The pro-BRI faction that emerged in Russia over the past year is arguably responsible for this, but the damage that they dealt to popular perceptions of bilateral relations will soon be corrected as Russia continues recalibrating its Asian strategy back towards its original balancing/pragmatic roots.
I would like to add two maybe three potential factors to support the arguments by author. (1) Putin realized that China is not THAT dependable, Xi's position is shaky, China's foreign dependence is much higher than Russia, and China's military is worse than expected. Russians must have some concerns even before the Ukraine Conflict. But heightened interactions between the two countries since then must have Russians, Putin included, a new perspective.
(2) Therefore, the bear cannot count on the dragon to watch the back door alone. That is why Russia MUST increase linkage with NK (which shares border with Russia) and Vietnam (historical friends). And consistent with this line of thought is the Kazakhstan election turmoil and Russia's lightning military action to quell the turmoil and protect the pro-Russia faction (versus the competing pro-China faction). Adding up the close geographical proximity from Mongolia to Beijing, then Russians have "peer pressure" now around China to create additional aura to suppress the pro-West factions inside China.
(3) Therefore the Russo-Sino relationship has a slight tone change between the time of Xi's visit to Moscow and the cooperation between the two "has no upper bound" to the more reserved languages in 2024. Russia has sufficient reasons to get along with India with or without China, let alone the conflict between India and China. In the short term, Russia only needs to emphasize peaceful negotiation and no change to existing LAC. India has probably bought more weapon from Russia and at least one of the hypersonic missile project is a joint R&D project between Russia and India. China likes to buy small amount of Russian weapons then copy. I don't know of any joint R&D between Russia and China within my limited knowledge.
I would like to add two maybe three potential factors to support the arguments by author. (1) Putin realized that China is not THAT dependable, Xi's position is shaky, China's foreign dependence is much higher than Russia, and China's military is worse than expected. Russians must have some concerns even before the Ukraine Conflict. But heightened interactions between the two countries since then must have Russians, Putin included, a new perspective.
(2) Therefore, the bear cannot count on the dragon to watch the back door alone. That is why Russia MUST increase linkage with NK (which shares border with Russia) and Vietnam (historical friends). And consistent with this line of thought is the Kazakhstan election turmoil and Russia's lightning military action to quell the turmoil and protect the pro-Russia faction (versus the competing pro-China faction). Adding up the close geographical proximity from Mongolia to Beijing, then Russians have "peer pressure" now around China to create additional aura to suppress the pro-West factions inside China.
(3) Therefore the Russo-Sino relationship has a slight tone change between the time of Xi's visit to Moscow and the cooperation between the two "has no upper bound" to the more reserved languages in 2024. Russia has sufficient reasons to get along with India with or without China, let alone the conflict between India and China. In the short term, Russia only needs to emphasize peaceful negotiation and no change to existing LAC. India has probably bought more weapon from Russia and at least one of the hypersonic missile project is a joint R&D project between Russia and India. China likes to buy small amount of Russian weapons then copy. I don't know of any joint R&D between Russia and China within my limited knowledge.
She must be part of US lobby🤔
Her tweets are in personal capacity and print head is known American lover
Her personal opinions don't detract from the facts that she raised and which I cogently accounted for with the model that I shared.