The British High Commissioner Is Right About India’s Growing Role In Global Affairs
Nobody should expect the British High Commissioner’s accurate assessment of India’s growing global role to lead to that Great Power compromising on its multipolar grand strategy. It’ll continue pragmatically balancing between the Golden Billion and the Sino-Russo Entente, or rather between the Anglo-American Axis within the former and the second’s Chinese pillar, in order to maintain its status as the Global South’s de facto leader in close alignment with Russia.
Predictions about the impending trifurcation of International Relations were just extended credence by British High Commissioner to India Alex Ellis in his latest interview with the Hindustan Times. He forecast that “India is going to be, for the rest of my lifetime, one of the three defining countries of the world, the US and China being the others.” Although he didn’t explicitly say so, this very strongly implies that each of those will lead their own de facto New Cold War blocs in the coming future.
The hyperlinked analysis that was shared at the beginning of this article should be read in full by those who want to learn more about the global systemic transition, but its top takeaways will now be referenced since it’s of direct relevance to Ellis’ prediction and places it in the appropriate context. The US already leads the Golden Billion, China will remain more globally influential than Russia in the emerging Sino-Russo Entente, and India is poised to lead the Global South that’ll balance between both.
Considering this, Ellis is right about India’s growing role in global affairs, but that doesn’t mean that his country will respect its envisaged role as a neutral balancing force in the New Cold War. The UK would obviously prefer for India to more closely align with the Golden Billion against the Sino-Russo Entente, to which end it has an interest in exploiting the unresolved Indo-Sino border dispute in an attempt to tempt Delhi into militarily allying with the West against China.
That plot won’t succeed, however, since India eschews binding security commitments to anyone per its multi-alignment policy between Great Powers since they’d limit its hard-earned strategic autonomy. That’s not to say that India and the UK might not scale up their security cooperation, but just that it’s unrealistic to expect Delhi to dump its multi-alignment policy that’s already reaped such impressive grand strategic dividends over the past year and thus become the West’s largest-ever vassal state.
At the same time, there’s also no denying that Sino-Indo ties remain extremely tense, as was just confirmed by External Affairs Minister (EAM) Dr. Subrahmanyam Jaishankar on Saturday. He described the situation as fragile and dangerous due to their unresolved border dispute and the lack of progress on Beijing’s implementation of September 2020’s in-principle agreement for de-escalating the situation. This means that forthcoming friction between those two can’t be ruled out.
Even so, whatever may or may not happen between these neighboring Asian Great Powers would be the result of purely bilateral dynamics without the influence of any third parties like those in the Golden Billion. Moreover, despite the fearmongering narrative peddled by Western-aligned liberal-globalist members of the Indian intelligentsia, Russia won’t ever take China’s side over India’s in the scenario that its fellow BRICS partners clash such as by withholding the emergency shipment of arms to Delhi.
Realizing this, the UK and its US “senior partner” are “hedging their bets” when it comes to the Golden Billion’s grand strategic goals in South Asia by hinting that they favor Pakistan’s post-modern coup regime that they installed last April over India, which could prove destabilizing. London hosts Nawaz Sharif, who former Prime Minister Imran Khan accused of participating in last year’s regime change with a view to one day returning to power, while Washington pulled the former military chief’s strings.
Their influence over the post-modern coup regime is undeniable and therefore makes it their proxies, albeit imperfect ones since their puppet leader is still interested in cultivating closer economic ties with the Sino-Russo Entente. Nevertheless, the extremely brutal means that they’ve recently employed to snuff out all opposition to their illegitimate rule (with prior approval from the Anglo-American Axis of course) risks plunging Pakistan into civil war.
That possibility, which is increasingly likely even though its outcome is practically preordained with respect to the post-modern coup regime predictably committing as many war crimes as required to win, would destabilize the broader region of Central-South-West Asia due to Pakistan’s central location. The country that could have become the “Zipper of Eurasia” due to its pivotal placement in the supercontinent would thus become the “Faultline of Eurasia”, which would serve the West’s interests.
This is the Damocles’ sword that the Anglo-American Axis continues dangling over India’s head together with the complementary one connected to Color Revolution mastermind George Soros’ de facto declaration of Hybrid War against it during last month’s Munich Security Conference. India is obviously well aware of how those two could punish it for promulgating an independent foreign policy and playing a leading role in accelerating de-dollarization, but it remains unfazed and impressively carries on.
With these observations in mind, nobody should expect the British High Commissioner’s accurate assessment of India’s growing global role to lead to that Great Power compromising on its multipolar grand strategy. It’ll continue pragmatically balancing between the Golden Billion and the Sino-Russo Entente, or rather between the Anglo-American Axis within the former and the second’s Chinese pillar, in order to maintain its status as the Global South’s de facto leader in close alignment with Russia.