Thanks. Very informative.

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Jan 17, 2023·edited Jan 17, 2023

Hi Andrew, I just discovered your Substack a couple weeks back through a Moon of Alabama link. This is first-rate analysis. I would gladly contribute financially but I don't see a place to do so here...

Historically speaking, USA pragmatist-realists eventually gain some sway, leading to a cut and run. The Empire's vassel states go along, of course, that's what minions do. Afghanistan was the latest example. I'd call that the preferred outcome. However, declining empires sometimes do stupid things as they desperately flail around trying to maintain their hegemony, so a worse outcome remains a distinct possibility, but hopefully a fringe one.

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