In the meantime, while the adults try to make deals, the European gnomes are digging feverishly deeper into the already very deep pit they have managed to get themselves in... until the walls will collapse one day.
Speculations on peace deals are far better proposition than speculations on the nuclear war.
What will be the end result is still too early to see as we are in the sideways movement phase on nuclear war escalation.
Trump is transactionista. He loves a good deal and will try to draw every policy through transaction's needle eye but in the end he is still a rationalist, someone who can recognises a defeat and tries to quickly withdraw from it then eyeball the next win.
World is in a much better place now than only few months ago. This unless one is an elite Ukrainian. Or those Ukrainians who put all their eggs in the Sleepy Joe's Basket. Common Ukrainians already lost everything, more than a decade ago.
But it ain't over till the fat lady stops to sing, so who knows what the next episode of Season 1 of The Trump series brings.
No, it's not in Russia's national interests to "backstab" its more populous and economically powerful neighbor. As the new detente between the US and Russia grows, we're going to see a lot of wildly wishful thinking on all sorts of stuff.
On the bright side, it will give you plenty to debunk, and debunking is one of your specialties.
I’ll give it two weeks before Trump turns on Putin for not signing the quick deal that wins him (POTUS) the Nobel Peace Prize he so desperately covets after Obama won it for doing f-all - and a deal which simultaneously clears the decks for the US to go after China. Maybe a month, tops.
And the reasons why I believe this to be likely are fivefold: first, I reckon it’s beginning to dawn on Trump that he’s underestimated the strength of European Russophobia; that the Europeans may indeed muster the vast sums of money necessary to keep the Ukraine war going for quite a long time. They don’t need a European army to kibosh a peace deal they don’t like.
Second. It will take that amount of time for Trump to recognise that Putin is marching to his own drum; to a timetable for tackling the root causes of the war; root causes to which Trump & Co have only paid lip service. They’ll all turn on dime once they recognise that Putin intends exacting the rewards of winning the war where it counts. On the battlefield.
Third, while we know how implacably opposed to Trump’s proposed peace plan the Democrats are, we have little idea of the opposition there might well be among the rank-and-file of the Republican Party. Even within his own cabinet. More importantly, perhaps, this is not an appropriate time to accurately canvas support within the American populace as a whole. After all, Trump won the election with less than a third of eligible voters.
Fourth, while there are some oligarchs within Russia who allegedly oppose some of Putin’s conditions for achieving peace, we don’t know how influential they are. Nor do we know the extent of opposition to Putin there is across Russian society as a whole. But, more importantly, we don’t know how united the Russian military is on the issue of peace. Tsar Nicholas learned at great cost what divisions within his army meant for the monarchy and Russia. Conversely, Lenin taught the world how crucial it is for any ruler not to sew divisions among those who controlled the means of exercising violence, typically the military.
Finally, it stretches credulity - and a dollop of Sinophobia - to believe that Putin trusts Trump further than he can throw him. To paraphrase George W Bush. Fool me once, shame on you. Fool me twice uh shame uh on you uh again?
Anyway, if one wants to bet on US-Russian reconcialiation, Baltic Real Estate and Construction has been going through the roof after Donald has been elected.
I confess that I am one of millions who are influenced by the Russian media.
Why? Because at least 90% of the time, it seems to tell the truth.
Just to balance this subtle swipe at the Russian-sourced media's credibility, let's not forget the astounding revelations of how USAID has been funding ALL the Ukrainian media and a significant amount in the USA and around the world to carry the lunatic-liberal fringe narratives to pollute the minds of the world's populations.
The mainstream western media is pretty much unwatchable because the lies and misinformation it pours forth are a blatant and consistent attack on the viewers' intellect. When I do steel myself to watch it, it is with incredulity with regard to the gall its purveyors portray.
Wars are costly and empires only amortise during peace times. Just look at how much Rome has profited from Egyptian and North African grain. Same with Britain and India.
Place yourself into the position of the Russian and Chinese leaderships for a second. America, with the change of an administration goes from threatening you with nukes to cooperation for peace. Of course the process can reverse; such is the nature of “democracy” and all the dark forces hiding behind the label.
I was actually surprised that Putin went as far as offering cooperation to the U.S. over rare earth and Arctic energy supplies. Considering that America is already in control of Canada, Greenland and related territories Putin’s offer is a clear message: “I give you a green light toward world domination for these raw materials.” The offer should not be taken lightly after Russia was pushed into an existential struggle in Ukraine.
While the Europeans feverishly attempt to get Zelensky to walk away from this deal and have them fund his war. Should he choose wrong the US walks away and Russia takes all the Ukraine as Europe gets its head handed to them. Trump will get the deal done though and should get the Nobel peace prize but that won’t happen as the leftists that run it will never acknowledge what he did. Same as how they refused to give him the award after the Abraham accords. All that matters is peace though and Trump seems to know how to make it happen. Pretty nuts for a guy they call a facist dictator and Hitler.
Let's consider the preponderance of world opinion & will. Tension has palpably lessened regarding Ukraine & even Gaza. While wariness & even bated breath exist as uncertainties & contradictory reports abound, a faint harbinger of peace seems to be emerging. We cannot underestimate this energy. It can bend ill intentions to more neutral actions. Actors on the stage are not oblivious to the audience. The script can be altered. Chinese people & their gov't desire peace & so do the Russians. The great neighbors will remain united & do every subtlety to assure their greater interests remain intact while calming the terrified hegemon.
In the meantime, while the adults try to make deals, the European gnomes are digging feverishly deeper into the already very deep pit they have managed to get themselves in... until the walls will collapse one day.
Speculations on peace deals are far better proposition than speculations on the nuclear war.
What will be the end result is still too early to see as we are in the sideways movement phase on nuclear war escalation.
Trump is transactionista. He loves a good deal and will try to draw every policy through transaction's needle eye but in the end he is still a rationalist, someone who can recognises a defeat and tries to quickly withdraw from it then eyeball the next win.
World is in a much better place now than only few months ago. This unless one is an elite Ukrainian. Or those Ukrainians who put all their eggs in the Sleepy Joe's Basket. Common Ukrainians already lost everything, more than a decade ago.
But it ain't over till the fat lady stops to sing, so who knows what the next episode of Season 1 of The Trump series brings.
No, it's not in Russia's national interests to "backstab" its more populous and economically powerful neighbor. As the new detente between the US and Russia grows, we're going to see a lot of wildly wishful thinking on all sorts of stuff.
On the bright side, it will give you plenty to debunk, and debunking is one of your specialties.
I’ll give it two weeks before Trump turns on Putin for not signing the quick deal that wins him (POTUS) the Nobel Peace Prize he so desperately covets after Obama won it for doing f-all - and a deal which simultaneously clears the decks for the US to go after China. Maybe a month, tops.
And the reasons why I believe this to be likely are fivefold: first, I reckon it’s beginning to dawn on Trump that he’s underestimated the strength of European Russophobia; that the Europeans may indeed muster the vast sums of money necessary to keep the Ukraine war going for quite a long time. They don’t need a European army to kibosh a peace deal they don’t like.
Second. It will take that amount of time for Trump to recognise that Putin is marching to his own drum; to a timetable for tackling the root causes of the war; root causes to which Trump & Co have only paid lip service. They’ll all turn on dime once they recognise that Putin intends exacting the rewards of winning the war where it counts. On the battlefield.
Third, while we know how implacably opposed to Trump’s proposed peace plan the Democrats are, we have little idea of the opposition there might well be among the rank-and-file of the Republican Party. Even within his own cabinet. More importantly, perhaps, this is not an appropriate time to accurately canvas support within the American populace as a whole. After all, Trump won the election with less than a third of eligible voters.
Fourth, while there are some oligarchs within Russia who allegedly oppose some of Putin’s conditions for achieving peace, we don’t know how influential they are. Nor do we know the extent of opposition to Putin there is across Russian society as a whole. But, more importantly, we don’t know how united the Russian military is on the issue of peace. Tsar Nicholas learned at great cost what divisions within his army meant for the monarchy and Russia. Conversely, Lenin taught the world how crucial it is for any ruler not to sew divisions among those who controlled the means of exercising violence, typically the military.
Finally, it stretches credulity - and a dollop of Sinophobia - to believe that Putin trusts Trump further than he can throw him. To paraphrase George W Bush. Fool me once, shame on you. Fool me twice uh shame uh on you uh again?
Anyway, if one wants to bet on US-Russian reconcialiation, Baltic Real Estate and Construction has been going through the roof after Donald has been elected.
"Russia's publicly funded media." Hmmm . . .
I confess that I am one of millions who are influenced by the Russian media.
Why? Because at least 90% of the time, it seems to tell the truth.
Just to balance this subtle swipe at the Russian-sourced media's credibility, let's not forget the astounding revelations of how USAID has been funding ALL the Ukrainian media and a significant amount in the USA and around the world to carry the lunatic-liberal fringe narratives to pollute the minds of the world's populations.
The mainstream western media is pretty much unwatchable because the lies and misinformation it pours forth are a blatant and consistent attack on the viewers' intellect. When I do steel myself to watch it, it is with incredulity with regard to the gall its purveyors portray.
Everybody needs peace. Even the imperialists need peace sometimes.
Wars are costly and empires only amortise during peace times. Just look at how much Rome has profited from Egyptian and North African grain. Same with Britain and India.
congratulations, a nice logical concise overview.
Place yourself into the position of the Russian and Chinese leaderships for a second. America, with the change of an administration goes from threatening you with nukes to cooperation for peace. Of course the process can reverse; such is the nature of “democracy” and all the dark forces hiding behind the label.
I was actually surprised that Putin went as far as offering cooperation to the U.S. over rare earth and Arctic energy supplies. Considering that America is already in control of Canada, Greenland and related territories Putin’s offer is a clear message: “I give you a green light toward world domination for these raw materials.” The offer should not be taken lightly after Russia was pushed into an existential struggle in Ukraine.
@George K
"When you surround your enemies, leave an opening; do not push too hard on the enemies who are desperate."
Or maybe he's just a good 'ol boy.
While the Europeans feverishly attempt to get Zelensky to walk away from this deal and have them fund his war. Should he choose wrong the US walks away and Russia takes all the Ukraine as Europe gets its head handed to them. Trump will get the deal done though and should get the Nobel peace prize but that won’t happen as the leftists that run it will never acknowledge what he did. Same as how they refused to give him the award after the Abraham accords. All that matters is peace though and Trump seems to know how to make it happen. Pretty nuts for a guy they call a facist dictator and Hitler.
Let's consider the preponderance of world opinion & will. Tension has palpably lessened regarding Ukraine & even Gaza. While wariness & even bated breath exist as uncertainties & contradictory reports abound, a faint harbinger of peace seems to be emerging. We cannot underestimate this energy. It can bend ill intentions to more neutral actions. Actors on the stage are not oblivious to the audience. The script can be altered. Chinese people & their gov't desire peace & so do the Russians. The great neighbors will remain united & do every subtlety to assure their greater interests remain intact while calming the terrified hegemon.