It’s Actually Not A Big Deal That Modi Isn’t Visiting Moscow This Year
The Golden Age of Russian-Indian relations has literally changed the course of International Relations and therefore history as a whole, and this mutually beneficial trajectory isn’t going to suddenly be offset by India just to finally please the US after defying it for so long and already achieving so much. The multiplexity end game that they jointly envisage is progressively being advanced due to the self-sustaining synchronization of their respective permanent bureaucracies in pursuit of that shared goal.
The US-led West’s Mainstream Media (MSM) is making a big deal out of the latest news that Indian Prime Minister Modi won’t be traveling to Moscow this year like he previously planned to do to attend the annual Russia-India Summit that alternates between them each time. According to them, his unexpected scheduling issues are just a face-saving cover for indirectly conveying India’s supposedly growing displeasure with Russia, which they hint is leading to an irreparable rift between them.
There’s nothing novel about their speculation since most of them with the notable exception of the Rand Corporation’s Derek Grossman have refused to acknowledge the objectively existing and easily verifiable reality that the Russian-Indian Strategic Partnership comprehensively strengthened this year. They’ve instead continued to indulge in counterfactual wishful thinking by speculating that Delhi is allegedly distancing itself from Moscow, with the latest news conforming to their political fantasy.
Those who closely follow their relations know that this isn’t true, however. Unnamed Indian officials informed their country’s media that scheduling issues connected to local elections and the start of parliament’s winter season were what’s really responsible for this development. Furthermore, they insisted that the decision was made long before President Putin’s implied reference to his country’s nuclear capabilities in September, the same month that he and Prime Minister Modi met at the SCO.
Seeing as how they already held a very productive bilateral meeting several months back, which built upon their last one in December 2021 when the Russian leader traveled to that South Asian state in his first official state visit abroad since the pandemic, there was no need to hold another one so soon after. About last year’s Russia-India Summit in Delhi, it produced the whopping 99-paragraph “Partnership for Peace, Progress and Prosperity”, which is a detailed action plan for evolving their strategic relations.
That document laid the basis for turbocharging their ties after President Putin commenced his country’s special operation in Ukraine two and a half months later, following which India became Russia’s irreplaceable valve from Western sanctions pressure and thus preemptively averted its potentially disproportionate dependence on China. It’s not an exaggeration to say that this revolutionized International Relations by breaking through its prior Sino-American bi-multipolar superpower impasse.
Intrepid readers can learn more about this in detail by reviewing the nearly four dozen related analyses that I produced over the past year and enumerated in my response to an influential Indian intellectual here. In the past two weeks since I published that piece, Russia requested that India scale its imports by five times, which External Affairs Minister Jaishankar confirmed was already in the cards prior to this year’s game-changing events.
Delhi also pledged to keep importing discounted Russian oil in full defiance of the unilateral price cap imposed upon this resource by the US-led West’s Golden Billion, which will continue guaranteeing India’s astronomical growth that’s twice the pace of China’s while ensuring reliable revenue for Russia. This mutually beneficial arrangement complements the comprehensive expansion of their economic and military ties over the past year to strengthen the multipolar axis between them.
India’s grand strategy is to accelerate the global systemic transition to more complex multipolarity (“multiplexity”) by first midwifing tripolarity together with Russia and their shared Iranian partner all while pioneering a new Non-Aligned Movement (“Neo-NAM”) across the Global South that it envisages leading. This perfectly aligns with the spirit of the Russian-Indian Strategic Partnership that was updated last year after President Putin’s trip to Delhi produced their detailed 99-paragraph action plan.
Everything has continued to evolve along their agreed-upon grand strategic trajectory from that time with absolutely no deviations whatsoever at all, with their plans actually accelerating in light of the global systemic consequences catalyzed by the Ukrainian Conflict’s latest US-provoked phase. It’s against this larger context that the most recent news about the Russia-India Summit should be analyzed, after which it becomes obvious that this unexpected development will have zero impact on their ties.
After all, the tangible progress that’s been achieved thus far on implementing last year’s “Partnership for Peace, Progress and Prosperity” is the direct result of the work that’s been meticulously undertaken by members of their respective permanent bureaucracies. This is a self-sustaining process since each Great Power’s military, intelligence, and diplomatic experts closely coordinate with one another and their counterparts in perfect synchronization in pursuit of their complementary grand strategic goals.
It's not for nothing that President Putin praised Prime Minister Modi in late October for being “one of those leaders in the world who is able to pursue independent foreign policy”. A few days later, he then praised the Indian people as a whole for being so driven, which testifies to the strength of the emotional element that undergirds their relations. Foreign Minister Lavrov recently took everything even further by officially declaring that India is at the center of the emerging Multipolar World Order.
These statements and the indisputable facts that influenced them prove that Russian-Indian relations have entered into a Golden Age that far surpasses that which they used to enjoy during the Old Cold War. Unlike back then, their strategic partnership in the ongoing New Cold War is globally significant since it revolutionized International Relations as was earlier explained with respect to breaking through its prior Sino-American bi-multipolar superpower impasse that otherwise would have been entrenched.
Had it not been for India rising to the occasion as Russia’s irreplaceable valve from Western sanctions pressure, that Eurasian Great Power would have been coerced by circumstances into becoming China’s “junior partner” out of desperation. In turn, India would have had to sacrifice its hard-earned strategic autonomy by entering into a similar relationship vis a vis the US out of its own desperation to retain a semblance of balance with China, thus reinforcing those two’s superpower system.
Instead, everything unexpectedly changed once India defied American pressure to distance itself from Russia by doing the exact opposite in defense of its objective national interests after comprehensively expanding strategic relations with Moscow. Bi-multipolarity was thus broken despite the superpowers nowadays countenancing a New Détente between them as a last-ditch attempt to temporarily delay the global systemic transition’s evolution to Indian-driven tripolarity prior to its final form of multiplexity.
The MSM’s perception managers refuse to recognize this grand strategic reality, instead preferring to spew the Golden Billion’s politically self-serving wishful thinking fantasy alleging that India is inexplicably on the brink of throwing all these aforementioned achievements away by supposedly dumping Russia. Nothing could be further from the truth as the insight shared thus far in this analysis attests since the Russian-Indian Strategic Partnership is presently stronger than at any time in history.
The Golden Age of their relations has literally changed the course of International Relations and therefore history as a whole, and this mutually beneficial trajectory isn’t going to suddenly be offset by India just to finally please the US after defying it for so long and already achieving so much. The multiplexity end game that they jointly envisage is progressively being advanced due to the self-sustaining synchronization of their respective permanent bureaucracies in pursuit of that shared goal.
This observation means that Prime Minister Modi’s inability to travel to Moscow this year actually isn’t a big deal unlike what the MSM’s perception managers have tried to manipulate the masses into believing. The Russian-Indian Strategic Partnership will continue revolutionizing global affairs no matter how much some forces fantasize about them supposedly being on the brink of a grand divorce. The Golden Billion doesn’t like it, but the sooner they accept this like Grossman advised, the better it’ll be.
Wow. You still take a lot of verbosity to make your point. Yes India is unlikely to jeopardize its newly expanded 'unbreakable' relationship with Russia... And Xi Jinping's visit to Riyadh where 34 important agreements were signed for technological and infrastructure cooperation - unlike the fruitless visit by Biden some months ago - is also a sign the multipolar world is asserting itself more and more boldly. Similar trends are occurring in Africa as the neocolonial presence of the US and France is being rejected in favour of better deals with China and Russia. And even to an Indian-born person like me, your not so subtle pro-India, anti-China bias is evident. The present appearance of superior Indian growth is something of an illusion, as a recent Foreign Affairs article pointed out - reflecting mostly a reverberation of the severe contraction during covid. China's ongoing lockdowns due to fears of having been ethno-targeted by the Pentagon bioweapon is responsible for the current low growth rate there. This analy will shortly be corrected. America's attempt at deindustrialization at Germany's expense using sanctions v Russia plus the Inflation Reduction Act is unlikely to be at China's expense, as China continues to lead the West inoat advanced technologies, never mind India.