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I still think a ceasefire a la Korea is the most realistic scenario. Both sides would compromise on their maximalist objectives in this conflict while still having achieved some significant goals.

Russia has been unable to interdict most Western weapons and I don't think that's going to change after 18 months of precedent thus far.

Ukraine's de-militarization will therefore likely remain incomplete despite me and others wishing for it to be carried out in full.

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"...de-militarization will therefore likely remain incomplete..."

That's unfortunate.

Надежда умерает последнеей.

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