The consequences of this constitutional crisis could still reverberate much further than the Rio Grande and last much longer than the week’s news cycle. Texas Governor Greg Abbott declared on Wednesday that the federal government had broken its compact with the States by refusing to follow its own border security policies. In response, he pledged to “
Texas and the Federal gov have a way out that allows them to back down (if they so choose), by using Congressional progress on the legislation as a face saving reason.
However Trump just made it a lot mode complicated, by encouraging other states to send national guard and join Texas - in spite of a Supreme Court ruling already on the books for the Texas situation, and ahead of his own Supreme Court case for having been removed from the ballot in Colorado earlier on account of Jan 6 (which at the time of that CO ruling was 100% unjustified, but now there's some meat there). So Trump's entering the fray, I think, is pretty well asking for a showdown vs the Biden admin. Either he's lost his mind, or the Biden admin is in a lot worse trouble than people realize. (One wonders if the US having failed to stop the ICJ, as some of Trump's and Biden's sponsors may have wished, is a factor). I'd say prepare for high drama.
I agree that, this time around, the constitutional crisis at the Texas border won't cause another civil war. However, the last time around, a series of crises throughout the 1850s finally tore the Union asunder in 1860.
Twin cracks in the foundation of the Union already appeared in June 2022, as the U.S. horoscope's progressed Sun, Pluto, Descendant and South Node were all conjunct within a degree. A couple months before that point, I surmised that it could portend an existential crisis for the Union. What emerged were the twin cracks, but the Supreme Court crack overshadowed the Texas crack.
Looking forward, one can imagine further constitutional crises involving the Trump election campaign and the federal government's obligation to not default on its debt in the face of congressional gridlock, eventually risking putting Social Security and Medicare on the chopping block. Biden's support for Ukraine, and consequent accelerated global de-dollarization, have amplified that risk.
Texas and the Federal gov have a way out that allows them to back down (if they so choose), by using Congressional progress on the legislation as a face saving reason.
However Trump just made it a lot mode complicated, by encouraging other states to send national guard and join Texas - in spite of a Supreme Court ruling already on the books for the Texas situation, and ahead of his own Supreme Court case for having been removed from the ballot in Colorado earlier on account of Jan 6 (which at the time of that CO ruling was 100% unjustified, but now there's some meat there). So Trump's entering the fray, I think, is pretty well asking for a showdown vs the Biden admin. Either he's lost his mind, or the Biden admin is in a lot worse trouble than people realize. (One wonders if the US having failed to stop the ICJ, as some of Trump's and Biden's sponsors may have wished, is a factor). I'd say prepare for high drama.
I agree that, this time around, the constitutional crisis at the Texas border won't cause another civil war. However, the last time around, a series of crises throughout the 1850s finally tore the Union asunder in 1860.
Twin cracks in the foundation of the Union already appeared in June 2022, as the U.S. horoscope's progressed Sun, Pluto, Descendant and South Node were all conjunct within a degree. A couple months before that point, I surmised that it could portend an existential crisis for the Union. What emerged were the twin cracks, but the Supreme Court crack overshadowed the Texas crack.
Looking forward, one can imagine further constitutional crises involving the Trump election campaign and the federal government's obligation to not default on its debt in the face of congressional gridlock, eventually risking putting Social Security and Medicare on the chopping block. Biden's support for Ukraine, and consequent accelerated global de-dollarization, have amplified that risk.