President Putin prefers Biden over Trump because: 1) Biden has the support of the “deep state’s” ruling liberal-globalists; 2) this faction is expected to remain in power even if Trump wins; and 3) they could carry out more anti-Russian provocations to discredit him in that case just like last time.
Most of the Mainstream Media and Alternative Media Community alike agree that President Putin’s preference for Biden over Trump is a “5D chess master plan” aimed at discrediting the incumbent due to his secret support for the Republican frontrunner. The Russian leader explained that “[Biden] is a more experienced and predictable person, he is a politician of the old sort.” He also defended his counterpart’s cognitive capabilities in a reiteration of the points that he made after their summer 2021 summit.
Even though Biden is formally overseeing NATO’s proxy war on Russia through Ukraine, which Trump has railed against since it began and claimed that he’d end right away if he returned to power, President Putin still prefers him to his opponent for several legitimate reasons. For starters, Biden is the figurehead of those powerful members of the permanent military, intelligence, and diplomatic bureaucracies (“deep state”) that really formulate and implement American policy, who support him while opposing Trump.
The ruling liberal-globalist faction’s decision to prioritize containing Russia over China obviously works against Moscow’s interests, unlike their conservative-nationalist rivals’ plans to prioritize China’s containment over Russia, but it’s precisely because of their power that they’re predictable. President Putin cautioned Russian strategic forecasters against indulging in wishful thinking in summer 2022, after which he admitted being naïve about the West a few months back in December.
These observations lead to the second point about how the Kremlin has likely concluded that the ruling liberal-globalist faction that’s responsible for NATO’s proxy war on Russia through Ukraine will remain in power for the foreseeable future even if Trump returns. The former president proved himself unable to purge the “deep state” of those subversive forces that sabotaged his envisaged rapprochement with Russia, which was supposed to facilitate China’s containment, so precedent suggests that he’ll fail again.
As the saying goes, “better the devil that you know than the devil that you don’t”, and the Russian leadership is apparently taking this adage to heart when it comes to the US. President Putin was already fooled so many times by the West that he’s extremely sensitive about letting himself get duped once more, hence why he’d prefer to assume that nothing will improve than to get his hopes up for nothing. It would also be very irresponsible to formulate policy based on wishful thinking expectations too.
The final point about why the Russian leader supports his American counterpart’s re-election is because there might be less risk of unexpected provocations than if Trump returned to power. To explain, the only reason why the kooky Russiagate conspiracy theory was cooked up by the ruling liberal-globalist faction’s Democrat proxies and their British allies was because the former president posed a threat to their agenda. They therefore sought to discredit him by concocting the claim that he’s a Russian puppet.
Russia hadn’t properly assessed the US’ “deep state” dynamics to understand what was happening, why, and how unlikely it was that Trump would emerge victorious in this power struggle like they hoped, which explains why it remained committed to the Minsk Accords that nobody else was respecting. President Putin and his team learned their lessons about naivety and wishful thinking the hard way, however, and won’t be fooled again into thinking that anything will change exactly as he told Tucker.
To sum it up, President Putin prefers Biden over Trump because: 1) Biden has the support of the “deep state’s” ruling liberal-globalists; 2) this faction is expected to remain in power even if Trump wins; and 3) they could carry out more anti-Russian provocations to discredit him in that case just like last time. It’s much better for Russia to play it safe and formulate policy with the assumption that ties with the US might get worse than to once again naively indulge in wishful thinking fantasies that they might improve.
Well reasoned.