between both sides. Nothing good is thus expected to come from Lula assembling a G20-like structure for talking about the Ukrainian Conflict since everything that it’s realistically foreseen to result in would be against Russia’s objective interests.
The only forces that stand to benefit from this shameful anti-Russian show are Lula personally, Ukraine, and its patrons in the US-led West’s Golden Billion who the Brazilian leader is nowadays trying to strike a balance with as the priority focus of his third term’s foreign policy. The first would just be generating international clout for self-interested political purposes like a former Donbass diplomat told one of Russia’s publicly financed international media flagships while the other two’s intentions are obvious.
It's for these reasons that Russia doesn’t support Lula’s G20-like peace proposal and why it’s indirectly expressed its displeasure with it through the means shared in this analysis. Those among the Brazilian leader’s most passionate supporters who still refuse to acknowledge this “politically inconvenient” reality after being informed of it are either delusional cultists or disinformation agents since nobody with innocent intentions would deny Russia’s objectively existing interests that were just explained.