If Putin is not behind the death of Prigozhin, is he grateful to those who are? If it is not Putin, for whom Prigozhin never ceased declaring his support, then it had to be Shoigu and/or Gerasimov, whom Prigozhin's mutiny was explicitly directed toward overthrowing. Most importantly, how will this affect the Russian combat effectiveness …
If Putin is not behind the death of Prigozhin, is he grateful to those who are? If it is not Putin, for whom Prigozhin never ceased declaring his support, then it had to be Shoigu and/or Gerasimov, whom Prigozhin's mutiny was explicitly directed toward overthrowing. Most importantly, how will this affect the Russian combat effectiveness in Ukraine? Wagner was critical to the victory on Bakhmut. Is the future performance of the war by RF troops going to be negatively impacted by Prigozhin's asssassination (which it is how his death will be perceived, whether it was that or not)?
I don't think he's happy that this happened at all. Prigozhin was controllable after late June's events and his group returned to being Russian state assets.
As for who did it, I don't think Shoigu/Gerasimov were responsible either. From their respective, whatever threat he previously posed to their leadership was already dealt with.
I don't believe this will significantly affect Wagner's operations anywhere, whether in Africa or in the SMO zone.
If Putin is not behind the death of Prigozhin, is he grateful to those who are? If it is not Putin, for whom Prigozhin never ceased declaring his support, then it had to be Shoigu and/or Gerasimov, whom Prigozhin's mutiny was explicitly directed toward overthrowing. Most importantly, how will this affect the Russian combat effectiveness in Ukraine? Wagner was critical to the victory on Bakhmut. Is the future performance of the war by RF troops going to be negatively impacted by Prigozhin's asssassination (which it is how his death will be perceived, whether it was that or not)?
I don't think he's happy that this happened at all. Prigozhin was controllable after late June's events and his group returned to being Russian state assets.
As for who did it, I don't think Shoigu/Gerasimov were responsible either. From their respective, whatever threat he previously posed to their leadership was already dealt with.
I don't believe this will significantly affect Wagner's operations anywhere, whether in Africa or in the SMO zone.