Trump’s preference for sanctions and his latest threat to double down on secondary ones could derail India’s careful multi-alignment between the US and Russia by forcing it to choose between them.
China is not the "senior partner" in the Russia-China relationship.
India has achieved a lot in its long struggle since independence. Russia provides many necessary materials for India's industries, especially energy. But Russia is not a big market as Russia has the highest autarky index on earth. India still needs a large amount of foreign exchange, similar to China's condition. China tried to develop the domestic markets without much success for various reasons, including too much central planning. Huge bazooka shot in the wrong directions and of course achieved little. India needs to develop domestic markets as well, but also simultaneously reduce population growth. The suitable and likely strategies for India to achieve these goals are likely different, but I have not seen clear signs that India is moving in this direction. India's government and elites may have better ideas.
Putin was very realistic about the China/Russia relationship in his interview with Tucker. Basically a lot of the Republicans whining about Russia cozying up to China was wrong…Putin will always do what he believes is in the best interests of Russia and he believes Xi will always do what is in the best interests of China…no “cozying” is going on just leaders putting their respective countries first.
Russia must win war in Ukraine, reach to Dniepr River, take over Kharkov and Odessa. Additionally must destroy all border crossing with Poland and Romania. Not to mention, destruction of bridges on Dniepr, Dniestr and Bug Rivers. Why Russia still waiting to bomb embassies of finland, sweden, estonia, latvia, lithuania, issrahell, uk, us and denmark. Such move will stop them for good. If they decided to go for war, that would be their loss.
Just to put in a word edgewise: atm the USA is excess capacity consumer. This has been due to running humongous budget deficits to a large extent due to supporting mass migration and feeding GDP growth through debt. As the mass migration has more or less stopped through executive action, deficits will come down, consumer expenditures will come down, growth will come down producing recession and collapse of raw material prices. Oil, gas, coal, iron ore, steel - you name it.
Anyway, I don't see India reconciling with the US as long as US is supporting Pakistan and reticent about Indian Kashmir. Oh, and the recent orange revolution in Bangladesh is not much to India's liking.
"Trump’s preference for sanctions and his latest threat to double down on secondary ones in that event could derail India’s careful multi-alignment between the US and Russia by forcing it to choose between them, which it doesn’t want to do under any circumstances."
America is energy dominant now…the days of tiptoeing around trying to placate everyone ended in 2010 when fracking was proven economical. We don’t need anything from anyone and we were dumb for ever thinking China would buy Jeeps! My family owned Jeep!! Never again!!
China is not the "senior partner" in the Russia-China relationship.
India has achieved a lot in its long struggle since independence. Russia provides many necessary materials for India's industries, especially energy. But Russia is not a big market as Russia has the highest autarky index on earth. India still needs a large amount of foreign exchange, similar to China's condition. China tried to develop the domestic markets without much success for various reasons, including too much central planning. Huge bazooka shot in the wrong directions and of course achieved little. India needs to develop domestic markets as well, but also simultaneously reduce population growth. The suitable and likely strategies for India to achieve these goals are likely different, but I have not seen clear signs that India is moving in this direction. India's government and elites may have better ideas.
Putin was very realistic about the China/Russia relationship in his interview with Tucker. Basically a lot of the Republicans whining about Russia cozying up to China was wrong…Putin will always do what he believes is in the best interests of Russia and he believes Xi will always do what is in the best interests of China…no “cozying” is going on just leaders putting their respective countries first.
Russia must win war in Ukraine, reach to Dniepr River, take over Kharkov and Odessa. Additionally must destroy all border crossing with Poland and Romania. Not to mention, destruction of bridges on Dniepr, Dniestr and Bug Rivers. Why Russia still waiting to bomb embassies of finland, sweden, estonia, latvia, lithuania, issrahell, uk, us and denmark. Such move will stop them for good. If they decided to go for war, that would be their loss.
Just to put in a word edgewise: atm the USA is excess capacity consumer. This has been due to running humongous budget deficits to a large extent due to supporting mass migration and feeding GDP growth through debt. As the mass migration has more or less stopped through executive action, deficits will come down, consumer expenditures will come down, growth will come down producing recession and collapse of raw material prices. Oil, gas, coal, iron ore, steel - you name it.
Anyway, I don't see India reconciling with the US as long as US is supporting Pakistan and reticent about Indian Kashmir. Oh, and the recent orange revolution in Bangladesh is not much to India's liking.
"Trump’s preference for sanctions and his latest threat to double down on secondary ones in that event could derail India’s careful multi-alignment between the US and Russia by forcing it to choose between them, which it doesn’t want to do under any circumstances."
This is entirely intentional.
America is energy dominant now…the days of tiptoeing around trying to placate everyone ended in 2010 when fracking was proven economical. We don’t need anything from anyone and we were dumb for ever thinking China would buy Jeeps! My family owned Jeep!! Never again!!