6 Comments

Can't understand how china can take advantage. China has interest in US not securing a base in Bangladesh just like india. It would want Rohingya issue to be a bilateral issue between Myanmar and Bangladesh.

India also doesn't want US base

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5hEdited

India has nothing to do with this and will not meddle in Myanmarese-Bangladeshi bilateral affairs, in the same way in which Russia does not interfere in Palestinian-Israeli conflicts. The Myanmarese side alleges that Rohingya radical mercenaries from Rakhine are poised to ethnic cleanse surviving remnants of an earlier holocaust among Buddhist Chakma tribals from Chittagong province of Bangladesh in cahoots with rogue elements in the Bangladeshi armed forces. The Arakan Army faction claims that it plans to secure and seal its country's border with Bangladesh to forestall the likelihood of Rohingya ultras spilling over into Bangladesh from Myanmar. Those Rohingya militants have reportedly received training several years ago from Al Qaeda veterans at the tacit behest of Mossad. On face of it, the Arakan Army's contention of premptive defense appears to be a valid argument, in as much as it has to do with Myanmarese sovereignty within the confines of its international borders. India has no business exerting any pressure on Myanmar. India enjoys fraternal relations with both the people and government of Myanmar and has no reason to fear that glorious nation. India is nobody's cats paw, but those who are interested in poking their nose between two neighbours are always at liberty to jump into the fray on their own. Meanwhile, Israel has effectively told the Palestinians to GFY; and Al Qaeda, not to mention the Saudis plus Jordanians, seem quite reconciled to the spectre of Greater Israel extending from Aleppo to Makkah.

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Understood, but I didn't imply that India has anything to do with this or is meddling. I only mentioned at the end that its interests could be adversely affected. I stand by that point and the rationale that I shared.

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5hEdited

Very much true. I am and was im full agreement with the spirit of your scholarly article, and never questioned its substance or rationale. I had proceeded in my comment from a clear understanding that your good self has not advocated any "meddling" on part of India. You had rightly pointed out that the discord brewing in India's neighbourhood with potential to spiral into a conflict, portends hazards to regional peace and grave security concerns especially if Big fish troubleshooters get tempted to play proxy here. I had only written my comment in passing, so to say, with the intention of pointing out just in case the readers might have lost sight of it, that India will need to deal with the situation with due tact, so as not to be misperceived by either party as attempting to fish in troubled waters. It is reassuring to learn that talks through backdoor channels are already underway or planned between the parties to the conflict, and I believe India will be more than willing to fulfil the role of a facilitator should the parties require so of India.

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Tatmadaw had experience fighting various proxy forces, crime syndicates, and a few genuine grass roots ethnic groups, but much of that experience stopped being accumulated approximately 20 years ago. It has no experience fighting a peer/near peer. Meanwhile graft and promotion based on success in business/crime has taken it's toll. It's too early to predict a Syria 2.0, plus Burma is far more critical to China's R&B, but something stinks like a Washington Swamp Creature.

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Hang on. There’s a BUDDHIST ARMY? That’s terrifying. Even if they get killed they’ll just reincarnate!

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