Russia’s “Balkanization” via “civil war” is a political fantasy that many Westerners on social media enjoy indulging in, but what they don’t realize is that cheering for Prigozhin actually amounts to cheering for another world war.
"...Poland would lead a formal NATO intervention..."
Bravado notwithstanding, Poland would NOT be successful in leading NATO, or anyone else — other than, perhaps, a couple of dwarf nations — into an end-game.
"...That would spike the chances of another world war by miscalculation..."
No more than 1950-1990.
"...eventually catalyzing a reversal..."
Or the reverse: consolidating public support, much like we saw last winter.
'...cheering for Prigozhin actually amounts to cheering for another world war.'
And, in effect, minimises the likelihood of one coming about by solidifying support for Russia to establish a safe line, at the Polish border, as was the case for some much more stable and safe decades.
It wouldn't be for (that) long this time, anyway: the West, as it was in the past, is coming to an end. There's a damn strong argument to be made for freezing the line of contact at a safe point until the death throes, with all their associated wringing of hands and gnashing of teeth, has subsided. После драхи, кулаками не машут.
"...Poland would lead a formal NATO intervention..."
Bravado notwithstanding, Poland would NOT be successful in leading NATO, or anyone else — other than, perhaps, a couple of dwarf nations — into an end-game.
"...That would spike the chances of another world war by miscalculation..."
No more than 1950-1990.
"...eventually catalyzing a reversal..."
Or the reverse: consolidating public support, much like we saw last winter.
'...cheering for Prigozhin actually amounts to cheering for another world war.'
And, in effect, minimises the likelihood of one coming about by solidifying support for Russia to establish a safe line, at the Polish border, as was the case for some much more stable and safe decades.
It wouldn't be for (that) long this time, anyway: the West, as it was in the past, is coming to an end. There's a damn strong argument to be made for freezing the line of contact at a safe point until the death throes, with all their associated wringing of hands and gnashing of teeth, has subsided. После драхи, кулаками не машут.