The German leader just published what can be interpreted as his manifesto explaining why his country must supposedly restore its prior hegemonic status, and it was released by none other than the same magazine run by the Council on Foreign Affairs, which is regarded as among the most influential policymaking platforms in the US-led West’s Golden Billion.
Not very well thought out article, considering that Germany is one of the biggest economic losers currently due to the western hybrid war with Russia, with the biggest GDP drop in the EU.
Additionally, German GDP growth in modern days is one of the lowest both internationally and within Europe. That is, Germany is in relative decline against almost all countries in Europe.
German military power in Europe will not increase in relative terms because that 2 % military spending increase comes from a declining german economic share within Europe.
GDP dynamics point to increased Eastern European influence in Europe, and a decline of the stagnant western part of it, for example the Czech Republic recently overtook Italy in GDP per capita, and these trends are poised to continue in the future as per the vast majority of economic forecasters.
I agree with you. The whole Ukraine project success was contingent upon the collapse of Russia and the seizure of Russia's resources particularly gas and oil to transfer profits to the west such that cheap Russian gas and oil would underpin Germany's military rise.
With the likelihood that Russia will be stronger after this war it is hard to see how the Sulky Liver Sausage could pull this off. Where is the money coming from? And he might not survive the winter as the German people aren't going to be very happy, hopefully they will throw him out. I cannot see German Youth signing up in the hundreds of thousands either. The Neo-Nazis would but they are a very small minority, of course it might not stay that way.
The Poles are more likely to sign up as they have shown in the Ukraine war. How many young Germans have strapped on a rifle and headed to Ukraine to be killed by the Russians? I haven't heard of any, but their are plenty of Poles.
I also cannot see France letting Germany become the dominant military in Europe apart from French hubris they would remember both World Wars that Germany started. Germany will want nuclear weapons and submarines.
Anyone who encourages Germany to remilitarise should be locked up in a secure psychiatric institution.
The EU and all the member states will do as they are told
The EU is the political wing of NATO
The US is NATO and UN
Germany has stood by and taken the brunt of the economic hit from sanctions and Nordstream pipeline sabotage. Why have they been so quiet and taken such a beating at the hands of the US? Because they know a big payoff is coming. The US will anoint Germany as the new guardian of European security, the EU and ECB will comply by funnelling money into German re-armament. US MIC will invest heavily in German industry, spin-offs will be green energy and EV battery manufacturing. Don't overlook the EU Critical Materials Act that's coming into play.
Italy, France etc have lost their seats at the table. AUKUS was a massive slap in the face for France. French influence over Sahel is being eroded away so the US/UK can step in and fill the void to face-off with Russia over resource control.
The focus is on Russia, but that's a shell game to distract from the real target: China.
Germany stood by because their culture and thinking was deliberately terraformed in special ways since a long time ago so that they will want to be puppets by themselves, without even being told. They are very easy to manipulate.
As a result of the hybrid war with Russia european industry became uncompetitive.
And no, the US selling gas to Germany for 5 times the price, the Inflation Reduction Act, the Buy American Act, and the taking away of german and european industry means that the US does not care about Germany and Europe deindustrialising.
When things get serious, the metropole cannibalises the colonies, so that the center can live. They are hungry and they need to feed. Including upon Europe and Germany.
And they are hungry and need to feed because the US has too much debt, which under current law will lead to 25 % reductions to civilian and military spending by 2030.
Not very well thought out article, considering that Germany is one of the biggest economic losers currently due to the western hybrid war with Russia, with the biggest GDP drop in the EU.
Additionally, German GDP growth in modern days is one of the lowest both internationally and within Europe. That is, Germany is in relative decline against almost all countries in Europe.
German military power in Europe will not increase in relative terms because that 2 % military spending increase comes from a declining german economic share within Europe.
GDP dynamics point to increased Eastern European influence in Europe, and a decline of the stagnant western part of it, for example the Czech Republic recently overtook Italy in GDP per capita, and these trends are poised to continue in the future as per the vast majority of economic forecasters.
I agree with you. The whole Ukraine project success was contingent upon the collapse of Russia and the seizure of Russia's resources particularly gas and oil to transfer profits to the west such that cheap Russian gas and oil would underpin Germany's military rise.
With the likelihood that Russia will be stronger after this war it is hard to see how the Sulky Liver Sausage could pull this off. Where is the money coming from? And he might not survive the winter as the German people aren't going to be very happy, hopefully they will throw him out. I cannot see German Youth signing up in the hundreds of thousands either. The Neo-Nazis would but they are a very small minority, of course it might not stay that way.
The Poles are more likely to sign up as they have shown in the Ukraine war. How many young Germans have strapped on a rifle and headed to Ukraine to be killed by the Russians? I haven't heard of any, but their are plenty of Poles.
I also cannot see France letting Germany become the dominant military in Europe apart from French hubris they would remember both World Wars that Germany started. Germany will want nuclear weapons and submarines.
Anyone who encourages Germany to remilitarise should be locked up in a secure psychiatric institution.
Disagree I think the article is quite accurate.
You're missing the crux of the point:
The US owns and runs the EU
The EU and all the member states will do as they are told
The EU is the political wing of NATO
The US is NATO and UN
Germany has stood by and taken the brunt of the economic hit from sanctions and Nordstream pipeline sabotage. Why have they been so quiet and taken such a beating at the hands of the US? Because they know a big payoff is coming. The US will anoint Germany as the new guardian of European security, the EU and ECB will comply by funnelling money into German re-armament. US MIC will invest heavily in German industry, spin-offs will be green energy and EV battery manufacturing. Don't overlook the EU Critical Materials Act that's coming into play.
Italy, France etc have lost their seats at the table. AUKUS was a massive slap in the face for France. French influence over Sahel is being eroded away so the US/UK can step in and fill the void to face-off with Russia over resource control.
The focus is on Russia, but that's a shell game to distract from the real target: China.
Germany stood by because their culture and thinking was deliberately terraformed in special ways since a long time ago so that they will want to be puppets by themselves, without even being told. They are very easy to manipulate.
As a result of the hybrid war with Russia european industry became uncompetitive.
And no, the US selling gas to Germany for 5 times the price, the Inflation Reduction Act, the Buy American Act, and the taking away of german and european industry means that the US does not care about Germany and Europe deindustrialising.
When things get serious, the metropole cannibalises the colonies, so that the center can live. They are hungry and they need to feed. Including upon Europe and Germany.
And they are hungry and need to feed because the US has too much debt, which under current law will lead to 25 % reductions to civilian and military spending by 2030.
A great article! This piece just show us that the Global South must resort only to ourselves in the pursuit of a rising multipolar world.