3 Comments

Thank you for outlining the various schemes and counter-plans from two sides. I think you have touched on a fundamental issue: agriculture and food staple self-sufficiency. However, I think although tactical solutions are needed to deal with various local famine, the key to solve all Africa's problem is birth control. My reasoning is that the geography of Africa puts an upper bound on agriculture production. Whilie the grasslands can be easily converted to free range ranch, high concentration cattle, sheep, and even chicken raising pose heavy loads on the land and water supply. High intensity farming can be taught and built up over time, but building the matching farm roads and irrigation works also takes time. For the African nations to buy time, they need to limit their birth rates to a more sustainable level. Then food supply is easier to manage, and surplus found to build elementary schools and get teachers trained. Until the population growth is controlled, these countries do not have much options besides selling natural resources on the cheap. While China and India can be major buyers of natural resources, Russia is not. The non-Western world altogether is still no match for the purchase power and amount from the Western world. To keep more natural resources in the ground for the future generations, African countries need better-fed and better-educated next generation. Frankly, quantity in population is actually a negative at this point of national development. If things go well, there will be a different economic future to justify higher birth rates.

Expand full comment

I can tell you what the U.S. strategy in Africa is - find local elites who want a taste of The Goodies.

Expand full comment

"The most visible manifestation of this strategy..."

That might be most visible if you're in Moscow but what we see in the UK, as well as throughout the EU and US by all reports, is an endless flood of '(economic) migrants' or '(political)refugees'. We're led to believe they want to become permanent members of our societies and work hard to do so, and that may well be true under current circumstances, but they send so much money back home and work so hard to defend, protect and extend their native cultures, it's easy to imagine how many of them may see their futures in their ex-homelands, perhaps even forsaking British and other such currently profitable citizenships under different, future circumstances.

Expand full comment