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Poland’s Deputy Prime Minister Estimates That Half Of Europe Wants A Rapprochement With Russia
Nobody could have expected Poland to debunk one of the core narratives of Western propaganda nowadays claiming that Europe is entirely united against Russia. This country is considered to be one of the most Russophobic in the world, with only Ukraine surpassing it right now, and that’s purely because it’s killing Russians. Piotr Glinski and the government that he represents therefore can’t be smeared as so-called “Russian puppets” by those who are triggered by his candid admission and want to discredit them.
Poland shared its second unpopular truth about the NATO-Russian proxy war in less than a week after Deputy Prime Minister Piotr Glinski just told the Kurier Lubelski news outlet that approximately half of Europe wants a rapprochement with Russia in his estimation. The interview can be read in its original Polish here with the help of Google Translate, with the relevant part thereof being located around halfway through. Readers should review it for themselves since this admission is indeed shocking.
Nobody could have expected Poland to debunk one of the core narratives of Western propaganda nowadays claiming that Europe is entirely united against Russia. This country is considered to be one of the most Russophobic in the world, with only Ukraine surpassing it right now, and that’s purely because it’s killing Russians. Glinski and the government that he represents therefore can’t be smeared as so-called “Russian puppets” by those who are triggered by his candid admission and want to discredit them.
Likewise, the exact same can be said about Chief of the General Staff of the Polish Armed Forces General Rajmund Andrzejczak, who also shared his own unpopular truth less than a week ago while participating in a strategy session with the National Security Bureau. Whereas Glinski touched upon the economically driven interest that many Europeans have in patching up their problems with Russia, Andrzejczak naturally spoke about the military challenges inherent in Kiev’s upcoming counteroffensive.
His words were reported on by Do Rzecy here and analyzed here for those who’d like to read what he said and how his insight figures into the bigger picture. Taken together with Glinski’s, they represent a newfound information campaign pushed by Poland, which aims to dispel popular illusions about this proxy conflict that are directly attributable to the success of Western propaganda up until this point. As can be seen, neither the “inevitability” of Kiev’s victory nor “European unity” against Russia were true.
In reality, the NATO chief’s self-declared “race of logistics”/“war of attrition” with Russia since mid-February automatically precluded the possibility of Kiev’s “inevitable” victory, while Europeans on both the left and right have become aware of the self-inflicted economic damage caused by the sanctions. Accordingly, it should never have been taken for granted that Russia will lose, just like it was a mistake to claim that most Europeans are content with making perpetual economic sacrifices in support of Ukraine.
Polish officials have an interest in preparing their people for what they regard as the worst-case scenario from their perspective, namely that Kiev’s counteroffensive will fail to meet the public’s unrealistically high expectations, after which the EU (possibly led by France) will join China in brokering a ceasefire. Regarding those selfsame expectations, unnamed US officials spoke to Politico late last month about their related fears, which can be seen in hindsight as the start of this perception correction operation.
Just like Glinski’s unpopular truth followed Andrzejczak’s, so too did Chair of the House Foreign Affairs Committee Kevin McCaul’s follow Politico’s aforementioned report on Monday. He declared that the US’ future aid to Kiev will be conditional on the outcome of its upcoming counteroffensive: “If Ukraine is successful in the eyes of the American people and the world, I think it will be a game-changer for continued support. If they are not, that will also have an impact, in a negative way, though.”
This clearly coordinated American-Polish information campaign is actually the second one this year after the first unfolded in January. Prime Minister Mateusz Morawiecki was the first Western leader to seriously discuss the scenario of Kiev’s potential defeat, which was followed by President Andrzej Duda warning that Ukraine might not survive this conflict. Chief of General Staff Andrzejczak chimed in too with some insight into how formidable the Russian Armed Forces still remained despite popular claims.
Less than a week since Morawiecki began this first perception correction campaign, Chairman of the Joint Chiefs of Staff General Mark Milley admitted that Kiev probably won’t defeat Russia this year, if ever. In the three months between these two joint American-Polish influence operations, the NATO chief declared his bloc’s previously mentioned “race of logistics” with Russia and “The Washington Post Finally Told The Full Truth About How Poorly Kiev’s Forces Are Faring”.
Those two interim narrative developments reflected objective military reality a lot better than anything that Western officials or media claimed all across 2022. They also importantly occurred in the run-up to Kiev’s planned counteroffensive and built upon the unpopular truths that were first introduced into the Western information ecosystem in mid-January. It therefore made perfect sense to launch a second such campaign, ergo the coordinated American and Polish statements of the past week.
The takeaway is that Kiev’s counteroffensive is truly a pivotal moment in this proxy war. Western officials are concerned that it won’t meet the public’s unrealistically high expectations, however, which in turn suggests that they’re bracing for the scenario of a ceasefire by year’s end at the latest. As Glinski rightly noted, half of Europe wants this conflict to end so that they can go back to doing business with Russia, while McCaul made it clear that the future of US aid is conditional on the counteroffensive’s outcome.
The stage is therefore set for a ceasefire by sometime this year if Kiev’s counteroffensive falls far short of expectations, which could prompt France to lead the Europeans in jointly hosting talks with China in an attempt to convince the two most direct participants in this conflict to silence their guns. The US public would be much less supportive of Biden’s “blank check” policy if the over $150 billion worth of Western aid that Ukraine received thus far failed to result in any significant on-the-ground accomplishments. .
The only scenarios that could offset the above are the equally unlikely ones of either Kiev or Moscow achieving a major military breakthrough that would make it politically impossible for the leaderships to seriously consider a ceasefire. Their respective odds are slim when compared to the likelihood of a ceasefire by year’s end, hence why Western officials are preconditioning the public to expect this through the second joint American-Polish perception correction operation in just four months.