India and China held multiple rounds of talks on their disputed border since 2020, but no breakthrough had occurred until Indo-US ties became characterized by distrust as a result of summer 2023’s scandal and all that followed, especially in recent months.
I hold a slightly different opinion, or perhaps I misunderstood Andrew's point. I do agree that India taking a more confrontational attitude for the border conflict has something to do with the US applying pressure after the terrorist assassination incident. However, by that time the conflict was clearly China's provocation due to needs to distract domestic attention. Otherwise, China would not have suddenly changed position from agreed patrol scheme to a more belligerent attitude. India's policy change was due to both reasons, not just US pressure alone.
But USA does have its contribution, after India learned that after dancing for the mob boss, the trouble has not gone away. Instead, the mob boss simply asked for more concession/compliance. Now this is getting unbearable. I am sure Mr. Modi has various talents, but I suspect his most favorite tool is nationalism. Given his religious background, nationalism and populism are definitely a path of least resistance. I think Mr. Modi has successfully played the nationalism card to help Indian government to defy the pressure from the mob boss. And the last seal of the deal is certainly provided by Mr. Putin. Both India and China count on Russia much more than the other way around, India also has had a good relationship with USSR and Russia since its independence. If Mr. Putin wants to tie these two loose ends together, there is no reason to fail. China was the original provocateur, and territory in that area is never a real bone in the conflict, as China launched the events intending to distract domestic attention away from some troublesome and unsolvable problems. The distraction tactic has failed to buy room and time for CCP government to reduce domestic economic problems. There is no point to continue this meaningless elbow fight. Look at the difficult smile on Xi (this episode of border conflict was his fault, entirely) and no smile on Modi (he was irritated twice but not due to his fault.)
India, China and Russia would eventually form triumvirate of Eurasian power. When that happens it would form the largest concentration of power in recent history. Normalizing tensions between India and China will go a long way in the development of the subcontinent. the CPEC was derailed due to American interference and Indian acquiesce. In fact the BRI has been derailed due to India. That may end
That sounds about right. Like the proverbial bull in the China shop, U$a continues to create the opposite of what it intends by sheer BULLying! Luckily for the rest of the world, this myopic approach lends space for new outcomes. Thanks for your background on the rapprochement between India & China on this issue. It was just in time for BRICS Summit & started it off on an excellent, positive note.
I hold a slightly different opinion, or perhaps I misunderstood Andrew's point. I do agree that India taking a more confrontational attitude for the border conflict has something to do with the US applying pressure after the terrorist assassination incident. However, by that time the conflict was clearly China's provocation due to needs to distract domestic attention. Otherwise, China would not have suddenly changed position from agreed patrol scheme to a more belligerent attitude. India's policy change was due to both reasons, not just US pressure alone.
But USA does have its contribution, after India learned that after dancing for the mob boss, the trouble has not gone away. Instead, the mob boss simply asked for more concession/compliance. Now this is getting unbearable. I am sure Mr. Modi has various talents, but I suspect his most favorite tool is nationalism. Given his religious background, nationalism and populism are definitely a path of least resistance. I think Mr. Modi has successfully played the nationalism card to help Indian government to defy the pressure from the mob boss. And the last seal of the deal is certainly provided by Mr. Putin. Both India and China count on Russia much more than the other way around, India also has had a good relationship with USSR and Russia since its independence. If Mr. Putin wants to tie these two loose ends together, there is no reason to fail. China was the original provocateur, and territory in that area is never a real bone in the conflict, as China launched the events intending to distract domestic attention away from some troublesome and unsolvable problems. The distraction tactic has failed to buy room and time for CCP government to reduce domestic economic problems. There is no point to continue this meaningless elbow fight. Look at the difficult smile on Xi (this episode of border conflict was his fault, entirely) and no smile on Modi (he was irritated twice but not due to his fault.)
India, China and Russia would eventually form triumvirate of Eurasian power. When that happens it would form the largest concentration of power in recent history. Normalizing tensions between India and China will go a long way in the development of the subcontinent. the CPEC was derailed due to American interference and Indian acquiesce. In fact the BRI has been derailed due to India. That may end
That sounds about right. Like the proverbial bull in the China shop, U$a continues to create the opposite of what it intends by sheer BULLying! Luckily for the rest of the world, this myopic approach lends space for new outcomes. Thanks for your background on the rapprochement between India & China on this issue. It was just in time for BRICS Summit & started it off on an excellent, positive note.
Excellent! Lets say THANK YOU for Uncle Sam
I'd go one further and say that the Sino-Russian relationship and the Iranian-Russian relationships are largely the product of American aggression.