Delaying a decisive resolution of the objectively existing rivalry between Russia’s Defense Ministry and the Wagner Group is unlikely since that would simply prolong their dispute at the possible expense of Russia’s objective national security interests.
Damn, I put this in the wrong place. It was intended as a reply to your comment, "It'll likely have a very powerful impact on events."
Yeah, it's about what Eisenhower said in his goodbye speech (which he worked on with his brother for more than half a year, by the way, so there was some thought behind it): 'Beware the military-industrial complex!'.
"Despite his military background and being the only general to be elected president in the 20th century, he warned the nation with regard to the corrupting influence of what he describes as the 'military-industrial complex'."
And what do YOU think: a) is Gerasimov holding back supplies to ensure stocks are adequate for the inevitably glorious and much-vaunted 'Spring (Counter)offensive', or b) is he being paid to have them gather dust in storage while more Russian troops than necessary die as a result, as a precursor to serious humiliation if not outright defeat (which could, in line with the now time-honoured military industrial complex economic model (of which the Wagner Group is a significant representation, by the way) make a few people a lot of money); OR c) can they just not make enough ammo fast enough?
The North Koreans have a lot of shells. They've got so many, in fact, that there's no point making any more. If hostilities were to break out on the Korean peninsula, the North would flatten every population centre with more than two dogs and three cats in the South within half an hour. They're really good at making shells. So good, if fact, they haven't bothered making any more of them in a long time, since they moved on to ICBM's... There's a railway bridge over the river from Russia into North Korea. You can see it on Google maps. Why isn't there a continuous stream of railway cars chock-a-block full of gleaming, new shells crossing it from the Korean Peninsula on their way to the Ukraine?
You're welcome! However this dilemma is resolved, it'll be a turning point in the special operation, for better or for worse. I don't expect things staying the same regardless of the outcome. It'll likely have a very powerful impact on events.
Damn, I put this in the wrong place. It was intended as a reply to your comment, "It'll likely have a very powerful impact on events."
Yeah, it's about what Eisenhower said in his goodbye speech (which he worked on with his brother for more than half a year, by the way, so there was some thought behind it): 'Beware the military-industrial complex!'.
"Despite his military background and being the only general to be elected president in the 20th century, he warned the nation with regard to the corrupting influence of what he describes as the 'military-industrial complex'."
(https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Eisenhower%27s_farewell_address#:~:text=We%20cannot%20mortgage%20the%20material,the%20insolvent%20phantom%20of%20tomorrow.)
And what do YOU think: a) is Gerasimov holding back supplies to ensure stocks are adequate for the inevitably glorious and much-vaunted 'Spring (Counter)offensive', or b) is he being paid to have them gather dust in storage while more Russian troops than necessary die as a result, as a precursor to serious humiliation if not outright defeat (which could, in line with the now time-honoured military industrial complex economic model (of which the Wagner Group is a significant representation, by the way) make a few people a lot of money); OR c) can they just not make enough ammo fast enough?
The North Koreans have a lot of shells. They've got so many, in fact, that there's no point making any more. If hostilities were to break out on the Korean peninsula, the North would flatten every population centre with more than two dogs and three cats in the South within half an hour. They're really good at making shells. So good, if fact, they haven't bothered making any more of them in a long time, since they moved on to ICBM's... There's a railway bridge over the river from Russia into North Korea. You can see it on Google maps. Why isn't there a continuous stream of railway cars chock-a-block full of gleaming, new shells crossing it from the Korean Peninsula on their way to the Ukraine?
I honestly have no idea what's really going on but I'll share a few general observations:
1) Russian bureaucracy is in most instances even more byzantine than stereotypes suggest
2) The DM seemingly feels uncomfortable with Wagner's rising renown
3) Likewise, Wagner seems to think everything can be managed better at the top
4) The resultant DM-Wagner rivalry is thus organizational but also semi-philosophical
5) The DM is by default a status quo force
6) By contrast, Wagner is by default an agent of change/reform
7) Their rivalry's newly public nature shocks Russians and makes the country look chaotic
8) It also entails potential consequences for national security if it continues
9) Putin seemingly tried to reach a compromise but that wasn't successful for whatever reason
10) He's therefore compelled to decisively resolve this in favor of one or the other
For these reasons, I expect that further clarity will be forthcoming very soon.
Yeah, you're right.
Thanks for the insight.
You're welcome! However this dilemma is resolved, it'll be a turning point in the special operation, for better or for worse. I don't expect things staying the same regardless of the outcome. It'll likely have a very powerful impact on events.