Everything will depend on whether the terrorists are stopped outside of Aleppo; the outcome of any possible battle for that city; and how desperate Assad becomes if he loses control over it and the terrorists advance on Damascus.
Ukrainian-backed. Now I know where our money to Ukraine has been going. The CIA/MIC/NSA, etc. has been using Ukraine as a slush fund for their world hobbies/activities/meddling.
Let me count, Turkey, HTS, Kurds, Syria, and Israel as the main players. Russia, Iran, and Hezbollah are the secondary players. Damascus is undefendable without Goland Heights. Agriculture and energy riches are concentrated in Kurds' controlled areas. Aleppo is the third economic center. The rest of Syria is desert, and in the center of the desert is the American-controlled area. Once again, it is another randomly cut map, if not maliciously cut this way. Assad does not have much choice but to hold Aleppo. However, if the Syrian Army had not gotten used to drones, traditional desert warfare based on cavalry action and tanks would not work. There is no easy camouflage in the desert from low-flying drones. I think Russia has to divert some airforce bombing to Syria to buy time to train the Syrian Army. The bulk of the fight, however painful, would have to be taken by the Syrian Army. After all, Assad has to prove that he is a worthy leader to his people, and to Russia.
I think I understand what should be done. But most of the time I am more concerned about what most likely would be done. Yes, I confess I am brutal, very brutal.
I think you would enjoy https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Tao_Te_Ching very much. I was told there are many English Translations, but I have not specifically checked on any oneof them.
Yes, I have (enjoyed it, very much). Translation (and oral production) is my forte in Russian. Chinese is beyond me, I'm afraid, but I understand the upcoming generation(s, both Russian and Chinese) have adopted an approach similar to mine in approaching Russian (from English). So, let there be more hope for upcoming generations!
If you're interested (in my work), I hope to have quite a significant clear-out and a couple of new works uploaded to (my) Substack this weekend (by Monday).
Thanks for your reply! I appreciate your attention.
"It can therefore be interpreted as an Israeli victory". This is an important point. I can't understand why Hezbollah agreed to a ceasefire since to my knowledge they did not suffer any strategic losses. Do you have any insights here?
The ISIS was originally founded in training camps in the basalt desert of Jordan by the Mossad, with active assistance from Gulf Oil Sheikhs who are lackeys of America, and Hijazite Muftis aligned with the Jordanian Hashemite and/or the Saudi Wahabi Al Saud dynasties. The Hashemite royals had preached lengthy motivational sermons to the first batch of graduates from the ISIS terror academy established by Israel on Jordanian soil, all the while claiming supposedly hallowed sanctity for their exhortations by dint of purported descent from the clan of Muhammed, telling the uncouth brutes that they have been handpicked by God for establishing the last Caliphate which would last till doomsday, which will span entire Asia from Komi and Taimyr peninsula in the Russian Arctic, to the Bosphorus and the Atlas Mountains; but for that errand to materialise, they must first conquer Syria, Iraq, Iran and Afghanistan enroute to India and Myanmar, in order that the entire civilian populace of these realms might be forcibly conscriped into its ranks to suitably equip it for the Herculean task of onward march to Eurasia. The ISIS manifesto speaks about resurrecting the medieval imperalist Khanate of Sibir in Eurasia, and the sub Caliphate of Khurasan in South Asia. To give the savage cadre a taste of the delights to come after their projected conquest of Central and Western Europe, the Mossad in cahoots with corrupt governments of some East European countries and in liason with human traffickeering rackets active in Holland and Germany, supplied literally thousands of blonde and brunette females of East European stock to the ISIS to serve as pleasure companions for carnal release in their desert tents. Needless to say, the idea of being able to conquer entire Asia and Europe was nothing but a grandiose pipe dream, but that mirage seved its purpose nevertheless like a pivot magnet for entraining the murderous energies of the brute and ferocious ISIS cadre and redirecting them in all of their holocaustic brutality on the hapless populace of Syria. In effect, this brilliant and meticulously planned grand scheme of the Mossad envisaged wiping out Arabs and Islam from Syria via blood curdling holocaust in the very name of Islam. Such an objective is clearly borne out from the writings of an Israelite think tank very close to Benjamin Netanyahu, which have deliberated on a hostof reasons reasons why supporting the ISIS with moral backing, arms and with funds for sustenance, is in the best geostrategic interests of Israel and the western powers aligned with it. For one, the ISIS would serve as a gargantuan accretional vacuum cleaner to scour and scoop up and sequester from US theatres the whole lots of wannabe jihadists from all over the world who might otherwise well become potential 9-11 ers and redirect all of their destructive energy on Arabs instead. Two, this would afford a means for the CIA, MI5 and Mossad to keep tabs on emerging trends and drifts within the global jihadist community and raising Red flags where warranted, simply by tailing the community of ISIS recruits and their families, thus saving phenomenal intelligence work and its attendant costs. But the motive which was of most and direct significance to Israel, however, was that the ISIS militancy promised a lucrative prospect to Israel for annexing entire Syria and possily Lebanon, which has long been on future agenda of Israeli planners alarmed by dwidling freshwater reserves in the Sea of Gallilee who also deeply covet Syria's newly discovered oil deposits.
With this end in view, the Mossad and Israeli Directorate of Military Intelligence established a complex chain of command over ISIS cadre, keeping themselves at the helm and employing Turkic Army Special ops Officers loyal to NATO and Hijazi Muftis as intermediaries. The lowest rung cadre never really got to fancy any inkling of this state of affairs, not for once realising that they were pawn in the hands of Ziofascists, deluded as they remained under inebriation to lunatic limits of carnal frenzy by a generous dosing of East European concubines from Czechia Bulgaria Romania and psychedelics like Captagon. Those that ever ventured anywhere close to sane insights during their lucid intervals were promptly put to summary execution by Turkic Army officers supervising them. However, on occasions, things went askance from plans, and in one such instance, a maverick commander named Baghdadi got word of this grand charade, and he broke off from the main body to lead a renegade splinter faction comprising about 20 percent of the parent body in numerical strength. It is such splinter factions alone, which anyways shared all of the ISIS ideology they had inherited from the parent body save subservience to Israel, which happened to come under aerial bombings in Syria and Iraq from the American Airforce and its Allies such as Britain and France. Needless to say, the assassinations carried out by these western nations mattered little in respect of ramifications on overall ISIS operations in the Syrian and Levantine theatre, faring no better than drops in a pitcher, and it was not until the heroic Syrian defenders backed by Russian Aerospace forces with their mammoth Tupovlev strategic bombers took on the ISIS in full earnest that any signs of imminent defeat appeared in ISIS ranks. The ISIS has been the worst scourge of mankind which deserves annihilation by all means at mankind's diposal; nevertheless, given its importance to the geostrageic designs of Israel in its capacity as a pliable protege of the latter, the Mossad and the EuroMerican Zio-oligarchic deep state were always willing to go the extra mile to nurture and preserve the ISIS. The media arm of western Zio-oligarchy, on its part ran a colossal disinformation campaign worldwide, pretending that the ISIS was but a minuscule part of the overall insurgency raging in Syria, and this media conjured up fantastic designations for contingents of the ISIS dispersed across Syria, labelling some of them as Al-Qaeda affiliated Al Nusra, and Syrian Democratic Resistance, Al Sham defenders and the like. 85 percent of the arms and ammunition recovered by Syrian government forces from the hands of captured ISIS terrorists bear Hebrew markings attesting to their Israeli origin. Many of such weapons had been put on display by the Syrian government, and this had been widely reported in the Syrian media as well as in Russian news outlets such as Sputnik. To buttress the dwindling fortunes of the ISIS in Syria in face of impending rout under relentless assault from Russian Aerospace forces during the dying days of ISIS, Israeli Airforce flew more than 1000 unannounced sorties over Syria, wantonly firebombing civilian and military targets with fire bombs to avenge the losses faced by Israel's ISIS handmaiden. Not only that, Israel also made umpteen unsuccessful attempts to directly bomb Russian military bases at Tartus and Homs using sophisticated drones remotely piloted from Israel. Israel reached secret agreements with its Jordanian partners, under which Jordan was supposed to facilitate the swift whisking of Syrian or Russian military personnel as might be captured by ISIS fighters in Syria, to special rendition prisons on Israeli soil via transit through Jordanian territory with the objective of subjecting them to stern debriefing unto death. Turkey remained a faithful ally of Israel for much of the early part of Mossad's proxy terrorist war in Syria, in tune with its obligations vide Mediterranean dialogue and Istanbul Conference, among other pacts with Israel.
The 1000 + unprovoke Israeli aerial bombardments of mainland Syrian territory, which included the pulverisation of a biotech plant dedicated to producing import substitution vaccines and anti-cancer drugs with Indian technical collaboration, were interspersed with grander transgressions, such as the shipment of hundreds of tonnes of chemical weapons precursors sourced from Germany and UK which were thankfully intercepted by Syrian security after an intelligence tip-off before ending up in the intended ISIS hands. That consignment was meant for enactment of false flag nerve gas carnages which could then e falsely blamed on the Assad government. (The Trump administration aerial bombed Syrian civilians on the pretext of punishing Mr Assad for allegedly planning chemical attacks, nevertheless). For much of the tenure of ISIS terrorist insurgency in Syria, militias allied with the Syrian government such as Hezbollah did not fire even a single missile into Israel from Syrian territory, so all of the 1000 + airstrikes conducted by Israel on Syria in support of ISIS were entirely unprovoked. Actual and eligible Israeli nationals continue to have a formidable presence in the Zelensky regime of Kiev and its various militias imbued with NeoNazi ideologies such as the Azov battalions. A number of Israelis who have served in militias affiliated with the Zelensky regime and become tired and weary from drudgeries of combat are now slated to relocate to Israel for rest and rejuvenation. Israel thus has the advantage of being able to draw on the Ukrainian experience in drone combat for possible incorporation in support of its Islamist Nusra prixies on the Syrian theatre. After the capitulation of ISIS, Mossad's subsidiaries in the Pentagon salvaged something between an estimated 50,000 to 100,000 of surviving remnants of ISIS cadre of Uieghur Turkic stock, by translocating them to the Hindukush mountains where they have been retained on standby to mount pressure on India by overstretching Indian security forces in street fighting at America's bidding in near future. Given Israel's recent track record, prospects of Tel Aviv collaborating with Damascus to flush out Al Nusra militants in lieu of withdrawl by Iranian proxies from Syria, appear scant at best, though not entitely implausible!
Ukrainian-backed. Now I know where our money to Ukraine has been going. The CIA/MIC/NSA, etc. has been using Ukraine as a slush fund for their world hobbies/activities/meddling.
Where are they getting all the bodies from? Who are they conscripting when few are left to conscript?
Mercenaries: 'Money, money, money makes the world go round!'
Let me count, Turkey, HTS, Kurds, Syria, and Israel as the main players. Russia, Iran, and Hezbollah are the secondary players. Damascus is undefendable without Goland Heights. Agriculture and energy riches are concentrated in Kurds' controlled areas. Aleppo is the third economic center. The rest of Syria is desert, and in the center of the desert is the American-controlled area. Once again, it is another randomly cut map, if not maliciously cut this way. Assad does not have much choice but to hold Aleppo. However, if the Syrian Army had not gotten used to drones, traditional desert warfare based on cavalry action and tanks would not work. There is no easy camouflage in the desert from low-flying drones. I think Russia has to divert some airforce bombing to Syria to buy time to train the Syrian Army. The bulk of the fight, however painful, would have to be taken by the Syrian Army. After all, Assad has to prove that he is a worthy leader to his people, and to Russia.
Jeez, how much proof do you want, already; how many pounds of flesh?
I think I understand what should be done. But most of the time I am more concerned about what most likely would be done. Yes, I confess I am brutal, very brutal.
"...I confess I am brutal, very brutal."
Nature is a cruel master!
I think you would enjoy https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Tao_Te_Ching very much. I was told there are many English Translations, but I have not specifically checked on any oneof them.
Yes, I have (enjoyed it, very much). Translation (and oral production) is my forte in Russian. Chinese is beyond me, I'm afraid, but I understand the upcoming generation(s, both Russian and Chinese) have adopted an approach similar to mine in approaching Russian (from English). So, let there be more hope for upcoming generations!
If you're interested (in my work), I hope to have quite a significant clear-out and a couple of new works uploaded to (my) Substack this weekend (by Monday).
Thanks for your reply! I appreciate your attention.
Those terrorist are the perfect target for a next Orsehnik test, imvho.
"It can therefore be interpreted as an Israeli victory". This is an important point. I can't understand why Hezbollah agreed to a ceasefire since to my knowledge they did not suffer any strategic losses. Do you have any insights here?
Hezbollah has concerns about the people of Lebanon, as Hezbollah is part of Lebanon.
What in the hell are they fighting over?, territorial gains? Though I don't know for sure, I would tend to agree with Mick.
Further proof, if any were needed, that Erdogan cannot be trusted and that Russian intel is not all it's cracked up to be.
The ISIS was originally founded in training camps in the basalt desert of Jordan by the Mossad, with active assistance from Gulf Oil Sheikhs who are lackeys of America, and Hijazite Muftis aligned with the Jordanian Hashemite and/or the Saudi Wahabi Al Saud dynasties. The Hashemite royals had preached lengthy motivational sermons to the first batch of graduates from the ISIS terror academy established by Israel on Jordanian soil, all the while claiming supposedly hallowed sanctity for their exhortations by dint of purported descent from the clan of Muhammed, telling the uncouth brutes that they have been handpicked by God for establishing the last Caliphate which would last till doomsday, which will span entire Asia from Komi and Taimyr peninsula in the Russian Arctic, to the Bosphorus and the Atlas Mountains; but for that errand to materialise, they must first conquer Syria, Iraq, Iran and Afghanistan enroute to India and Myanmar, in order that the entire civilian populace of these realms might be forcibly conscriped into its ranks to suitably equip it for the Herculean task of onward march to Eurasia. The ISIS manifesto speaks about resurrecting the medieval imperalist Khanate of Sibir in Eurasia, and the sub Caliphate of Khurasan in South Asia. To give the savage cadre a taste of the delights to come after their projected conquest of Central and Western Europe, the Mossad in cahoots with corrupt governments of some East European countries and in liason with human traffickeering rackets active in Holland and Germany, supplied literally thousands of blonde and brunette females of East European stock to the ISIS to serve as pleasure companions for carnal release in their desert tents. Needless to say, the idea of being able to conquer entire Asia and Europe was nothing but a grandiose pipe dream, but that mirage seved its purpose nevertheless like a pivot magnet for entraining the murderous energies of the brute and ferocious ISIS cadre and redirecting them in all of their holocaustic brutality on the hapless populace of Syria. In effect, this brilliant and meticulously planned grand scheme of the Mossad envisaged wiping out Arabs and Islam from Syria via blood curdling holocaust in the very name of Islam. Such an objective is clearly borne out from the writings of an Israelite think tank very close to Benjamin Netanyahu, which have deliberated on a hostof reasons reasons why supporting the ISIS with moral backing, arms and with funds for sustenance, is in the best geostrategic interests of Israel and the western powers aligned with it. For one, the ISIS would serve as a gargantuan accretional vacuum cleaner to scour and scoop up and sequester from US theatres the whole lots of wannabe jihadists from all over the world who might otherwise well become potential 9-11 ers and redirect all of their destructive energy on Arabs instead. Two, this would afford a means for the CIA, MI5 and Mossad to keep tabs on emerging trends and drifts within the global jihadist community and raising Red flags where warranted, simply by tailing the community of ISIS recruits and their families, thus saving phenomenal intelligence work and its attendant costs. But the motive which was of most and direct significance to Israel, however, was that the ISIS militancy promised a lucrative prospect to Israel for annexing entire Syria and possily Lebanon, which has long been on future agenda of Israeli planners alarmed by dwidling freshwater reserves in the Sea of Gallilee who also deeply covet Syria's newly discovered oil deposits.
With this end in view, the Mossad and Israeli Directorate of Military Intelligence established a complex chain of command over ISIS cadre, keeping themselves at the helm and employing Turkic Army Special ops Officers loyal to NATO and Hijazi Muftis as intermediaries. The lowest rung cadre never really got to fancy any inkling of this state of affairs, not for once realising that they were pawn in the hands of Ziofascists, deluded as they remained under inebriation to lunatic limits of carnal frenzy by a generous dosing of East European concubines from Czechia Bulgaria Romania and psychedelics like Captagon. Those that ever ventured anywhere close to sane insights during their lucid intervals were promptly put to summary execution by Turkic Army officers supervising them. However, on occasions, things went askance from plans, and in one such instance, a maverick commander named Baghdadi got word of this grand charade, and he broke off from the main body to lead a renegade splinter faction comprising about 20 percent of the parent body in numerical strength. It is such splinter factions alone, which anyways shared all of the ISIS ideology they had inherited from the parent body save subservience to Israel, which happened to come under aerial bombings in Syria and Iraq from the American Airforce and its Allies such as Britain and France. Needless to say, the assassinations carried out by these western nations mattered little in respect of ramifications on overall ISIS operations in the Syrian and Levantine theatre, faring no better than drops in a pitcher, and it was not until the heroic Syrian defenders backed by Russian Aerospace forces with their mammoth Tupovlev strategic bombers took on the ISIS in full earnest that any signs of imminent defeat appeared in ISIS ranks. The ISIS has been the worst scourge of mankind which deserves annihilation by all means at mankind's diposal; nevertheless, given its importance to the geostrageic designs of Israel in its capacity as a pliable protege of the latter, the Mossad and the EuroMerican Zio-oligarchic deep state were always willing to go the extra mile to nurture and preserve the ISIS. The media arm of western Zio-oligarchy, on its part ran a colossal disinformation campaign worldwide, pretending that the ISIS was but a minuscule part of the overall insurgency raging in Syria, and this media conjured up fantastic designations for contingents of the ISIS dispersed across Syria, labelling some of them as Al-Qaeda affiliated Al Nusra, and Syrian Democratic Resistance, Al Sham defenders and the like. 85 percent of the arms and ammunition recovered by Syrian government forces from the hands of captured ISIS terrorists bear Hebrew markings attesting to their Israeli origin. Many of such weapons had been put on display by the Syrian government, and this had been widely reported in the Syrian media as well as in Russian news outlets such as Sputnik. To buttress the dwindling fortunes of the ISIS in Syria in face of impending rout under relentless assault from Russian Aerospace forces during the dying days of ISIS, Israeli Airforce flew more than 1000 unannounced sorties over Syria, wantonly firebombing civilian and military targets with fire bombs to avenge the losses faced by Israel's ISIS handmaiden. Not only that, Israel also made umpteen unsuccessful attempts to directly bomb Russian military bases at Tartus and Homs using sophisticated drones remotely piloted from Israel. Israel reached secret agreements with its Jordanian partners, under which Jordan was supposed to facilitate the swift whisking of Syrian or Russian military personnel as might be captured by ISIS fighters in Syria, to special rendition prisons on Israeli soil via transit through Jordanian territory with the objective of subjecting them to stern debriefing unto death. Turkey remained a faithful ally of Israel for much of the early part of Mossad's proxy terrorist war in Syria, in tune with its obligations vide Mediterranean dialogue and Istanbul Conference, among other pacts with Israel.
The 1000 + unprovoke Israeli aerial bombardments of mainland Syrian territory, which included the pulverisation of a biotech plant dedicated to producing import substitution vaccines and anti-cancer drugs with Indian technical collaboration, were interspersed with grander transgressions, such as the shipment of hundreds of tonnes of chemical weapons precursors sourced from Germany and UK which were thankfully intercepted by Syrian security after an intelligence tip-off before ending up in the intended ISIS hands. That consignment was meant for enactment of false flag nerve gas carnages which could then e falsely blamed on the Assad government. (The Trump administration aerial bombed Syrian civilians on the pretext of punishing Mr Assad for allegedly planning chemical attacks, nevertheless). For much of the tenure of ISIS terrorist insurgency in Syria, militias allied with the Syrian government such as Hezbollah did not fire even a single missile into Israel from Syrian territory, so all of the 1000 + airstrikes conducted by Israel on Syria in support of ISIS were entirely unprovoked. Actual and eligible Israeli nationals continue to have a formidable presence in the Zelensky regime of Kiev and its various militias imbued with NeoNazi ideologies such as the Azov battalions. A number of Israelis who have served in militias affiliated with the Zelensky regime and become tired and weary from drudgeries of combat are now slated to relocate to Israel for rest and rejuvenation. Israel thus has the advantage of being able to draw on the Ukrainian experience in drone combat for possible incorporation in support of its Islamist Nusra prixies on the Syrian theatre. After the capitulation of ISIS, Mossad's subsidiaries in the Pentagon salvaged something between an estimated 50,000 to 100,000 of surviving remnants of ISIS cadre of Uieghur Turkic stock, by translocating them to the Hindukush mountains where they have been retained on standby to mount pressure on India by overstretching Indian security forces in street fighting at America's bidding in near future. Given Israel's recent track record, prospects of Tel Aviv collaborating with Damascus to flush out Al Nusra militants in lieu of withdrawl by Iranian proxies from Syria, appear scant at best, though not entitely implausible!
"Erdogan might thus ultimately regret approving this offensive."
Isn't if funny: that's how this whole Crimea(>Donbas>Ukraine) business started in the first place (https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Crimean_War#Eastern_question "...Nicholas recanted and prepared for war.")
Ищи la Turk! (https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Cherchez_la_femme)