A lot depends on whether Ethiopia’s anti-terrorist troops will now be allowed to remain in Somalia next year; the relationship between the new Somaliland President and the Ethiopian Prime Minister; and whether (and if so, on what terms) Trump recognizes Somaliland.
The five-point start on the Somalian flag supposedly represents the five Somali regions, only two of which are actually in the current state of Somalia, the other three are Djibouti ("French Somaliland") the Ogaden, and the northeastern strip of Kenya. Now it looks like there is a campaign to remove "Somaliland," one of the two remaining star points from Somalia and permanently shatter it--like Syria and Libya.
With UAE having more or less stolen Socotra from Yemen, and this Somaliland scheme going on, things are getting interesting in the Gulf of Aden.
I suspect this is a smoke screen and laser light show for Erdogan, although I have no clue how he achieved it. Selling weapons on the cheap could be one of the ways. My reasons are: (1) Erdogan has an election coming up (2) Erdogan wants to show an image larger than life toward Trump. Chances are he wants another batch of F-16 or something. (3) Erdogan did something behind Putin's back in Syria, so he must lean on the US/West side for a while and keep a low profile in front of Russia. (4) Neocons around Trump would go along with a NATO troop in Ukraine without USA if Trump can agree that Turkey gets involved in that mission as well. But if Erdogan goes this extra step, he would have no good future with Russia, not just Putin. Erdogan probably only wants the limelight currently on Orban switched to him to become THE mediator for Ukraine.
I have been following your writings lately. Thank you so much. They are Very clarifying.
I was wondering if you know any expert like you, but for the South American territory.
I am Venezuelan and live in Brasil.
Thank you
The five-point start on the Somalian flag supposedly represents the five Somali regions, only two of which are actually in the current state of Somalia, the other three are Djibouti ("French Somaliland") the Ogaden, and the northeastern strip of Kenya. Now it looks like there is a campaign to remove "Somaliland," one of the two remaining star points from Somalia and permanently shatter it--like Syria and Libya.
With UAE having more or less stolen Socotra from Yemen, and this Somaliland scheme going on, things are getting interesting in the Gulf of Aden.
I suspect this is a smoke screen and laser light show for Erdogan, although I have no clue how he achieved it. Selling weapons on the cheap could be one of the ways. My reasons are: (1) Erdogan has an election coming up (2) Erdogan wants to show an image larger than life toward Trump. Chances are he wants another batch of F-16 or something. (3) Erdogan did something behind Putin's back in Syria, so he must lean on the US/West side for a while and keep a low profile in front of Russia. (4) Neocons around Trump would go along with a NATO troop in Ukraine without USA if Trump can agree that Turkey gets involved in that mission as well. But if Erdogan goes this extra step, he would have no good future with Russia, not just Putin. Erdogan probably only wants the limelight currently on Orban switched to him to become THE mediator for Ukraine.